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1
+ 1
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+ 00:00:10,199 --> 00:00:10,943
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+ Hello, namaskar.
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+
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+ 2
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+ 00:00:10,943 --> 00:00:13,758
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+ This is First Post and you're watching Vantage with me, Palkishar.
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+
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+ 3
10
+ 00:00:35,233 --> 00:00:36,314
11
+ The war is spreading.
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+
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+ 4
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+ 00:00:36,314 --> 00:00:38,757
15
+ The US is striking Iranian assets in Syria.
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+
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+ 5
18
+ 00:00:38,757 --> 00:00:44,763
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+ Houthis in Yemen have shot down an American drone and the Mossad has helped Brazil foil an attack.
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+
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+ 6
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+ 00:00:44,763 --> 00:00:50,529
23
+ Meanwhile, South Africa is calling for the arrest of Netanyahu for war crimes.
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+
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+ 7
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+ 00:00:50,529 --> 00:00:54,553
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+ And Israel is accusing the Western press of being embedded with terrorists.
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+
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+ 8
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+ 00:00:55,461 --> 00:00:59,725
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+ There's a lot to unpack as the war completes 34 days.
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+
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+ 9
34
+ 00:00:59,725 --> 00:01:07,832
35
+ In the US, Donald Trump skipped and dominated yet another presidential debate, which makes us wonder, what's the point of these Republican debates?
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+
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+ 10
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+ 00:01:07,832 --> 00:01:11,095
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+ In Myanmar, the junta says the new rebellion may split the country.
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+
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+ 11
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+ 00:01:11,095 --> 00:01:12,857
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+ We'll tell you why this is a worry for India.
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+
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+ 12
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+ 00:01:14,355 --> 00:01:17,839
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+ In Pakistan, the government is blaming the Taliban for the deportation of Afghans.
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+
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+ 13
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+ 00:01:17,839 --> 00:01:19,161
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+ We'll explain why.
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+
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+ 14
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+ 00:01:19,161 --> 00:01:27,350
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+ Also tracking the forgotten war in the Sudan, how Japan has got the world's newest island, and why Delhi's belated attempts to curb pollution are bogus.
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+
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+ 15
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+ 00:01:27,350 --> 00:01:29,132
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+ All this and more coming up, the headlines first.
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+
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+ 16
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+ 00:01:32,045 --> 00:01:38,129
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+ Maldives president-elect Mohamed Mouizou invites Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi for his swearing-in ceremony.
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+
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+ 17
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+ 00:01:38,129 --> 00:01:42,511
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+ India has yet to agree, says it hasn't decided who will represent New Delhi at the event.
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+
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+ 18
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+ 00:01:42,511 --> 00:01:48,935
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+ Mouizou fought on an India-out plan, and he wants to expel Indian troops from Mali.
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+
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+ 19
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+ 00:01:51,718 --> 00:01:56,720
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+ France blames Russia for the rise in anti-Semitic graffiti in Paris.
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+
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+ 20
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+ 00:01:56,720 --> 00:02:01,461
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+ Stars of David were painted on building walls similar to the time when Nazis occupied Paris.
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+
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+ 21
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+ 00:02:01,461 --> 00:02:07,003
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+ Moscow has rubbished the accusations, calling them undignified.
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+
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+ 22
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+ 00:02:07,003 --> 00:02:10,765
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+ There's a flurry of diplomatic activity in Central Asia.
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+
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+ 23
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+ 00:02:10,765 --> 00:02:14,946
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+ Russian President Vladimir Putin is in Kazakhstan to cement old ties.
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+
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+ 24
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+ 00:02:14,946 --> 00:02:20,548
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+ Meanwhile, Turkish, Iranian, and Pakistani leaders are visiting Uzbekistan for a regional economic summit.
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+
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+ 25
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+ 00:02:22,802 --> 00:02:25,803
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+ South Korea declares a war on bed bugs.
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+
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+ 26
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+ 00:02:25,803 --> 00:02:29,444
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+ The country has reported multiple incidents of bed bug infestations.
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+
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+ 27
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+ 00:02:29,444 --> 00:02:36,686
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+ Bath houses, university dorms, and train stations are now on high alert.
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+
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+ 28
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+ 00:02:36,686 --> 00:02:42,487
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+ Popular live video website Omegle shuts down after 14 years.
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+
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+ 29
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+ 00:02:42,487 --> 00:02:45,888
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+ It allowed users to chat with strangers on the platform.
116
+
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+ 30
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+ 00:02:45,888 --> 00:02:49,749
119
+ The site has been shut down after multiple claims of abuse and pedophilia.
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+
121
+ 31
122
+ 00:02:52,116 --> 00:02:54,219
123
+ And Hollywood finally has a deal.
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+
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+ 32
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+ 00:02:54,219 --> 00:03:01,268
127
+ Actors' Union SAG-AFTRA signs tentative deal with studios to end a four-month-long strike.
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+
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+ 33
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+ 00:03:01,268 --> 00:03:04,953
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+ The deal will impact streaming and the use of AI in Hollywood films.
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+
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+ 34
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+ 00:03:21,469 --> 00:03:22,110
135
+ oh
136
+
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+ 35
138
+ 00:03:46,167 --> 00:03:48,528
139
+ It's day 34 of Israel's offensive.
140
+
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+ 36
142
+ 00:03:48,528 --> 00:03:50,909
143
+ Slowly, the United States is getting dragged in.
144
+
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+ 37
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+ 00:03:50,909 --> 00:03:52,650
147
+ American assets are under attack.
148
+
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+ 38
150
+ 00:03:52,650 --> 00:03:56,312
151
+ At least 40 of them have been reported in the last few weeks.
152
+
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+ 39
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+ 00:03:56,312 --> 00:03:57,472
155
+ 4-0.
156
+
157
+ 40
158
+ 00:03:57,472 --> 00:03:58,893
159
+ 40 attacks on U.S.
160
+
161
+ 41
162
+ 00:03:58,893 --> 00:04:00,374
163
+ bases.
164
+
165
+ 42
166
+ 00:04:00,374 --> 00:04:02,354
167
+ So what is Washington doing?
168
+
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+ 43
170
+ 00:04:02,354 --> 00:04:03,315
171
+ Well, they're hitting back.
172
+
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+ 44
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+ 00:04:03,315 --> 00:04:06,156
175
+ On Wednesday night, they carried out an airstrike.
176
+
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+ 45
178
+ 00:04:06,156 --> 00:04:07,897
179
+ The target was in eastern Syria.
180
+
181
+ 46
182
+ 00:04:07,897 --> 00:04:08,297
183
+ The U.S.
184
+
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+ 47
186
+ 00:04:08,297 --> 00:04:13,880
187
+ says it was a weapons warehouse, one used by Iran-backed militants in this region.
188
+
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+ 48
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+ 00:04:14,758 --> 00:04:18,159
191
+ So two F-15 fighter jets were scrambled.
192
+
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+ 49
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+ 00:04:18,159 --> 00:04:20,880
195
+ They dropped multiple bombs on the target.
196
+
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+ 50
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+ 00:04:20,880 --> 00:04:21,980
199
+ And casualties?
200
+
201
+ 51
202
+ 00:04:21,980 --> 00:04:23,540
203
+ The US says none.
204
+
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+ 52
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+ 00:04:23,540 --> 00:04:26,321
207
+ Only the warehouse and the weapons were destroyed.
208
+
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+ 53
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+ 00:04:26,321 --> 00:04:28,142
211
+ Now, this was not America's first attack.
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+
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+ 54
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+ 00:04:28,142 --> 00:04:30,702
215
+ A similar one was carried out last month as well.
216
+
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+ 55
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+ 00:04:30,702 --> 00:04:37,044
219
+ Again, the target was in Syria, a weapons cache used by Iranian guards.
220
+
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+ 56
222
+ 00:04:37,044 --> 00:04:42,286
223
+ The idea behind these attacks is to deter Iranian proxies to keep them at bay.
224
+
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+ 57
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+ 00:04:42,286 --> 00:04:43,346
227
+ But is it working?
228
+
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+ 58
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+ 00:04:44,212 --> 00:04:45,612
231
+ Well, yes and no.
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+
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+ 59
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+ 00:04:45,612 --> 00:04:48,653
235
+ None of the proxies have launched an all-out assault.
236
+
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+ 60
238
+ 00:04:48,653 --> 00:04:50,194
239
+ I guess that's a positive.
240
+
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+ 61
242
+ 00:04:50,194 --> 00:04:53,995
243
+ But sporadic attacks have been carried out, one of them near Yemen.
244
+
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+ 62
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+ 00:04:53,995 --> 00:04:57,076
247
+ The Houthi rebels have shot down a US drone.
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+
249
+ 63
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+ 00:04:57,076 --> 00:04:59,516
251
+ It was an MQ-9 Reaper.
252
+
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+ 64
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+ 00:04:59,516 --> 00:05:01,417
255
+ It was downed off the coast of Yemen.
256
+
257
+ 65
258
+ 00:05:01,417 --> 00:05:03,617
259
+ Now, the MQ-9 is a surveillance drone.
260
+
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+ 66
262
+ 00:05:03,617 --> 00:05:05,778
263
+ Its job is to collect intelligence.
264
+
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+ 67
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+ 00:05:05,778 --> 00:05:07,839
267
+ Each drone costs around $30 million.
268
+
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+ 68
270
+ 00:05:09,264 --> 00:05:11,726
271
+ So things are on the edge right now.
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+
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+ 69
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+ 00:05:11,726 --> 00:05:13,868
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+ Iranian proxies are willing to strike U.S.
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+
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+ 70
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+ 00:05:13,868 --> 00:05:14,809
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+ assets, and the U.S.
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+
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+ 71
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+ 00:05:14,809 --> 00:05:16,250
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+ is more than willing to hit back.
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+
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+ 72
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+ 00:05:16,250 --> 00:05:19,954
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+ The question is, will this escalate further?
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+
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+ 73
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+ 00:05:19,954 --> 00:05:22,076
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+ And that depends on the offensive in Gaza.
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+
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+ 74
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+ 00:05:22,076 --> 00:05:24,898
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+ Israeli troops have reached the heart of Gaza City.
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+
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+ 75
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+ 00:05:24,898 --> 00:05:26,500
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+ This is where things can get tricky.
300
+
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+ 76
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+ 00:05:26,500 --> 00:05:32,786
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+ We're talking about street-to-street fighting, close range, urban setting, so no room for mistakes.
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+
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+ 77
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+ 00:05:34,059 --> 00:05:37,201
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+ If you're wondering what that looks like, the Hamas has released some footage.
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+
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+ 78
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+ 00:05:37,201 --> 00:05:40,104
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+ They say it shows urban warfare with the IDF.
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+
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+ 79
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+ 00:05:40,104 --> 00:05:40,524
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+ Take a look.
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+
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+ 80
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+ 00:06:20,373 --> 00:06:27,856
319
+ Just to be clear, that was unverified footage, but it does tell you how dangerous urban warfare is.
320
+
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+ 81
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+ 00:06:27,856 --> 00:06:30,396
323
+ So what is the IDF's plan to tackle it?
324
+
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+ 82
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+ 00:06:30,396 --> 00:06:32,817
327
+ Their first target seems to be the tunnels.
328
+
329
+ 83
330
+ 00:06:32,817 --> 00:06:35,738
331
+ Hamas has built a vast network of tunnels.
332
+
333
+ 84
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+ 00:06:35,738 --> 00:06:37,999
335
+ They can be used to launch surprise attacks.
336
+
337
+ 85
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+ 00:06:37,999 --> 00:06:40,060
339
+ So the IDF is blowing up these tunnels.
340
+
341
+ 86
342
+ 00:06:40,060 --> 00:06:40,460
343
+ Take a look.
344
+
345
+ 87
346
+ 00:07:09,440 --> 00:07:12,122
347
+ Along with ground attacks, there are airstrikes too.
348
+
349
+ 88
350
+ 00:07:12,122 --> 00:07:17,265
351
+ At least two main cities were targeted, Khan Yunus in the south and Gaza City in the north.
352
+
353
+ 89
354
+ 00:07:17,265 --> 00:07:20,666
355
+ In Gaza City, the target was a hospital, Al-Shifa.
356
+
357
+ 90
358
+ 00:07:20,666 --> 00:07:26,910
359
+ It's the largest hospital in the Strip and right now it's treating thousands of Gazans.
360
+
361
+ 91
362
+ 00:07:26,910 --> 00:07:29,211
363
+ What explains these non-stop airstrikes?
364
+
365
+ 92
366
+ 00:07:29,211 --> 00:07:31,893
367
+ After all, the IDF has already besieged Gaza City.
368
+
369
+ 93
370
+ 00:07:33,131 --> 00:07:35,032
371
+ Well, the idea is to drive out people.
372
+
373
+ 94
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+ 00:07:35,032 --> 00:07:37,634
375
+ Israel wants civilians to flee northern Gaza.
376
+
377
+ 95
378
+ 00:07:37,634 --> 00:07:39,116
379
+ No civilians, no collateral.
380
+
381
+ 96
382
+ 00:07:39,116 --> 00:07:40,437
383
+ That's the idea.
384
+
385
+ 97
386
+ 00:07:40,437 --> 00:07:42,678
387
+ It makes their ground assault much easier.
388
+
389
+ 98
390
+ 00:07:42,678 --> 00:07:46,521
391
+ So the IDF has opened a key road out of Gaza City.
392
+
393
+ 99
394
+ 00:07:46,521 --> 00:07:52,366
395
+ Hundreds of Gazans have begun fleeing, some on donkey carts, others on foot.
396
+
397
+ 100
398
+ 00:07:52,366 --> 00:07:54,367
399
+ The IDF says around 50,000 people have fled south.
400
+
401
+ 101
402
+ 00:07:58,564 --> 00:08:08,689
403
+ They are moving because they understand that Hamas has lost control in the north and that the south is safer, a safer area where they receive medicine, water and food.
404
+
405
+ 102
406
+ 00:08:08,689 --> 00:08:13,191
407
+ They understand it's an improvement.
408
+
409
+ 103
410
+ 00:08:13,191 --> 00:08:14,792
411
+ Staying put is dangerous.
412
+
413
+ 104
414
+ 00:08:14,792 --> 00:08:16,913
415
+ But many Gazans do not have an option.
416
+
417
+ 105
418
+ 00:08:16,913 --> 00:08:19,574
419
+ Some of them are injured so they cannot travel.
420
+
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+ 106
422
+ 00:08:19,574 --> 00:08:20,895
423
+ Others don't have the means.
424
+
425
+ 107
426
+ 00:08:20,895 --> 00:08:23,516
427
+ Plus, the United Nations says it will not really help.
428
+
429
+ 108
430
+ 00:08:24,400 --> 00:08:27,981
431
+ Their officials say there is no safe zone in the south.
432
+
433
+ 109
434
+ 00:08:27,981 --> 00:08:32,263
435
+ It's a plan by Israel to forcibly displace Gazans.
436
+
437
+ 110
438
+ 00:08:32,263 --> 00:08:36,444
439
+ So the United Nations wants to have no part in it.
440
+
441
+ 111
442
+ 00:08:36,444 --> 00:08:37,584
443
+ And they've got a point here.
444
+
445
+ 112
446
+ 00:08:37,584 --> 00:08:40,685
447
+ Around 30% of all casualties are in the south.
448
+
449
+ 113
450
+ 00:08:40,685 --> 00:08:43,226
451
+ So southern Gaza is not exactly safe.
452
+
453
+ 114
454
+ 00:08:43,226 --> 00:08:47,908
455
+ But staying in the north is nothing short of a death sentence.
456
+
457
+ 115
458
+ 00:08:47,908 --> 00:08:51,229
459
+ Israel struck the city of Beit Lahiya yesterday.
460
+
461
+ 116
462
+ 00:08:51,229 --> 00:08:52,309
463
+ Take a look at the aftermath.
464
+
465
+ 117
466
+ 00:08:53,822 --> 00:08:55,383
467
+ You
468
+
469
+ 118
470
+ 00:09:17,486 --> 00:09:18,927
471
+ It is heartbreaking.
472
+
473
+ 119
474
+ 00:09:18,927 --> 00:09:21,548
475
+ Gaza's death toll has crossed 10,500.
476
+
477
+ 120
478
+ 00:09:21,548 --> 00:09:24,950
479
+ Among them are more than 4,300 children.
480
+
481
+ 121
482
+ 00:09:24,950 --> 00:09:32,253
483
+ The United Nations is calling it children's graveyard, which makes you wonder, is anyone talking about peace?
484
+
485
+ 122
486
+ 00:09:32,253 --> 00:09:34,034
487
+ Well, world leaders are meeting in Paris.
488
+
489
+ 123
490
+ 00:09:34,034 --> 00:09:37,156
491
+ President Emmanuel Macron is hosting a humanitarian conference.
492
+
493
+ 124
494
+ 00:09:37,156 --> 00:09:39,877
495
+ He says there must be a pause quickly.
496
+
497
+ 125
498
+ 00:09:42,292 --> 00:09:45,375
499
+ Today the situation is grave and is getting worse each day.
500
+
501
+ 126
502
+ 00:09:45,375 --> 00:09:53,943
503
+ In the short term, we should work on protecting civilians, and to do so, we need a humanitarian pause very quickly, and we have to strive for a ceasefire.
504
+
505
+ 127
506
+ 00:09:53,943 --> 00:09:55,264
507
+ This should become a possibility.
508
+
509
+ 128
510
+ 00:09:57,008 --> 00:09:59,209
511
+ Pauses are possible.
512
+
513
+ 129
514
+ 00:09:59,209 --> 00:10:01,631
515
+ Even Israel has agreed to it on paper.
516
+
517
+ 130
518
+ 00:10:01,631 --> 00:10:02,832
519
+ But a ceasefire?
520
+
521
+ 131
522
+ 00:10:02,832 --> 00:10:04,072
523
+ Well, that could be tougher.
524
+
525
+ 132
526
+ 00:10:04,072 --> 00:10:06,694
527
+ Reports say diplomats are negotiating hard.
528
+
529
+ 133
530
+ 00:10:06,694 --> 00:10:09,556
531
+ There is talk of a one-to-three-day ceasefire.
532
+
533
+ 134
534
+ 00:10:09,556 --> 00:10:13,538
535
+ In exchange, Hamas could release hostages, including women and children.
536
+
537
+ 135
538
+ 00:10:13,538 --> 00:10:15,719
539
+ But nothing is official yet.
540
+
541
+ 136
542
+ 00:10:15,719 --> 00:10:19,662
543
+ Israel has ruled out a ceasefire until all hostages are returned.
544
+
545
+ 137
546
+ 00:10:20,489 --> 00:10:24,675
547
+ Hamas has said the opposite, stop the war and then get your hostages.
548
+
549
+ 138
550
+ 00:10:24,675 --> 00:10:25,977
551
+ That's what they say.
552
+
553
+ 139
554
+ 00:10:25,977 --> 00:10:32,266
555
+ Now, we can only hope that there is progress and fast progress, because the longer this drags out, the greater the spillover risk.
556
+
557
+ 140
558
+ 00:10:33,291 --> 00:10:37,595
559
+ We mentioned the threat in West Asia, but turns out it could be much wider.
560
+
561
+ 141
562
+ 00:10:37,595 --> 00:10:41,359
563
+ Brazilian officials have arrested two suspects in Sao Paulo.
564
+
565
+ 142
566
+ 00:10:41,359 --> 00:10:43,121
567
+ They're accused of plotting terror attacks.
568
+
569
+ 143
570
+ 00:10:43,121 --> 00:10:45,824
571
+ Apparently, Israel tipped them off.
572
+
573
+ 144
574
+ 00:10:45,824 --> 00:10:48,947
575
+ Their spy agency, Mossad, has released a statement.
576
+
577
+ 145
578
+ 00:10:48,947 --> 00:10:52,730
579
+ They say the suspects are linked to a Hezbollah cell.
580
+
581
+ 146
582
+ 00:10:52,730 --> 00:10:56,674
583
+ They wanted to strike Israeli and Jewish targets in Brazil, all the way in Brazil.
584
+
585
+ 147
586
+ 00:10:57,455 --> 00:10:59,178
587
+ If confirmed, this is massive.
588
+
589
+ 148
590
+ 00:10:59,178 --> 00:11:02,102
591
+ It shows the risks are not just limited to West Asia.
592
+
593
+ 149
594
+ 00:11:02,102 --> 00:11:04,385
595
+ It could be felt thousands of kilometers away.
596
+
597
+ 150
598
+ 00:11:09,870 --> 00:11:14,873
599
+ As the conflict escalates, the role of the press is also under scrutiny, especially the Western press.
600
+
601
+ 151
602
+ 00:11:14,873 --> 00:11:16,775
603
+ Israel is slamming their role.
604
+
605
+ 152
606
+ 00:11:16,775 --> 00:11:24,560
607
+ They've named four prominent platforms, CNN, the New York Times, Reuters, and AP, Associated Press.
608
+
609
+ 153
610
+ 00:11:24,560 --> 00:11:27,162
611
+ The Israeli government has some tough, tough questions for them.
612
+
613
+ 154
614
+ 00:11:27,802 --> 00:11:31,905
615
+ Questions like, are there reporters embedded with Hamas?
616
+
617
+ 155
618
+ 00:11:31,905 --> 00:11:35,247
619
+ Did they have prior knowledge about the attacks on Israel?
620
+
621
+ 156
622
+ 00:11:35,247 --> 00:11:38,028
623
+ Were they tipped off by Hamas terrorists?
624
+
625
+ 157
626
+ 00:11:38,028 --> 00:11:40,650
627
+ And were they cooperating with them?
628
+
629
+ 158
630
+ 00:11:40,650 --> 00:11:43,352
631
+ Now, these are very serious questions and charges.
632
+
633
+ 159
634
+ 00:11:43,352 --> 00:11:46,354
635
+ And they're being raised on the basis of some photos.
636
+
637
+ 160
638
+ 00:11:46,354 --> 00:11:49,335
639
+ Photos released by Media Watchdog in Israel.
640
+
641
+ 161
642
+ 00:11:49,335 --> 00:11:51,297
643
+ These are from the October 7 attacks.
644
+
645
+ 162
646
+ 00:11:52,264 --> 00:11:53,905
647
+ Take a look at what they have.
648
+
649
+ 163
650
+ 00:11:53,905 --> 00:11:56,585
651
+ The first picture is from Associated Press or AP.
652
+
653
+ 164
654
+ 00:11:56,585 --> 00:12:03,267
655
+ It is a shot of a burning tank, a tank belonging to the Israeli forces.
656
+
657
+ 165
658
+ 00:12:03,267 --> 00:12:04,948
659
+ And where was the picture taken?
660
+
661
+ 166
662
+ 00:12:04,948 --> 00:12:08,389
663
+ Near the Israel-Gaza border, inside Israeli territory.
664
+
665
+ 167
666
+ 00:12:10,691 --> 00:12:14,914
667
+ Now remember, this is an attack that took everyone by surprise.
668
+
669
+ 168
670
+ 00:12:14,914 --> 00:12:17,676
671
+ Hamas terrorists broke the border fence.
672
+
673
+ 169
674
+ 00:12:17,676 --> 00:12:21,398
675
+ They went inside Israel and they attacked an Israeli tank.
676
+
677
+ 170
678
+ 00:12:21,398 --> 00:12:23,540
679
+ The IDF was caught completely off guard.
680
+
681
+ 171
682
+ 00:12:23,540 --> 00:12:25,401
683
+ Their soldiers were nowhere to be seen.
684
+
685
+ 172
686
+ 00:12:25,401 --> 00:12:27,623
687
+ It took them hours to get there.
688
+
689
+ 173
690
+ 00:12:27,623 --> 00:12:30,405
691
+ But guess who was present at the site?
692
+
693
+ 174
694
+ 00:12:30,405 --> 00:12:32,486
695
+ The Associated Press.
696
+
697
+ 175
698
+ 00:12:32,486 --> 00:12:39,111
699
+ In fact, they were so close that they managed to get a close-up, almost as if they were with the terrorists when they infiltrated Israel.
700
+
701
+ 176
702
+ 00:12:40,674 --> 00:12:44,716
703
+ And there are more such photos, like this one, again from the AP.
704
+
705
+ 177
706
+ 00:12:44,716 --> 00:12:53,119
707
+ The people you see are said to be infiltrators trying to get inside Kibbutz Kafar Aza, the site of one of the worst attacks by Hamas.
708
+
709
+ 178
710
+ 00:12:53,119 --> 00:13:00,322
711
+ Israel says the terrorists carried out a massacre at this kibbutz, killing at least 1,000 people.
712
+
713
+ 179
714
+ 00:13:00,322 --> 00:13:03,704
715
+ This could be the moment when they entered the kibbutz.
716
+
717
+ 180
718
+ 00:13:03,704 --> 00:13:06,725
719
+ Again, the Associated Press caught it on camera.
720
+
721
+ 181
722
+ 00:13:08,160 --> 00:13:12,425
723
+ One name is doing the rounds, Hassan Eslaiya.
724
+
725
+ 182
726
+ 00:13:12,425 --> 00:13:15,288
727
+ Reports say he's a freelance journalist from Gaza.
728
+
729
+ 183
730
+ 00:13:15,288 --> 00:13:17,330
731
+ He was working with CNN and AP.
732
+
733
+ 184
734
+ 00:13:17,330 --> 00:13:23,596
735
+ When Hamas attacked Israel, he happened to be at the scene.
736
+
737
+ 185
738
+ 00:13:23,596 --> 00:13:25,118
739
+ Now, this is an unverified video.
740
+
741
+ 186
742
+ 00:13:25,118 --> 00:13:28,762
743
+ Apparently, Hassan Eslaiya went live when the attacks were happening.
744
+
745
+ 187
746
+ 00:13:30,626 --> 00:13:33,568
747
+ And he took more photos, like of these Hamas terrorists.
748
+
749
+ 188
750
+ 00:13:33,568 --> 00:13:35,750
751
+ They were near the gate of Kibbutz Khafar Aza.
752
+
753
+ 189
754
+ 00:13:35,750 --> 00:13:38,612
755
+ Also, this picture of a burning home inside the kibbutz.
756
+
757
+ 190
758
+ 00:13:57,622 --> 00:13:59,382
759
+ There is another photo of the same man.
760
+
761
+ 191
762
+ 00:13:59,382 --> 00:14:00,723
763
+ It's being shared on social media.
764
+
765
+ 192
766
+ 00:14:00,723 --> 00:14:02,743
767
+ This is not from the 7th of October.
768
+
769
+ 193
770
+ 00:14:02,743 --> 00:14:11,145
771
+ This is an image, the image I'm talking about, it says, this is Islaya with a prominent Hamas leader.
772
+
773
+ 194
774
+ 00:14:11,145 --> 00:14:13,285
775
+ So here's the question being asked.
776
+
777
+ 195
778
+ 00:14:13,285 --> 00:14:19,006
779
+ When Hamas attacked Israel, did they take journalists along with them?
780
+
781
+ 196
782
+ 00:14:19,006 --> 00:14:23,647
783
+ And I use the plural, journalists, because Islaya was not alone.
784
+
785
+ 197
786
+ 00:14:23,647 --> 00:14:26,488
787
+ There were other journalists like him at the scene.
788
+
789
+ 198
790
+ 00:14:27,403 --> 00:14:29,024
791
+ We have some names in fact.
792
+
793
+ 199
794
+ 00:14:29,024 --> 00:14:33,166
795
+ Yusuf Masood, Ali Mahmood and Hatim Ali.
796
+
797
+ 200
798
+ 00:14:33,166 --> 00:14:37,749
799
+ They took these photos allegedly of Hamas terrorists kidnapping Israelis.
800
+
801
+ 201
802
+ 00:14:37,749 --> 00:14:41,631
803
+ In one picture they're transporting the body of an Israeli.
804
+
805
+ 202
806
+ 00:14:41,631 --> 00:14:50,796
807
+ How did these so-called journalists get there at the right time and that too almost every time?
808
+
809
+ 203
810
+ 00:14:50,796 --> 00:14:53,878
811
+ This cannot be just reporters luck.
812
+
813
+ 204
814
+ 00:14:53,878 --> 00:14:54,819
815
+ There's a pattern here.
816
+
817
+ 205
818
+ 00:14:55,765 --> 00:14:58,966
819
+ And for a moment, even if you ignore the timing, look at what they captured.
820
+
821
+ 206
822
+ 00:14:58,966 --> 00:15:03,607
823
+ These so-called journalists witnessed mass attacks and kidnappings, killings.
824
+
825
+ 207
826
+ 00:15:03,607 --> 00:15:05,587
827
+ They amplified a terror strike.
828
+
829
+ 208
830
+ 00:15:05,587 --> 00:15:09,548
831
+ Does this amount to participation in the attack?
832
+
833
+ 209
834
+ 00:15:09,548 --> 00:15:13,949
835
+ They took these pictures and their associates in the Western media carried these pictures.
836
+
837
+ 210
838
+ 00:15:13,949 --> 00:15:15,090
839
+ No questions asked.
840
+
841
+ 211
842
+ 00:15:15,090 --> 00:15:16,430
843
+ Apparently, no objections raised.
844
+
845
+ 212
846
+ 00:15:18,479 --> 00:15:20,702
847
+ And here's something I'll tell you about wars and conflicts.
848
+
849
+ 213
850
+ 00:15:20,702 --> 00:15:22,265
851
+ It's not easy to get inputs.
852
+
853
+ 214
854
+ 00:15:22,265 --> 00:15:25,429
855
+ Photos, videos, updates, you risk a lot to get them.
856
+
857
+ 215
858
+ 00:15:25,429 --> 00:15:28,534
859
+ You rely on all kinds of sources.
860
+
861
+ 216
862
+ 00:15:28,534 --> 00:15:31,258
863
+ But you try to operate within ethical boundaries.
864
+
865
+ 217
866
+ 00:15:32,455 --> 00:15:36,236
867
+ In this case, those boundaries may have been breached.
868
+
869
+ 218
870
+ 00:15:36,236 --> 00:15:38,477
871
+ Israel has officially taken it up.
872
+
873
+ 219
874
+ 00:15:38,477 --> 00:15:43,939
875
+ Their communication minister has reached out to all four news outlets, CNN, Reuters, The New York Times, and AP.
876
+
877
+ 220
878
+ 00:15:43,939 --> 00:15:45,340
879
+ Let me quote from what he said.
880
+
881
+ 221
882
+ 00:15:45,340 --> 00:15:49,041
883
+ The gravity of the situation demands a swift and thorough response.
884
+
885
+ 222
886
+ 00:15:49,041 --> 00:15:56,344
887
+ It is now a time for individuals, journalists, institutions, unions, and organizations around the world to make a clear choice.
888
+
889
+ 223
890
+ 00:15:58,151 --> 00:16:08,220
891
+ We must decide whether we stand on the side of life and good or on the side of depraved terrorism, inhumanity, and evil.
892
+
893
+ 224
894
+ 00:16:08,220 --> 00:16:10,141
895
+ That's what the Israeli minister said.
896
+
897
+ 225
898
+ 00:16:10,141 --> 00:16:12,123
899
+ AP and Reuters have issued statements since.
900
+
901
+ 226
902
+ 00:16:12,123 --> 00:16:16,186
903
+ They say they had no prior knowledge of the Hamas attacks.
904
+
905
+ 227
906
+ 00:16:16,186 --> 00:16:18,288
907
+ What about the New York Times and CNN?
908
+
909
+ 228
910
+ 00:16:18,288 --> 00:16:20,830
911
+ As of this evening, they had not commented.
912
+
913
+ 229
914
+ 00:16:20,830 --> 00:16:23,513
915
+ Now, whichever way this turns out, it raises an important question.
916
+
917
+ 230
918
+ 00:16:24,392 --> 00:16:30,155
919
+ At what point do you graduate from being a chronicler to a collaborator?
920
+
921
+ 231
922
+ 00:16:30,155 --> 00:16:36,999
923
+ When you see a terrorist attack being launched, do you alert authorities or click pictures?
924
+
925
+ 232
926
+ 00:16:36,999 --> 00:16:42,602
927
+ The answer should be obvious, but given what I've just told you, perhaps we should spell it out.
928
+
929
+ 233
930
+ 00:16:42,602 --> 00:16:46,625
931
+ The massacre of innocent civilians should be a red flag.
932
+
933
+ 234
934
+ 00:16:46,625 --> 00:16:50,707
935
+ In such a case, you should try to be a human first and then a journalist.
936
+
937
+ 235
938
+ 00:16:56,397 --> 00:17:01,362
939
+ So I guess everyone's on trial, the army, the media, maybe even the prime minister.
940
+
941
+ 236
942
+ 00:17:01,362 --> 00:17:02,203
943
+ That's right.
944
+
945
+ 237
946
+ 00:17:02,203 --> 00:17:06,728
947
+ South Africa wants Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu to be arrested.
948
+
949
+ 238
950
+ 00:17:06,728 --> 00:17:09,510
951
+ They want him charged with war crimes.
952
+
953
+ 239
954
+ 00:17:10,452 --> 00:17:12,153
955
+ It's not a surprise, though.
956
+
957
+ 240
958
+ 00:17:12,153 --> 00:17:15,375
959
+ South Africa has been firmly pro-Palestine.
960
+
961
+ 241
962
+ 00:17:15,375 --> 00:17:17,256
963
+ They have criticized Israel's war.
964
+
965
+ 242
966
+ 00:17:17,256 --> 00:17:19,057
967
+ They've also reached out to Hamas.
968
+
969
+ 243
970
+ 00:17:19,057 --> 00:17:22,299
971
+ So calling for Netanyahu's arrest was just around the corner.
972
+
973
+ 244
974
+ 00:17:22,299 --> 00:17:25,060
975
+ Nonetheless, let's take a closer look at what's happened.
976
+
977
+ 245
978
+ 00:17:25,060 --> 00:17:27,702
979
+ Why does South Africa back Palestine?
980
+
981
+ 246
982
+ 00:17:27,702 --> 00:17:30,803
983
+ Can Netanyahu really be arrested or charged?
984
+
985
+ 247
986
+ 00:17:30,803 --> 00:17:33,705
987
+ And what is the role of our so-called global courts here?
988
+
989
+ 248
990
+ 00:17:34,755 --> 00:17:36,296
991
+ Let's start with the first question.
992
+
993
+ 249
994
+ 00:17:36,296 --> 00:17:42,400
995
+ South Africa has a lot in common with Palestine, like colonialism and discrimination.
996
+
997
+ 250
998
+ 00:17:42,400 --> 00:17:47,042
999
+ So their leaders have always sided with Palestine, even Nelson Mandela.
1000
+
1001
+ 251
1002
+ 00:17:47,042 --> 00:17:52,786
1003
+ Plus Israel is seen as a Western proxy in West Asia, sort of like America's right hand.
1004
+
1005
+ 252
1006
+ 00:17:55,185 --> 00:17:58,049
1007
+ So South Africa has consistently criticized them.
1008
+
1009
+ 253
1010
+ 00:17:58,049 --> 00:18:01,493
1011
+ Last year, they wanted Israel to be declared an apartheid state.
1012
+
1013
+ 254
1014
+ 00:18:01,493 --> 00:18:04,497
1015
+ This year, in the month of March, they downgraded relations.
1016
+
1017
+ 255
1018
+ 00:18:04,497 --> 00:18:07,721
1019
+ South Africa's embassy in Israel became a liaison office.
1020
+
1021
+ 256
1022
+ 00:18:07,721 --> 00:18:09,504
1023
+ And now diplomats have been recalled.
1024
+
1025
+ 257
1026
+ 00:18:10,782 --> 00:18:30,327
1027
+ Why recall our embassy officials, this is normal practice, when there's a situation which is causing a great deal of harm and concern to a country, as you would be aware, extremely concerned at the continued killing
1028
+
1029
+ 258
1030
+ 00:18:31,624 --> 00:18:38,848
1031
+ of children and innocent civilians in the Palestinian territories.
1032
+
1033
+ 259
1034
+ 00:18:38,848 --> 00:18:55,818
1035
+ And we believe the nature of response by Israel has become one of collective punishment, which falls fully outside of the practice of international humanitarian and international human rights law.
1036
+
1037
+ 260
1038
+ 00:18:56,977 --> 00:18:58,578
1039
+ Like I said, not surprising.
1040
+
1041
+ 261
1042
+ 00:18:58,578 --> 00:19:00,699
1043
+ But is an arrest even possible?
1044
+
1045
+ 262
1046
+ 00:19:00,699 --> 00:19:03,800
1047
+ South Africa wants the ICC to issue a warrant.
1048
+
1049
+ 263
1050
+ 00:19:03,800 --> 00:19:06,821
1051
+ That's the International Criminal Court, ICC.
1052
+
1053
+ 264
1054
+ 00:19:06,821 --> 00:19:11,943
1055
+ Now the court has no jurisdiction over Israel because they never signed their own statute.
1056
+
1057
+ 265
1058
+ 00:19:11,943 --> 00:19:12,844
1059
+ But over Palestine?
1060
+
1061
+ 266
1062
+ 00:19:13,928 --> 00:19:16,789
1063
+ The ICC says it does.
1064
+
1065
+ 267
1066
+ 00:19:16,789 --> 00:19:21,231
1067
+ Palestine got UN Observer status in 2012.
1068
+
1069
+ 268
1070
+ 00:19:21,231 --> 00:19:23,952
1071
+ Using that, they joined the ICC.
1072
+
1073
+ 269
1074
+ 00:19:23,952 --> 00:19:34,956
1075
+ So the court can rule on issues in Palestine, issues related to Palestine, like the attack on civilians, or drone strikes on hospitals, or collective punishment.
1076
+
1077
+ 270
1078
+ 00:19:35,919 --> 00:19:37,941
1079
+ Of course, Israel and the US reject this.
1080
+
1081
+ 271
1082
+ 00:19:37,941 --> 00:19:40,603
1083
+ They will most likely ignore any warrant or ruling.
1084
+
1085
+ 272
1086
+ 00:19:40,603 --> 00:19:46,227
1087
+ Having said that, this whole episode puts the spotlight on the ICC.
1088
+
1089
+ 273
1090
+ 00:19:46,227 --> 00:19:48,889
1091
+ What have they done so far?
1092
+
1093
+ 274
1094
+ 00:19:48,889 --> 00:19:51,111
1095
+ In the case of Ukraine, the ICC was quick to act.
1096
+
1097
+ 275
1098
+ 00:19:51,111 --> 00:19:54,014
1099
+ They issued an arrest warrant for Vladimir Putin.
1100
+
1101
+ 276
1102
+ 00:19:54,014 --> 00:19:56,496
1103
+ But in Gaza, they've done nothing.
1104
+
1105
+ 277
1106
+ 00:19:56,496 --> 00:19:58,957
1107
+ And I'm not just talking about holding Israel responsible.
1108
+
1109
+ 278
1110
+ 00:19:58,957 --> 00:20:00,459
1111
+ I'm talking about Hamas too.
1112
+
1113
+ 279
1114
+ 00:20:00,459 --> 00:20:04,362
1115
+ Because the United Nations says both sides have committed war crimes.
1116
+
1117
+ 280
1118
+ 00:20:07,472 --> 00:20:13,914
1119
+ The atrocities perpetrated by Palestinian armed groups on the 7th of October were heinous.
1120
+
1121
+ 281
1122
+ 00:20:13,914 --> 00:20:19,296
1123
+ They were war crimes, as is the continued holding of hostages.
1124
+
1125
+ 282
1126
+ 00:20:19,296 --> 00:20:29,520
1127
+ The collective punishment by Israel of Palestinian civilians is also a war crime, as is unlawful, forcible evacuation of civilians.
1128
+
1129
+ 283
1130
+ 00:20:31,431 --> 00:20:34,392
1131
+ The ICC has reduced itself to a farce.
1132
+
1133
+ 284
1134
+ 00:20:34,392 --> 00:20:36,252
1135
+ It has limited jurisdiction.
1136
+
1137
+ 285
1138
+ 00:20:36,252 --> 00:20:39,173
1139
+ It is not backed by any political will.
1140
+
1141
+ 286
1142
+ 00:20:39,173 --> 00:20:43,074
1143
+ And it's made questionable decisions, like after the Iraq War.
1144
+
1145
+ 287
1146
+ 00:20:43,074 --> 00:20:46,155
1147
+ It was clear that US and British troops committed war crimes.
1148
+
1149
+ 288
1150
+ 00:20:46,155 --> 00:20:49,596
1151
+ Washington never signed the Rome Statute, so their soldiers were off limits.
1152
+
1153
+ 289
1154
+ 00:20:49,596 --> 00:20:50,876
1155
+ But Britain had signed it.
1156
+
1157
+ 290
1158
+ 00:20:51,636 --> 00:20:53,657
1159
+ So the ICC began an investigation.
1160
+
1161
+ 291
1162
+ 00:20:53,657 --> 00:20:57,219
1163
+ They published a 180-page report.
1164
+
1165
+ 292
1166
+ 00:20:57,219 --> 00:20:58,140
1167
+ 180 pages.
1168
+
1169
+ 293
1170
+ 00:20:58,140 --> 00:21:00,141
1171
+ They also found evidence of war crimes.
1172
+
1173
+ 294
1174
+ 00:21:00,141 --> 00:21:02,222
1175
+ But what did they do about it?
1176
+
1177
+ 295
1178
+ 00:21:02,222 --> 00:21:03,403
1179
+ Absolutely nothing.
1180
+
1181
+ 296
1182
+ 00:21:03,403 --> 00:21:05,824
1183
+ The ICC decided not to go ahead.
1184
+
1185
+ 297
1186
+ 00:21:05,824 --> 00:21:07,945
1187
+ At the end of the day, it's always political.
1188
+
1189
+ 298
1190
+ 00:21:07,945 --> 00:21:11,287
1191
+ The US loved it when the ICC issued a warrant for Vladimir Putin.
1192
+
1193
+ 299
1194
+ 00:21:12,616 --> 00:21:14,378
1195
+ Would they do the same for Israel?
1196
+
1197
+ 300
1198
+ 00:21:14,378 --> 00:21:15,558
1199
+ Certainly not.
1200
+
1201
+ 301
1202
+ 00:21:15,558 --> 00:21:16,879
1203
+ Same for South Africa.
1204
+
1205
+ 302
1206
+ 00:21:16,879 --> 00:21:24,825
1207
+ They have signed the Rome Statute of the ICC, yet they promised not to arrest Putin if he traveled to their country.
1208
+
1209
+ 303
1210
+ 00:21:24,825 --> 00:21:26,606
1211
+ So where is the consistency?
1212
+
1213
+ 304
1214
+ 00:21:26,606 --> 00:21:33,190
1215
+ You want the ICC to arrest Benjamin Netanyahu, yet your own government is ready to violate the same ICC's order.
1216
+
1217
+ 305
1218
+ 00:21:36,550 --> 00:21:38,671
1219
+ Also, why not call out the Hamas?
1220
+
1221
+ 306
1222
+ 00:21:38,671 --> 00:21:43,832
1223
+ Like the United Nations' rights chief said, both sides are guilty, but South Africa does not seem to care.
1224
+
1225
+ 307
1226
+ 00:21:43,832 --> 00:21:51,794
1227
+ Their foreign minister spoke to the Hamas chief on the phone, and that, two days after the October 7th attack.
1228
+
1229
+ 308
1230
+ 00:21:51,794 --> 00:21:58,776
1231
+ So you see, it's a case of all-round hypocrisy, of picking and choosing whom to prosecute, which war crimes to chase, and which side to call out.
1232
+
1233
+ 309
1234
+ 00:22:04,670 --> 00:22:07,291
1235
+ Meanwhile, in the US, Donald Trump is racing ahead.
1236
+
1237
+ 310
1238
+ 00:22:07,291 --> 00:22:10,232
1239
+ In opinion polls, he's doing better than the sitting president.
1240
+
1241
+ 311
1242
+ 00:22:10,232 --> 00:22:16,033
1243
+ And in the Republican rankings, he beats other presidential hopefuls by a long shot.
1244
+
1245
+ 312
1246
+ 00:22:16,033 --> 00:22:21,094
1247
+ Trump does not participate in Republican debates, yet he dominates them.
1248
+
1249
+ 313
1250
+ 00:22:21,094 --> 00:22:23,695
1251
+ The third one took place in Miami.
1252
+
1253
+ 314
1254
+ 00:22:23,695 --> 00:22:25,436
1255
+ Trump gave it a miss.
1256
+
1257
+ 315
1258
+ 00:22:25,436 --> 00:22:30,337
1259
+ In fact, he chose to attend a rally just a few kilometers away, which left us with five Republicans.
1260
+
1261
+ 316
1262
+ 00:22:30,337 --> 00:22:33,498
1263
+ They sparred over abortion, economy, even shoes.
1264
+
1265
+ 317
1266
+ 00:22:34,485 --> 00:22:36,366
1267
+ It made for some good drama.
1268
+
1269
+ 318
1270
+ 00:22:36,366 --> 00:22:39,927
1271
+ But given Trump's lead, it doesn't really matter.
1272
+
1273
+ 319
1274
+ 00:22:39,927 --> 00:22:41,868
1275
+ Our next report tells you why.
1276
+
1277
+ 320
1278
+ 00:22:56,112 --> 00:22:58,774
1279
+ America is going to polls in 2024.
1280
+
1281
+ 321
1282
+ 00:22:58,774 --> 00:23:00,855
1283
+ They already have a Republican favourite.
1284
+
1285
+ 322
1286
+ 00:23:00,855 --> 00:23:02,476
1287
+ It's Donald Trump.
1288
+
1289
+ 323
1290
+ 00:23:02,476 --> 00:23:05,838
1291
+ But that hasn't stopped the party from conducting presidential debates.
1292
+
1293
+ 324
1294
+ 00:23:07,122 --> 00:23:10,664
1295
+ On Wednesday, five Republicans took the stage in Miami.
1296
+
1297
+ 325
1298
+ 00:23:10,664 --> 00:23:12,726
1299
+ It was the third presidential debate.
1300
+
1301
+ 326
1302
+ 00:23:12,726 --> 00:23:17,149
1303
+ This time, there was more space, both for opinions and on the stage.
1304
+
1305
+ 327
1306
+ 00:23:17,149 --> 00:23:23,013
1307
+ That's because two Republicans have already dropped out, and for those left, there's not much hope.
1308
+
1309
+ 328
1310
+ 00:23:23,013 --> 00:23:27,936
1311
+ Donald Trump still loomed large over the debate, though he wasn't even there.
1312
+
1313
+ 329
1314
+ 00:23:27,936 --> 00:23:30,718
1315
+ Trump was, in fact, at a rally a few kilometers away.
1316
+
1317
+ 330
1318
+ 00:23:31,496 --> 00:23:32,357
1319
+ Look where we are now.
1320
+
1321
+ 331
1322
+ 00:23:32,357 --> 00:23:34,741
1323
+ It's a lot different than we were in 2016.
1324
+
1325
+ 332
1326
+ 00:23:34,741 --> 00:23:38,628
1327
+ And Donald Trump's a lot different guy than he was in 2016.
1328
+
1329
+ 333
1330
+ 00:23:38,628 --> 00:23:44,016
1331
+ He owes it to you to be on this stage and explain why he should get another chance.
1332
+
1333
+ 334
1334
+ 00:23:44,912 --> 00:23:47,173
1335
+ tells you how important these debates are.
1336
+
1337
+ 335
1338
+ 00:23:47,173 --> 00:23:49,495
1339
+ The top candidate isn't even there.
1340
+
1341
+ 336
1342
+ 00:23:49,495 --> 00:23:52,577
1343
+ And the others are fighting to get close to him.
1344
+
1345
+ 337
1346
+ 00:23:52,577 --> 00:23:59,160
1347
+ Trump is leading right now by a wide margin, which means these five people are running out of chances.
1348
+
1349
+ 338
1350
+ 00:23:59,160 --> 00:24:02,062
1351
+ The Iowa caucus is just two months away.
1352
+
1353
+ 339
1354
+ 00:24:02,062 --> 00:24:05,284
1355
+ It's the first real contest in the nomination process.
1356
+
1357
+ 340
1358
+ 00:24:05,284 --> 00:24:08,746
1359
+ So to make a mark, these Republicans have to work hard.
1360
+
1361
+ 341
1362
+ 00:24:08,746 --> 00:24:09,907
1363
+ And they did try.
1364
+
1365
+ 342
1366
+ 00:24:10,487 --> 00:24:13,890
1367
+ There were some strong statements, some verbal jostling, and even some name-calling.
1368
+
1369
+ 343
1370
+ 00:24:13,890 --> 00:24:16,632
1371
+ Which brings us to the key takeaways from this debate.
1372
+
1373
+ 344
1374
+ 00:24:38,911 --> 00:24:40,974
1375
+ There was a united front on Israel.
1376
+
1377
+ 345
1378
+ 00:24:40,974 --> 00:24:46,321
1379
+ All of them talked about defeating Hamas and they also supported Israel's right to self-defense.
1380
+
1381
+ 346
1382
+ 00:24:46,321 --> 00:24:53,551
1383
+ But while they were united on Israel, all of the candidates were divided on abortion in this third debate that was hosted by NBC News.
1384
+
1385
+ 347
1386
+ 00:24:56,843 --> 00:24:59,385
1387
+ We're better off when everybody counts.
1388
+
1389
+ 348
1390
+ 00:24:59,385 --> 00:25:01,987
1391
+ We're better off when we can promote a culture of life.
1392
+
1393
+ 349
1394
+ 00:25:01,987 --> 00:25:06,371
1395
+ At the same time, I understand that some of these states are doing it a little bit different.
1396
+
1397
+ 350
1398
+ 00:25:06,371 --> 00:25:09,393
1399
+ Let's talk now about last night's election results.
1400
+
1401
+ 351
1402
+ 00:25:09,393 --> 00:25:16,599
1403
+ And what I'll tell you is, as much as I'm pro-life, I don't judge anyone for being pro-choice, and I don't want them to judge me for being pro-life.
1404
+
1405
+ 352
1406
+ 00:25:17,159 --> 00:25:21,122
1407
+ That said, if we had to choose a winner, it would be Nikki Haley.
1408
+
1409
+ 353
1410
+ 00:25:21,122 --> 00:25:22,884
1411
+ She's the lone woman in the race.
1412
+
1413
+ 354
1414
+ 00:25:22,884 --> 00:25:28,088
1415
+ She's been rising in the polls, which explains why she came under attack all night.
1416
+
1417
+ 355
1418
+ 00:25:28,088 --> 00:25:35,455
1419
+ Do you want a leader from a different generation who's going to put this country first or do you want Dick Cheney in three-inch heels?
1420
+
1421
+ 356
1422
+ 00:25:35,455 --> 00:25:37,617
1423
+ In which case, we've got two of them on stage.
1424
+
1425
+ 357
1426
+ 00:25:37,617 --> 00:25:42,000
1427
+ Yes, I'd first like to say they're five-inch heels and I don't wear them unless you can run in them.
1428
+
1429
+ 358
1430
+ 00:25:46,985 --> 00:25:59,911
1431
+ They're firing hard but may not have much to show for it because Trump remains the leading Republican candidate.
1432
+
1433
+ 359
1434
+ 00:25:59,911 --> 00:26:01,652
1435
+ He skipped all the debates.
1436
+
1437
+ 360
1438
+ 00:26:01,652 --> 00:26:04,673
1439
+ And you can't debate someone who isn't there.
1440
+
1441
+ 361
1442
+ 00:26:04,673 --> 00:26:10,175
1443
+ Which means instead of taking down Trump, the candidates are left to spar among themselves.
1444
+
1445
+ 362
1446
+ 00:26:10,175 --> 00:26:13,537
1447
+ Which makes you wonder, what's the point of the Republican debates?
1448
+
1449
+ 363
1450
+ 00:26:19,209 --> 00:26:21,590
1451
+ Now, here's the thing about military rulers.
1452
+
1453
+ 364
1454
+ 00:26:21,590 --> 00:26:24,151
1455
+ They never admit defeat.
1456
+
1457
+ 365
1458
+ 00:26:24,151 --> 00:26:32,695
1459
+ It's always about projecting strength, about showing the people who's in charge, which is why the events in Myanmar have raised eyebrows.
1460
+
1461
+ 366
1462
+ 00:26:32,695 --> 00:26:37,557
1463
+ Their president convened a meeting, a meeting today.
1464
+
1465
+ 367
1466
+ 00:26:37,557 --> 00:26:39,858
1467
+ All his top aides were rounded up.
1468
+
1469
+ 368
1470
+ 00:26:39,858 --> 00:26:41,919
1471
+ And guess what the president said?
1472
+
1473
+ 369
1474
+ 00:26:41,919 --> 00:26:44,320
1475
+ He said, Myanmar is at risk of breaking apart.
1476
+
1477
+ 370
1478
+ 00:26:45,097 --> 00:26:50,064
1479
+ Now you don't hear that every day, a military appointed president admitting that things are not okay.
1480
+
1481
+ 371
1482
+ 00:26:51,803 --> 00:26:53,324
1483
+ So what led to this?
1484
+
1485
+ 372
1486
+ 00:26:53,324 --> 00:26:54,924
1487
+ A civil war.
1488
+
1489
+ 373
1490
+ 00:26:54,924 --> 00:26:56,445
1491
+ It's not a new problem for the country.
1492
+
1493
+ 374
1494
+ 00:26:56,445 --> 00:27:03,108
1495
+ Myanmar has been at civil war for almost seven decades, basically since the Second World War.
1496
+
1497
+ 375
1498
+ 00:27:03,108 --> 00:27:05,249
1499
+ The fighting is constant.
1500
+
1501
+ 376
1502
+ 00:27:05,249 --> 00:27:06,949
1503
+ Only the parties change.
1504
+
1505
+ 377
1506
+ 00:27:06,949 --> 00:27:09,250
1507
+ So who are the warring sides this time?
1508
+
1509
+ 378
1510
+ 00:27:09,250 --> 00:27:12,992
1511
+ Well, most of the action is here in the Shan state in northern Myanmar.
1512
+
1513
+ 379
1514
+ 00:27:12,992 --> 00:27:17,054
1515
+ It is bordered by China to the north, Laos to the east, and Thailand to the south.
1516
+
1517
+ 380
1518
+ 00:27:17,799 --> 00:27:22,728
1519
+ It's full of jungles and hills, the perfect place to carry out an insurgency.
1520
+
1521
+ 381
1522
+ 00:27:22,728 --> 00:27:25,053
1523
+ Three ethnic armies are involved this time.
1524
+
1525
+ 382
1526
+ 00:27:25,053 --> 00:27:27,197
1527
+ They're backed by a number of militant groups.
1528
+
1529
+ 383
1530
+ 00:27:28,072 --> 00:27:29,433
1531
+ And what do they want?
1532
+
1533
+ 384
1534
+ 00:27:29,433 --> 00:27:33,834
1535
+ To overthrow the military junta, the military government that took charge in 2021.
1536
+
1537
+ 385
1538
+ 00:27:33,834 --> 00:27:35,735
1539
+ And guess what?
1540
+
1541
+ 386
1542
+ 00:27:35,735 --> 00:27:37,356
1543
+ The junta is spooked.
1544
+
1545
+ 387
1546
+ 00:27:37,356 --> 00:27:40,497
1547
+ The insurgents have made stunning progress in two weeks.
1548
+
1549
+ 388
1550
+ 00:27:40,497 --> 00:27:43,418
1551
+ They've captured 100 military posts.
1552
+
1553
+ 389
1554
+ 00:27:43,418 --> 00:27:45,219
1555
+ They've taken four towns.
1556
+
1557
+ 390
1558
+ 00:27:45,219 --> 00:27:47,820
1559
+ Also, key roads leading to the China border.
1560
+
1561
+ 391
1562
+ 00:27:47,820 --> 00:27:51,641
1563
+ Entire army units have surrendered without a fight.
1564
+
1565
+ 392
1566
+ 00:27:51,641 --> 00:27:53,002
1567
+ Hence the fear.
1568
+
1569
+ 393
1570
+ 00:27:53,002 --> 00:27:55,943
1571
+ For the first time, the junta in Myanmar is worried.
1572
+
1573
+ 394
1574
+ 00:27:57,148 --> 00:27:59,209
1575
+ maybe even on the roads.
1576
+
1577
+ 395
1578
+ 00:27:59,209 --> 00:28:04,411
1579
+ It's too early to say who will win, but chances are this will drag on for a long time.
1580
+
1581
+ 396
1582
+ 00:28:04,411 --> 00:28:07,532
1583
+ So the question is, how will it affect the wider region?
1584
+
1585
+ 397
1586
+ 00:28:07,532 --> 00:28:09,293
1587
+ How will it affect India?
1588
+
1589
+ 398
1590
+ 00:28:09,293 --> 00:28:13,915
1591
+ First of all, you have a long border, more than 1,600 kilometers long, India and Myanmar.
1592
+
1593
+ 399
1594
+ 00:28:15,404 --> 00:28:20,668
1595
+ four Indian states border Myanmar, Arunachal Pradesh, Nagaland, Mizoram, and Manipur.
1596
+
1597
+ 400
1598
+ 00:28:20,668 --> 00:28:23,170
1599
+ This border region is a dense jungle.
1600
+
1601
+ 401
1602
+ 00:28:23,170 --> 00:28:25,432
1603
+ It is home to multiple insurgent groups.
1604
+
1605
+ 402
1606
+ 00:28:25,432 --> 00:28:28,134
1607
+ Many of them have fought against the Myanmar army.
1608
+
1609
+ 403
1610
+ 00:28:28,134 --> 00:28:34,179
1611
+ So the worry is they will do it again, and they will use the Shan Offensive to attack the junta.
1612
+
1613
+ 404
1614
+ 00:28:34,179 --> 00:28:39,403
1615
+ If they do, it's a problem for India, because fighting along the border leads to refugees.
1616
+
1617
+ 405
1618
+ 00:28:39,403 --> 00:28:40,885
1619
+ Consider what happened after the coup.
1620
+
1621
+ 406
1622
+ 00:28:41,485 --> 00:28:45,568
1623
+ two years back, almost 30,000 refugees poured into India.
1624
+
1625
+ 407
1626
+ 00:28:45,568 --> 00:28:48,531
1627
+ And right now that's not ideal, especially not in Manipur.
1628
+
1629
+ 408
1630
+ 00:28:48,531 --> 00:28:50,592
1631
+ The state is dealing with its own conflict.
1632
+
1633
+ 409
1634
+ 00:28:50,592 --> 00:28:55,857
1635
+ Two ethnic groups are facing off against each other in Manipur, the Kukis and the Metis.
1636
+
1637
+ 410
1638
+ 00:28:55,857 --> 00:28:58,359
1639
+ The violence began in May this year.
1640
+
1641
+ 411
1642
+ 00:28:58,359 --> 00:29:02,182
1643
+ But even after six months, it has not been resolved.
1644
+
1645
+ 412
1646
+ 00:29:02,182 --> 00:29:03,683
1647
+ And Kukis have allies in Myanmar.
1648
+
1649
+ 413
1650
+ 00:29:03,683 --> 00:29:05,885
1651
+ So you can imagine why it's a worry.
1652
+
1653
+ 414
1654
+ 00:29:06,826 --> 00:29:15,368
1655
+ Beyond that, New Delhi and the junta have had a professional relationship, even when Myanmar was a democracy.
1656
+
1657
+ 415
1658
+ 00:29:15,368 --> 00:29:22,110
1659
+ Whether it's on counterinsurgency or counter-narcotics or border security, we've had a professional relationship.
1660
+
1661
+ 416
1662
+ 00:29:22,110 --> 00:29:26,031
1663
+ So a civil war would put India in a tough spot.
1664
+
1665
+ 417
1666
+ 00:29:26,031 --> 00:29:31,912
1667
+ Yes, New Delhi prefers a democratic Myanmar, but constant fighting does not help.
1668
+
1669
+ 418
1670
+ 00:29:31,912 --> 00:29:34,112
1671
+ And it's not a worry for India alone.
1672
+
1673
+ 419
1674
+ 00:29:34,112 --> 00:29:36,373
1675
+ All of Myanmar's neighbors will be concerned.
1676
+
1677
+ 420
1678
+ 00:29:37,512 --> 00:29:41,553
1679
+ If India's worry is security, Southeast Asia's worry is drugs.
1680
+
1681
+ 421
1682
+ 00:29:41,553 --> 00:29:44,414
1683
+ The Shan state is known for narcotics.
1684
+
1685
+ 422
1686
+ 00:29:44,414 --> 00:29:45,914
1687
+ At first, it was opium.
1688
+
1689
+ 423
1690
+ 00:29:45,914 --> 00:29:51,396
1691
+ Nowadays, it's methamphetamine and crystal meth.
1692
+
1693
+ 424
1694
+ 00:29:51,396 --> 00:29:53,996
1695
+ The insurgent groups are part of this trade.
1696
+
1697
+ 425
1698
+ 00:29:53,996 --> 00:29:55,197
1699
+ It brings them good money.
1700
+
1701
+ 426
1702
+ 00:29:55,197 --> 00:29:58,237
1703
+ In fact, Laos has been flooded by these drugs.
1704
+
1705
+ 427
1706
+ 00:29:58,237 --> 00:30:00,138
1707
+ Meth pills are being sold for 0.2%.
1708
+
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