{ "cells": [ { "cell_type": "code", "execution_count": 1, "metadata": {}, "outputs": [], "source": [ "import pandas as pd" ] }, { "cell_type": "code", "execution_count": 2, "metadata": {}, "outputs": [], "source": [ "all_trades = pd.read_parquet('../data/all_trades_profitability.parquet')" ] }, { "cell_type": "code", "execution_count": 3, "metadata": {}, "outputs": [ { "data": { "text/plain": [ "Index(['trader_address', 'market_creator', 'trade_id', 'creation_timestamp',\n", " 'title', 'market_status', 'collateral_amount', 'outcome_index',\n", " 'trade_fee_amount', 'outcomes_tokens_traded', 'current_answer',\n", " 'is_invalid', 'winning_trade', 'earnings', 'redeemed',\n", " 'redeemed_amount', 'num_mech_calls', 'mech_fee_amount', 'net_earnings',\n", " 'roi', 'staking'],\n", " dtype='object')" ] }, "execution_count": 3, "metadata": {}, "output_type": "execute_result" } ], "source": [ "all_trades.columns" ] }, { "cell_type": "code", "execution_count": null, "metadata": {}, "outputs": [], "source": [] }, { "cell_type": "code", "execution_count": 32, "metadata": {}, "outputs": [ { "data": { "text/html": [ "
\n", " | trader_address | \n", "market_creator | \n", "trade_id | \n", "creation_timestamp | \n", "title | \n", "market_status | \n", "collateral_amount | \n", "outcome_index | \n", "trade_fee_amount | \n", "outcomes_tokens_traded | \n", "... | \n", "winning_trade | \n", "earnings | \n", "redeemed | \n", "redeemed_amount | \n", "num_mech_calls | \n", "mech_fee_amount | \n", "net_earnings | \n", "roi | \n", "staking | \n", "nr_mech_calls | \n", "
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0 | \n", "0x01274796ce41aa8e8312e05a427ffb4b0d2148f6 | \n", "quickstart | \n", "0x007068173910cf8719b6f2e66a18b6825c9dde820x01... | \n", "2024-10-10 21:43:25+00:00 | \n", "Will the emergency public warning tests planne... | \n", "CLOSED | \n", "0.930597 | \n", "0 | \n", "0.009306 | \n", "1.574258 | \n", "... | \n", "True | \n", "1.574258 | \n", "True | \n", "1.574258 | \n", "1 | \n", "0.01 | \n", "0.624356 | \n", "0.657284 | \n", "non_staking | \n", "NaN | \n", "
1 | \n", "0x01274796ce41aa8e8312e05a427ffb4b0d2148f6 | \n", "quickstart | \n", "0x00d659d7749fda4f1c9402182ca5d7ce26cf5cd10x01... | \n", "2024-10-18 00:36:50+00:00 | \n", "Will the Northern Lights be visible over UK sk... | \n", "CLOSED | \n", "1.375603 | \n", "1 | \n", "0.013756 | \n", "1.942215 | \n", "... | \n", "False | \n", "0.000000 | \n", "False | \n", "0.000000 | \n", "1 | \n", "0.01 | \n", "-1.399359 | \n", "-1.000000 | \n", "non_staking | \n", "NaN | \n", "
2 | \n", "0x01274796ce41aa8e8312e05a427ffb4b0d2148f6 | \n", "quickstart | \n", "0x02ccdf04646d9a55332e67a73e4ffdab2368d05f0x01... | \n", "2024-10-23 22:37:35+00:00 | \n", "Will any Republican lawmakers introduce legisl... | \n", "CLOSED | \n", "0.471695 | \n", "1 | \n", "0.004717 | \n", "0.784784 | \n", "... | \n", "True | \n", "0.784784 | \n", "True | \n", "0.784784 | \n", "1 | \n", "0.01 | \n", "0.298372 | \n", "0.613414 | \n", "non_staking | \n", "NaN | \n", "
3 | \n", "0x01274796ce41aa8e8312e05a427ffb4b0d2148f6 | \n", "quickstart | \n", "0x09f47ce8995abf1d5b91f2cbfa940ede2fb954c30x01... | \n", "2024-10-20 23:58:35+00:00 | \n", "Will any new major AI-driven fraud detection t... | \n", "CLOSED | \n", "0.289046 | \n", "1 | \n", "0.002890 | \n", "0.445590 | \n", "... | \n", "False | \n", "0.000000 | \n", "False | \n", "0.000000 | \n", "5 | \n", "0.05 | \n", "-0.341936 | \n", "-1.000000 | \n", "non_staking | \n", "NaN | \n", "
4 | \n", "0x01274796ce41aa8e8312e05a427ffb4b0d2148f6 | \n", "quickstart | \n", "0x0c86942c52740316bbdb70303c5aaee40876d8ce0x01... | \n", "2024-10-24 22:42:00+00:00 | \n", "Will any new norovirus vaccine trial sites be ... | \n", "CLOSED | \n", "0.286552 | \n", "1 | \n", "0.002866 | \n", "0.470457 | \n", "... | \n", "True | \n", "0.470457 | \n", "True | \n", "0.470457 | \n", "1 | \n", "0.01 | \n", "0.171040 | \n", "0.571242 | \n", "non_staking | \n", "NaN | \n", "
5 rows × 22 columns
\n", "\n", " | trader_address | \n", "market_creator | \n", "trade_id | \n", "creation_timestamp | \n", "title | \n", "market_status | \n", "collateral_amount | \n", "outcome_index | \n", "trade_fee_amount | \n", "outcomes_tokens_traded | \n", "... | \n", "is_invalid | \n", "winning_trade | \n", "earnings | \n", "redeemed | \n", "redeemed_amount | \n", "num_mech_calls | \n", "mech_fee_amount | \n", "net_earnings | \n", "roi | \n", "staking | \n", "
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
8778 | \n", "0x047f8663b254d90d28af6d8ca7181947e94577ce | \n", "pearl | \n", "0x2379c39b63aa1a3e37d4a7e4b909a699b4c14a810x04... | \n", "2024-11-30 16:57:40+00:00 | \n", "Will the IAEA issue a formal statement regardi... | \n", "OPEN | \n", "0.025 | \n", "0 | \n", "0.00025 | \n", "0.047923 | \n", "... | \n", "False | \n", "None | \n", "0.0 | \n", "False | \n", "0 | \n", "0 | \n", "0.0 | \n", "-0.02525 | \n", "-1.0 | \n", "pearl | \n", "
8779 | \n", "0x047f8663b254d90d28af6d8ca7181947e94577ce | \n", "pearl | \n", "0xbb96f5a99bf452aa202fea0b36b0910734377d450x04... | \n", "2024-11-30 16:45:25+00:00 | \n", "Will the IAEA confirm Iran has started feeding... | \n", "OPEN | \n", "0.025 | \n", "0 | \n", "0.00025 | \n", "0.049461 | \n", "... | \n", "False | \n", "None | \n", "0.0 | \n", "False | \n", "0 | \n", "0 | \n", "0.0 | \n", "-0.02525 | \n", "-1.0 | \n", "pearl | \n", "
8780 | \n", "0x047f8663b254d90d28af6d8ca7181947e94577ce | \n", "pearl | \n", "0xcd34c44c5f944bcf05f958e5d25960f8fcda664b0x04... | \n", "2024-12-01 18:38:40+00:00 | \n", "Will Iran install more than 6,000 new centrifu... | \n", "OPEN | \n", "0.025 | \n", "1 | \n", "0.00025 | \n", "0.046737 | \n", "... | \n", "False | \n", "None | \n", "0.0 | \n", "False | \n", "0 | \n", "0 | \n", "0.0 | \n", "-0.02525 | \n", "-1.0 | \n", "pearl | \n", "
8781 | \n", "0x047f8663b254d90d28af6d8ca7181947e94577ce | \n", "pearl | \n", "0xff1d1569a94ebad89612213f083a3cb948415f740x04... | \n", "2024-11-30 17:00:30+00:00 | \n", "Will Rivian's stock price increase by at least... | \n", "OPEN | \n", "0.025 | \n", "0 | \n", "0.00025 | \n", "0.047316 | \n", "... | \n", "False | \n", "None | \n", "0.0 | \n", "False | \n", "0 | \n", "0 | \n", "0.0 | \n", "-0.02525 | \n", "-1.0 | \n", "pearl | \n", "
8782 | \n", "0x06d873e7465a6680f5487905d7b5daf7f2c6e299 | \n", "pearl | \n", "0x2379c39b63aa1a3e37d4a7e4b909a699b4c14a810x06... | \n", "2024-12-02 17:07:05+00:00 | \n", "Will the IAEA issue a formal statement regardi... | \n", "OPEN | \n", "0.025 | \n", "0 | \n", "0.00025 | \n", "0.043896 | \n", "... | \n", "False | \n", "None | \n", "0.0 | \n", "False | \n", "0 | \n", "0 | \n", "0.0 | \n", "-0.02525 | \n", "-1.0 | \n", "pearl | \n", "
5 rows × 21 columns
\n", "\n", " | trader_address | \n", "market_creator | \n", "trade_id | \n", "creation_timestamp | \n", "title | \n", "market_status | \n", "collateral_amount | \n", "outcome_index | \n", "trade_fee_amount | \n", "outcomes_tokens_traded | \n", "... | \n", "is_invalid | \n", "winning_trade | \n", "earnings | \n", "redeemed | \n", "redeemed_amount | \n", "num_mech_calls | \n", "mech_fee_amount | \n", "net_earnings | \n", "roi | \n", "staking | \n", "
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0 | \n", "0x027592700fafc4db3221bb662d7bdc7f546a2bb5 | \n", "quickstart | \n", "0x08ee7c048ea0b7e3c967a455cf7da5e38abdbaff0x02... | \n", "2024-11-28 16:56:25+00:00 | \n", "Will any major legal precedent regarding influ... | \n", "OPEN | \n", "0.318926 | \n", "1 | \n", "0.003189 | \n", "0.642313 | \n", "... | \n", "False | \n", "None | \n", "0.0 | \n", "False | \n", "0 | \n", "0 | \n", "0.0 | \n", "-0.322116 | \n", "-1.0 | \n", "non_agent | \n", "
1 | \n", "0x027592700fafc4db3221bb662d7bdc7f546a2bb5 | \n", "quickstart | \n", "0x08ee7c048ea0b7e3c967a455cf7da5e38abdbaff0x02... | \n", "2024-11-30 15:00:10+00:00 | \n", "Will any major legal precedent regarding influ... | \n", "OPEN | \n", "0.106057 | \n", "0 | \n", "0.001061 | \n", "0.244680 | \n", "... | \n", "False | \n", "None | \n", "0.0 | \n", "False | \n", "0 | \n", "0 | \n", "0.0 | \n", "-0.107117 | \n", "-1.0 | \n", "non_agent | \n", "
2 | \n", "0x027592700fafc4db3221bb662d7bdc7f546a2bb5 | \n", "quickstart | \n", "0x1bdd848ae9044375c11b6ab5eddd2e4f9ff0f0aa0x02... | \n", "2024-12-01 23:09:55+00:00 | \n", "Will any Democratic senator publicly call for ... | \n", "OPEN | \n", "0.152501 | \n", "0 | \n", "0.001525 | \n", "0.304904 | \n", "... | \n", "False | \n", "None | \n", "0.0 | \n", "False | \n", "0 | \n", "0 | \n", "0.0 | \n", "-0.154026 | \n", "-1.0 | \n", "non_agent | \n", "
3 | \n", "0x027592700fafc4db3221bb662d7bdc7f546a2bb5 | \n", "quickstart | \n", "0x25408c25b8681e994e2e12c6754ddf446124cce90x02... | \n", "2024-11-30 13:54:45+00:00 | \n", "Will any major Linux distribution announce a s... | \n", "OPEN | \n", "0.245306 | \n", "0 | \n", "0.002453 | \n", "0.507058 | \n", "... | \n", "False | \n", "None | \n", "0.0 | \n", "False | \n", "0 | \n", "0 | \n", "0.0 | \n", "-0.247759 | \n", "-1.0 | \n", "non_agent | \n", "
4 | \n", "0x027592700fafc4db3221bb662d7bdc7f546a2bb5 | \n", "quickstart | \n", "0x2b5f1a0eef4c846bfddc4ae88bd1a6d02a9e703d0x02... | \n", "2024-11-30 13:39:40+00:00 | \n", "Will any cybersecurity firm release a detailed... | \n", "OPEN | \n", "0.277566 | \n", "0 | \n", "0.002776 | \n", "0.520043 | \n", "... | \n", "False | \n", "None | \n", "0.0 | \n", "False | \n", "0 | \n", "0 | \n", "0.0 | \n", "-0.280342 | \n", "-1.0 | \n", "non_agent | \n", "
5 rows × 21 columns
\n", "