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GS
For Wall Street The World Cup Is A High Stakes Investment Game
By If Wall Street investment is like a high stakes game is the converse true That is the question behind a quadrennial Goldman Sachs NYSE GS exercise that analyzes the World Cup as if it were an investment opportunity When the four week tournament kicks off in Brazil on June 12 hundreds of millions of avid fans will follow it obsessively And just as players are always looking for an edge bettors including the Wall Street variety will also be searching for that little extra insight that they can use to their advantage So which team is likely to pay dividends Every four years Goldman Sachs experts analyze vast amounts of historical data and statistics to make predictions about the World Cup then use the data to poll thousands of clients and create a dream team We could only wish for this level of dedication from our team around the world to their regular tasks the authors of this year s analysis wrote in the introduction Using data going back to 1960 and analyzing factors such as team rankings number of goals scored and where the tournament was held they predict that Brazil will win the final match Key factors the team s record and its home field advantage But they took their predictions beyond the field and into the market There is no doubt that the World Cup captures huge attention and with it generates a massive amount of passion But does it have any impact on stock markets the analysts asked The Goldman Sachs report The World Cup and Economics 2014 posits that a World Cup victory boosts a country s market for months after the event while the runner up experiences a slump There is a clear pattern of outperformance by the winning team in the weeks after the World Cup final the authors wrote citing an average advantage of 3 5 percent over global equity markets For example just a month after Brazil s win in 1994 when the World Cup was played in the U S the Brazilian market outperformed the MSCI World Index by 21 percent jumping to 38 percent three months later Meanwhile seven out of nine runners up saw their stock markets underperform following the World Cup falling on average of 5 6 percent over three months Some analysts aren t so optimistic Dario Perkins of Lombard Street Research warned that it s not just the soccer fans who will be biting their nails next month For many the soccer World Cup is a time of anxiousness and suffering followed by chaotic collapse England fans have come to expect this but the pain doesn t always stop there he wrote in a note The first World Cup in 1930 coincided with the start of the Great Depression In 1990 the U S was in recession Four years later global bond markets were in turmoil and in 1998 Russia defaulted on its debt and the world s biggest hedge fund collapsed The coincidences got me thinking What could go wrong this time Perkins wrote citing the downfall of Japan s Abenomics a currency war between the U S and EU and unknown fallout from the Ukraine Russia crisis as possibilities Like the England soccer team s defense the global financial system might be more fragile than we like to believe he added Betting on the correlation between stock prices and sports events probably isn t the best financial strategy But it isn t completely without merit A World Cup Win can boost the population s mood which can have a small effect on markets In 2010 Germany s strong run had analysts predicting an uptick in consumer demand and boost to the economy It is plausible that sporting success can provide a temporary boost to stock markets said Julian Jessop chief global economist at Capital Economics citing rising consumer confidence as one of the major factors But the bump shouldn t last long Whether there is any lasting boost to actual activity and profits is debatable and the potential uplift to equity prices is small and could easily be offset by other factors he said Indeed the 3 5 percent boost Goldman Sachs analysts saw isn t enough to be statistically significant according to sports economics expert Victor Matheson a professor at the College of the Holy Cross in Worcester Massachusetts It looks like that s just an artifact of pure luck There is certainly no good economic or statistical evidence that winning the World Cup does a whole lot for your economy he said If you look at any sort of event over time and average things out about half the time the stock market will be up and half the time it ll be down he added Of course specific industries do well during these events Brazil has spent 13 billion on infrastructure which is a boon for construction companies for example Hotels in host cities are also likely to see a major benefit But hosting the event is a double edged sword I wouldn t be putting all my money into the Brazilian stock market right now Matheson said adding that it might be an especially risky move considering the debt they ll have to pay after hosting the 2014 World Cup and 2016 Olympics The only thing you can predict is that it s going to be a real headache for Brazil to pay back all their debts he said The country has spent 3 6 billion building stadiums alone more than the money spent in the past two World Cups put together as work on other infrastructure projects such as airports roads and other projects stagnate amid bureaucratic problems according to The Wall Street Journal You can probably make more money betting on Goldman s sports predictions than in the Brazilian markets Matheson said
5/28/2014
GS
Goldman Sachs Misses Out On Big Alibaba Payoff
By Goldman Sachs NYSE GS will not benefit when Alibaba sells its stocks to the public even though the Wall Street bank was one of its first investors the New York Times reported on Wednesday night The company sold its stake in Alibaba in 2004 and earned 22 million which was nearly seven times its original investment but it is also one of the banks underwriting the company s initial public offer or IPO which is expected to be the biggest public offer by a company ever Though Goldman Sachs definitely benefited from selling its stake in the company in 2004 it stood to make much more if it had waited another decade Instead of making nearly seven times over their investment Alibaba s value exploded and Goldman Sachs could have made 30 times their original deal Goldman Sachs denied comment to the New York Times Though Goldman Sachs doesn t stand to benefit by Alibaba going public there are two other companies that could rake in millions In January 2000 Japanese technology group SoftBank along with its founder Masayoshi Son invested 20 million in Alibaba For a time the two dominant shareholders in the company were SoftBank and Goldman but since Goldman sold its shares in 2004 SoftBank now holds a 34 percent stake the Times reported citing a company filing GGV Capital a Silicon Valley venture capital firm eventually invested 7 8 million into the company with principal founder Hany Nada being quoted by the Times as saying their company made 30 times its original investment which leaves them with an average return of 200 million The list of lead underwriters according to the Times are Credit Suisse Deutsche Bank Goldman Sachs JPMorgan Chase Morgan Stanley and Citigroup And according to the Guardian Credit Suisse could make more than 100 million from the IPO which is expected to raise more than 20 billion Follow me on Twitter mariamzzarella
6/12/2014
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Ex Goldman Director Gupta Loses Bid To Aviod Prison
By Former Goldman Sachs Group NYSE GS director Rajat Gupta has failed to persuade the U S Supreme Court to delay the June 17 start of his two year prison term while he pursues an appeal of his insider trading conviction Gupta also a former global managing director of the consulting firm McKinsey Co had asked the country s highest court for permission to stay free during his appeal after the 2nd U S Circuit Court of Appeals in Manhattan on May 30 denied him the same request Justice Ruth Bader Ginsburg who handles emergency applications from the 2nd Circuit on Wednesday denied Gupta s request to stay out of prison The full 2nd Circuit has yet to decide whether to rehear Gupta s appeal of his conviction which a three judge panel of that court upheld on March 25 Gary Naftalis a partner at Kramer Levin Naftalis Frankel who represented Gupta declined to comment Seth Waxman a WilmerHale partner and former U S solicitor general is also among Gupta s lawyers Gupta 65 is the highest ranking corporate official to be convicted in the government s multi year probe of insider trading in the hedge fund industry A Manhattan federal jury in June 2012 convicted him of passing tips about Goldman including news about its results and a 5 billion investment from Warren Buffett to his friend Raj Rajaratnam founder of the Galleon Group hedge fund firm In appealing his conviction Gupta is challenging the use of wiretap evidence and the jury instructions Gupta s lawyers have said the appeal is likely to result in a reversal of the conviction and a new trial The trial judge Jed Rakoff has agreed to recommend that Gupta be assigned to a medium security prison in Otisville New York about 70 miles 113 km northwest of New York City Rajaratnam is serving an 11 year prison term after his 2011 insider trading conviction in a case also built with wiretap evidence He is appealing his conviction to the Supreme Court
6/12/2014
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Ex Goldman Director Goes To Prison Still Owes 13 9M Fine
By Former Goldman Sachs Group NYSE GS director Rajat Gupta on Tuesday began serving his two year prison term for insider trading and lost his challenge to a 13 9 million civil penalty and permanent ban from acting as a public company officer Gupta 65 reported to FMC Devens a medical facility and satellite camp in Ayer Massachusetts about 40 miles 64 km northwest of Boston a spokesman for the Federal Bureau of Prisons said The former global managing director of the McKinsey Co consulting firm began his term as the 2nd U S Circuit Court of Appeals separately rejected his claim that the fine and officer ban imposed in a separate U S Securities and Exchange Commision civil case was excessive A three judge panel of that court concluded that U S District Judge Jed Rakoff who oversaw the criminal and civil cases acted within his discretion in imposing that punishment Seth Waxman a lawyer for Gupta did not immediately respond to a request for comment SEC spokesman John Nester declined immediate comment A jury convicted Gupta in June 2012 of passing confidential information he learned from Goldman board meetings including a crucial investment from Warren Buffett to Raj Rajaratnam the onetime billionaire founder of the Galleon Group hedge fund Gupta is appealing his conviction U S Supreme Court Justice Ruth Bader Ginsburg who hears emergency appeals from the 2nd Circuit last week denied his request to stay free on bail while he appeals Rajaratnam is serving an 11 year prison sentence and is also being housed at Devens The Supreme Court on Monday refused to hear his appeal of his conviction Rengan Rajaratnam a former Galleon portfolio manager went on trial on Tuesday in New York on charges that he engaged in insider trading with his older brother In his criminal case Gupta was also ordered to make 6 million in restitution to Goldman and pay a 5 million fine Rakoff imposed the officer ban in the civil case despite finding at the criminal sentencing that Gupta was unlikely to commit future crimes Waxman had argued to the 2nd Circuit that Rakoff s positions were inconsistent but the appeals court said the standard in a criminal context was different from that in a civil case The case is SEC v Gupta 2nd U S Circuit Court of Appeals No 13 3062
6/17/2014
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Wall Street s Biggest Banks Questioned In High Frequency Trading Investigation
By Some of the world s biggest banks are in the crosshairs of New York Attorney General Eric Schneiderman as part of his probe into high frequency trading the controversial practice in which traders get an edge over other investors by buying and selling shares in milliseconds Barclays LONDON BARC and Credit Suisse SIX CSGN are among the banks that have been subpoenaed by Schneiderman sources tell International Business Times The information sought by Schneiderman from the banks focuses on their dark pools which are off exchange platforms that let traders buy and sell stock anonymously under the radar of the rest of the market Such dark pools which are now responsible for about 12 percent to 15 percent of all trades in the U S have aroused the concerns of regulators because sophisticated players like high frequency traders are able to exploit the system Barclays LX and Credit Suisse s Crossfinder are the two biggest dark pools by trading volume The controversy surrounding high frequency trading and dark pools was highlighted in Michael Lewis best selling book Flash Boys which looked at dark pools operated by Credit Suisse Crossfinder Goldman Sachs NYSE GS Sigma X and Merrill Lynch MLXN Lewis described how high frequency traders are able to pay for a special connection to the dark pools find another trader s order go to a public exchange like the NYSE or Nasdaq buy it at a lower price and then quickly sell it to the buyer in the dark pool at a higher price In recent months some institutional funds have stopped trading in some of the biggest dark pools because they feel that they re being burned by high frequency traders who catch on to their trading strategies several former bank executives tell IBTimes If I m being screwed why am I in this pool says one executive What is the advantage of being in the dark pool than in the public exchanges High frequency traders defend the practice by arguing that it has proven beneficial to the market by making trading cheaper and easier As part of his investigation Schneiderman is planning to subpoena exchanges and alternative trading platforms about their relationships with high frequency trading firms reports Reuters The New York Stock Exchange and BATS have already been cooperating with the attorney general sources told Reuters Two weeks ago at least six high frequency trading firms were sent subpoenas High frequency trading is also being probed by the Securities and Exchange Commission the Commodity Futures Trading Commission and the FBI Spokesmen for Barclays and Credit Suisse declined comment to IBTimes Spokespersons for Goldman Sachs Merrill Lynch and Morgan Stanley declined comment when asked whether they had received letters requesting information from Schneiderman as part of the probe A spokesman for Schneiderman also declined comment
5/5/2014
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Citigroup Another 1 13 Billion Mortgage Hit
By Citigroup Inc NYSE C said on Monday that it would pay 1 13 billion in cash to settle claims regarding legacy mortgage securities and other instruments and will take a charge of another 100 million for other expenses in the first quarter of the financial year news reports said The New York based bank signed a pact with 18 institutional investors and 68 bank sponsored trusts to resolve legacy securities issues with investors who had asked the bank to buy back billions in residential mortgage backed securities The trusts had issued a total of 59 4 billion in home mortgage securities between 2005 and 2008 The institutional investors have asked the trusts to accept the offer which will expire June 30 This settlement resolves a significant legacy issue from the financial crisis and we are pleased to put it behind us the company said in a statement The latest settlement is among a series of similar deals seen in the U S banking industry which continues to struggle to find a way out of the housing mortgage bubble which led to the financial crisis in 2008 Citi s settlement offer is subject to approval by the trustees and the court but if it does come through it will release the bank from being forced to buy back the mortgages it sold to the trusts The agreement does not apply to mortgage loans sold through private label securitization trusts which are routed through its consumer mortgage business in CitiMortgage Inc Last year Citi agreed to pay bondholders 730 million to resolve claims that the bank did not reveal its exposure to toxic mortgage assets worth billions of dollars prior to the financial crisis Banks like Goldman Sachs NYSE GS and JPMorgan Chase NYSE JPM have also been accused of selling toxic securities in the years that led to the financial crisis and the banks have agreed to settlements worth billions of dollars to address the charges brought against them In February Citi was told by a court to pay 110 million to homeowners who were forced to pay higher property premiums by the bank The bank had also agreed to refund 8 percent each of premiums paid for insurance against natural disasters such as floods and hurricanes even though the bank or its affiliates received no commissions on the transactions Citi s shares were down 1 19 percent at close on Monday
4/8/2014
GS
Commodities Could See Fall Out From Emerging Markets Unrest
By Emerging market unease from countries with high deficits in early 2014 could have knock on impacts on natural resource markets according to Goldman Sachs Group Inc NYSE GS research Gold platinum copper iron and soybean markets could all be rattled by unease within vulnerable countries which the investment bank defined as those with problems managing trade deficits From this lens vulnerable nations include Argentina Brazil India Indonesia Turkey and South Africa Goldman Sachs commodities analysts said in a note from Wednesday Commodities most exposed include gold on the demand side and copper iron ore soybeans and platinum on the supply side they wrote This reinforces our existing bearish forecasts on these markets The note reinforces the globalized nature of natural resource prices and trading India is a key source of gold demand and imports heavily South Africa produces most of the world s platinum and hosts a community of investors keenly interested in the metal Brazil is close to overtaking the U S as the world s top soybean producer Weaker currencies and slower growth in these countries among other vulnerable groups could hurt demand and impact supplies Those five disparate commodities were the most highly levered to vulnerable emerging markets on a quantitative Goldman analysis Commodities Exposure Among Emerging Markets In Early 2014 Goldman Sachs Research Note Feb 12 2014 Goldman Sachs Research Oil is expected to remain insulated from emerging market turmoil for the time being though We find that the oil market has only a small leverage to this vulnerable EM emerging markets group given its very low price elasticity This along with record low seasonal crude inventories at the end of 2013 is likely a key reason why oil has been so unresponsive to the recent EM turmoil wrote the analysts Luckily many resilient emerging markets consume commodities in good measure which could help rebalance global oversupplies Investors worldwide have been spooked lately by political and economic moves in Argentina and Turkey as global equity markets faltered weeks after coming off an encouraging 2013
2/13/2014
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Gold Wins Strongest Returns In 2014 So Far Goldman Sachs
By After a dismal 2013 gold has actually offered the best returns for the year to date among all asset classes in 2014 according to a Goldman Sachs Group Inc NYSE GS chart from Monday That comes on the heels of a 28 percent decline in gold prices in 2013 its worst year since 1981 Stock markets have been sluggish in early 2014 however pulling out the brakes after a bullish 2013 gave rise to talk of potential market corrections in 2014 Still like many Wall Street analysts the New York based investment bank s metals analysts maintain a dim view of gold prices for the upcoming year Goldman Sachs Jeffrey Currie sees gold averaging 1050 over 2014 down significantly from its current 1318 per ounce In the research note sent out Sunday Goldman Sachs also discussed global equities It held global macroeconomic conferences in Tokyo and Hong Kong last week and said the majority of the 2000 attendees were most bullish on equities relative to other assets and specifically European equities In contrast with Asian investors and portfolio managers Goldman Sachs predicts that the Japanese stock market will post the strongest returns in 2014 It became apparent that Europe is viewed as the default option of choice Past experience has led us to expect a bias in favor of local Asian equity markets but the pattern did not occur this year wrote the Goldman Sachs analysts There is much apprehension over a Chinese economic slowdown and Japan s third arrow of Abenomics reforms which has dampened local sentiment said the analysts Most clients subscribed to our view that the current high valuation of the S P 500 will result in only modest returns for the index in 2014 By process of elimination clients believe European equities have the best near term return possibilities Asia based equity investors also have a dimmer view of potential gains in the S P 500 for 2014 relative to their American counterparts according to the note American home bias exists Many US based investors with whom we have met recently expect the S P 500 will climb to 2000 2200 by the end of this year 10 to 20 No investor we met at the macro conference expressed such a positive view of the US stock market read the note Goldman Sachs forecasted that Japan would post the best total return in 2014 at 23 percent followed by Asian markets excluding Japan 16 percent and Europe 12 percent with U S equities in last place at a projected 6 percent return
2/17/2014
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Goldman s Million Dollar Investment In Women Public Image
By Goldman Sachs Group Inc NYSE GS is set to launch a 600 million fund to help women entrepreneurs in developing countries It s an effort to aid thousands of business owners and of course help the bank s reputation which hasn t been easy Twitter hoax GSElevator aside last month for example Goldman sponsored a Women Engineers Code WECode event But some attendees weren t impressed that their corporate gifts came in the form of Goldman branded nail files and cosmetic mirrors But on Wednesday the bank announced a 50 million donation to its 10 000 Women initiative which launched in conjunction with the World Bank five years ago The project is designed to help grow local economies and bring about greater shared prosperity by providing 10 000 underserved women entrepreneurs with a business and management education access to mentors and networks and links to capital Initially 100 million was given from the bank to the Goldman Sachs Foundation to spend on business and management training for women in more than 40 countries Participants had an average of five years of business experience across 15 sectors including education hospitality textiles and others Their businesses had annual sales between 12 000 and 2 million when the program started according to a report from the company There was a view that we wanted to have our philanthropy align with our business and our business is economic growth said Joe Snodgrass chief operating office of the Office of Corporate Engagement at Goldman Sachs to Devex com discussing the initiative Interventions like this are needed to help better distribute the social benefits of economic growth Indeed women currently make up roughly 40 percent of the total world labor force but half still aren t working There is ample evidence that when women are able to develop their full labor market potential there can be significant macroeconomic gains reads a September report from the International Monetary Fund The International Monetary Fund data also showed that an increase in female workers in certain countries could boost economies anywhere from 10 to 30 percent But besides helping economies the Goldman initiative is also good for Goldman The Financial Times reported on Wednesday that the bank spent 241 million on charitable activities in 2012 making it the nation s fourth largest And the resulting public image is more valuable than it seems The culture of the firm is what protected this firm in the crisis said Lloyd Blankfein Goldman s CEO to the FT We were the firm that in many ways was the most under pressure for the longest period and we came out of it the most stable How does that happen
3/6/2014
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UBS Reviews Precious Metals In Response To Regulators
By Swiss banking giant UBS AG VTX UBSN disclosed in its annual report on Friday that it is reviewing its precious metals business as global regulators step up their examination of currency and commodity benchmarks Precious metals is a niche market though it s part of what UBS considers value added for its wealth management clients said Vontobel Holding AG analyst Andreas Venditti to Bloomberg The bank s precious metals business is organized under its foreign exchange and investment banking arms according to UBS 2013 annual report They offer trading investing and hedging to clients across gold silver platinum and palladium Our presence in physical and non physical precious metals markets has endured for almost a century reads the report Bank balance sheets showed that UBS held 8 5 billion Swiss francs 9 7 billion in trade portfolio assets made of precious metals and other physical commodities at the end of 2013 That s a fraction of its trading portfolio of 106 billion Swiss francs A number of authorities also are reportedly investigating potential manipulation of precious metals prices reads the report UBS has taken and will take appropriate action with respect to certain personnel as a result of its ongoing review Regulators including Germany s BaFin and the UK s Financial Conduct Authority have been investigating the London gold price fix a global benchmark for gold prices set twice daily in a call with banks Those banks include Barclays PLC LON BARC HSBC Holdings PLC LON HSBA and Societe Generale SA EPA GLE Precious metals trading is a relatively minor business for many banks UBS Goldman Sachs Group Inc NYSE GS Credit Suisse Group AG VTX CSGN and JPMorgan Chase Co NYSE JPM each made less than 200 million in annual precious metals trading revenue according to data from Tricumen Ltd Separately Hong Kong s Monetary Authority said last week that UBS traders attempted to rig Hong Kong s interbank lending rate the HIBOR and asked UBS to punish against relevant employees The foreign exchange rate investigations and commodity and currency investigations are seen as interlinked by global regulators as revelations about the former sparked interest in the latter
3/17/2014
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Why JPMorgan Is Selling Commodities Business
By Banking powerhouse JPMorgan Chase Co NYSE JPM has agreed to sell its commodities business to giant Swiss commodities house Mercuria Energy Group Ltd reports the Wall Street Journal JPMorgan the biggest U S bank by assets initially valued its commodities unit at 3 3 billion back in October 2013 when it first warmed to a potential sale Terms of the deal with Mercuria aren t yet public though the deal could be done by summer according to sources cited by the Journal Swiss traders and Mercuria executives Marco Dunand and Daniel Jaeggi have rapidly built Mercuria into a closely held commodities empire which saw over 100 billion in revenue last year reported Bloomberg earlier It has come to compete with the biggest independent commodity traders like Glencore Xstrata PLC LON GLEN as a result This gives them a strong opportunity for growth and puts them close to the top players in the league Oliver Wyman partner Roland Rechtsteiner told Bloomberg earlier this month of the potential acquisition JPMorgan s commodities unit has made 750 million in yearly operating profits before compensation is factored in according to Bloomberg Many Wall Street banks have sold or exited their commodities business as of late Morgan Stanley NYSE MS sold its oil storage and trading unit to Russia s Rosneft NK OAO MCX ROSN in late 2013 Deutsche Bank AG FRA DBK a major bank player in commodities announced in December that it d quit almost all of its commodity businesses Goldman Sachs Group Inc NYSE GS Royal Bank of Scotland Group PLC LON RBS and UBS AG VTX UBSN have all wound down their commodities work or signaled they plan to That trend comes as the Federal Reserve considers tighter regulation on commodities trading at banks Physical commodities activities can pose unique risks to financial holding companies said the Fed s director of banking supervision and regulation Michael Gibson before a U S Senate subcommittee in January Fed regulation could include caps on assets or revenue related to commodities higher capital requirements or simple bans on holdings of certain physical commodities Our review of the commodity related activities of our supervised firms is ongoing said Gibson then Revenues for the ten largest investment bank commodity businesses fell to 4 5 billion in 2013 from 14 billion in 2008 according to London analytics company Coalition
3/19/2014
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U S Stocks Plunge Ahead Of Bernanke s Testimony Before JEC
U S Stocks edged down by opening Tuesday s trading session as European leaders long struggle to cool Europe s debt woes failed to lure outraging markets ahead of the Fed s Chairman Ben Bernanke s testimony before the U S Congress Joint Economic Commission Now American Airlines Corp gained 13 89 percent after several analysts said company is not likely to be filed for bankruptcy after being upgraded to market outperform from market perform by Rodman Renshaw On the other hand McDermott International plunged 6 59 percent after being downgraded at goldman Sachs Group Inc while SodaStream International rose 2 54 percent after being upgraded at Deutsche Bank AG Moreover Yahoo Inc added 3 51 percent following news about a possible takeover from Alibaba Group Holding The Dollar index which measures the performance of the U S dollar against a basket of currencies including the Euro the Pound and the Yen steadied from today s opening level of 79 57 to currently trade at 79 60 recording its highest level at 79 82 and its lowest at 79 40 Gold prices dropped to reach 1643 38 since the opening level of 1666 92 Oil declined to reach 7600 after opening at 76 32 per barrel As for stocks the most sectors that shed points the most leading the decline in the DJIA were the Industrials Oil Gas and Consumer Services shares respectively while in the S P 500 index most dropping sectors were the Oil Gas Financials and Industrials shares respectively The Dow Jones Industrial Average traded lower by 184 36 points or 1 73 percent at 09 51 New York time reaching 10470 94 levels while the S P 500 index traded at 1081 13 as it dropped by 18 10 points or 1 65 percent meanwhile the NASDAQ Composite index declined 22 89 points or 0 98 to trade at 2312 94 levels
10/4/2011
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European stocks turn higher but gains limited DAX up 0 42
Investing com European stock markets turned moderately higher on Monday but gains were limited as investors were jittery after ratings agency Standard Poor s downgraded nine euro zone countries on Friday including France During European afternoon trade the EURO STOXX 50 rose 0 23 France s CAC 40 edged up 0 07 while Germany s DAX 30 climbed 0 42 Sentiment was hit after S P cut ratings on Italy Spain Cyprus and Portugal by two notches and downgraded Malta Slovakia and Slovenia by one level Germany kept its triple A rating The ratings agency also said it would decide shortly whether to do the same for the euro zone s bailout fund the European Financial Stability Facility Earlier Monday a top official of the International Monetary Fund warned against a downward spiral of collapsing confidence if no further action is taken to tackle the euro zone s financial woes Financial stocks were mixed as France s Societe Generale advanced 0 37 while BNP Paribas tumbled 1 26 and German lender Deutsche Bank declined 0 55 Meanwhile Carnival Plc plunged 16 01 the biggest slide since 2008 after its cruise liner capsized off the Italian coast on January 13 injuring about 60 people The ship carrying more than 4 000 passengers and crew hit submerged rocks in the Tyrrhenian Sea Elsewhere Fiat and Daimler led a rally in carmakers with shares jumping 3 02 and 2 83 after Goldman Sachs Group recommended the industry Daimler was also added to Goldman s conviction buy list In London FTSE 100 eased up 0 01 after data showed that house price inflation declined 0 8 in January after a 2 7 fall the previous month Financial stocks were mixed as shares in the Royal Bank of Scotland jumped 1 08 and HSBC Holdings edged 0 02 higher while Lloyds Banking and Barclays dropped 1 83 and 1 18 Meanwhile mining giants Bhp Billiton and Rio Tinto turned higher with shares adding 0 82 and 0 02 while copper producers Xstrata was down 0 07 Elsewhere Rockhopper Exploration Plc surged 9 92 its biggest rally in a month after the Sunday Times reported that Cairn Energy Plc has held talks with the U K company that discovered oil near the Falkland Islands off Argentina Also Monday European Central Bank President Mario Draghi was to testify before the European Parliament s Economic and Monetary Affairs Committee while markets in the U S were to remain closed for a national holiday
1/16/2012
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U S futures steady ahead of employment data Dow Jones down 0 04
Investing com U S stock futures pointed to a steady open on Friday ahead of the release of highly anticipated U S employment data while comments by Federal Reserve officials dampened market sentiment Ahead of the open the Dow Jones Industrial Average futures pointed to a 0 04 dip S P 500 futures signaled a 0 03 gain while the Nasdaq 100 futures indicated a 0 10 rise Markets were jittery after the minutes of the Fed s December policy meeting showed that officials began debating an end to bond buying as early as this year even while preparing to boost stimulus to a new record In addition the minutes revealed concerns over a balance sheet that may grow to more than USD4 trillion while potentially distorting financial markets and providing less support to growth Investors also remained cautious over the longer term outlook in the U S with negotiations on raising the debt ceiling still to come in February Tech stocks were expected to be active as New York State s USD150 billion public pension fund reportedly sued Qualcomm with hopes of forcing the chipmaker to reveal its political spending Shares in Qualcomm dropped 0 40 in pre market trade The financial sector was also likely to be in focus as Citigroup climbed 0 51 in early trading after as Goldman Sachs Inc added the lender to its conviction buy list Elsewhere Coinstar tumbled 3 29 in after hour trade after saying CEO Paul Davis will retire on March 31 The owner of the Redbox movie rental kiosks added that Chief Financial Officer J Scott Di Valerio will take over In Internet related stocks Google was slated to move as the Federal Trade Commission closed its investigation against the company for antitrust violations Thursday The FTC investigated Google for nearly two years for various business practices primarily concerning how the company displays search results Across the Atlantic European stock markets were lower The EURO STOXX 50 fell 0 29 France s CAC 40 dropped 0 45 Germany s DAX slipped 0 25 while Britain s FTSE 100 edged 0 11 lower During the Asian trading session Hong Kong s Hang Seng Index slipped 0 29 while Japan s Nikkei 225 Index surged 2 82 Later in the day the U S was to produce official data on nonfarm payrolls and the overall unemployment rate In addition the Institute of Supply Management was to release a report on service sector activity
1/4/2013
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US STOCKS Futures gain 1 percent with global indexes
July new home sales data on tap seen flat with June Omnicare offers to buy PharMerica both stocks rally Investors await this week s Bernanke speech in Wyoming Futures up Dow 149 pts S P 13 6 pts Nasdaq 27 5 pts For up to the minute market news see STXNEWS US Adds analyst comment updates prices By Ryan Vlastelica NEW YORK Aug 23 Reuters U S stock index futures rose sharply on Tuesday tracking global equities that gained after gauges of Chinese and euro zone economic activity came in less gloomy than feared Futures pointed to gains of more than 1 percent a repeat of Monday s futures trade though that rally fizzled and Wall Street closed only modestly higher a sign of continued market volatility and investors reluctance to buy While reads on China s factory sector and German business activity pointed to slowing growth the slowdown wasn t as harsh as some had feared For details see ID nL4E7JN0JB ID nL9E7I401I Investors also continue to look ahead to comments from Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke at an annual central bank conference in Jackson Hole Wyoming on Friday We re going to be range bound until Friday which is indicative of the manic state of investor psychology right now said James Dailey portfolio manager of TEAM Asset Strategy Fund in Harrisburg Pennsylvania There are swinging degrees of hope and despair with no news flow until we get some direction from a catalyst Some have speculated Bernanke could unveil fresh measures to revive the struggling economy though he is most likely to outline gradual measures which would disappoint those looking for something as dramatic as a fresh round of economic stimulus If there s no announcement we could undercut the lows we saw earlier this month Dailey said though he added that the intensity of recent selling has been extraordinary and won t be sustainable S P 500 futures rose 13 6 points and were above fair value a formula that evaluates pricing by taking into account interest rates dividends and time to expiration on the contract Dow Jones industrial average futures added 149 points and Nasdaq 100 futures rose 27 5 points July U S new home sales scheduled for release at 10 00 a m 1400 GMT will give new insight into the state of the fragile housing sector Sales are forecast at about 310 000 homes roughly flat with June Banks will continue to be in focus after UBS AG said it plans to slash around 3 500 jobs in a cost cutting measure U S listed shares of the lender rose 3 7 percent to 13 68 in premarket trading ID nL5E7JN076 Goldman Sachs Group Chief Executive Lloyd Blankfein hired Reid Weingarten a high profile Washington defense attorney a government source familiar with the matter said late on Monday Investigations of Goldman and its role in the 2007 2009 financial crisis continue ID nN1E77L1G9 H J Heinz Co reported first quarter earnings that fell from the prior year though revenue was higher ID nN1E77M03T Omnicare Inc offered to buy smaller rival PharMerica Corp for 441 million in cash sending PharMerica shares up 37 5 percent in premarket Omnicare rose 3 5 percent ID nL4E7JN2KZ European stocks were up 1 4 percent led by a rebound in cyclical shares such as industrials and miners but volumes were thin as investors remained wary of another false start after last week s rebound from a 20 percent nosedive quickly disappeared U S stocks ended slightly higher on Monday after four weeks of losses as investors hesitated to take big risks without a catalyst for buying Editing by Padraic Cassidy
8/23/2011
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U S futures point to higher open Dow futures up 0 69
Investing com U S stock futures indicated a higher open on Tuesday after Chinese manufacturing data boosted risk appetite while speculation over fresh stimulus measures to support the U S economy also buoyed sentiment Ahead of the open the Dow Jones Industrial Average futures pointed to an increase of 0 69 the S P 500 futures climbed 0 79 while the Nasdaq 100 futures gained 0 76 Concerns over a slowdown in global growth eased earlier after a preliminary reading of China s August purchasing managers index edged up to 49 8 in August from a final reading of 49 3 the previous month A number below 50 indicates contraction in the sector but the report lifted market sentiment following speculation that the reading could have been much weaker Sentiment was underpinned after a separate report showed that Germany s manufacturing PMI remained unchanged at 52 0 in August beating forecasts for a decline to 50 8 Meanwhile speculation continued that Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke may indicate that further monetary easing could be necessary when he speaks at an economic symposium in Jackson Hole Wyoming later in the week In earnings news shares in food company H J Heinz dropped 0 85 in premarket trade after the company reported a larger than expected decline in first quarter profits due to weaker sales in North America as rising commodity prices hit demand Elsewhere shares of Goldman Sachs Group fell 0 5 in premarket trade following media reports that Chief Executive Lloyd Blankfein had hired high profile Washington defense attorney Reid Weingarten after the Senate referred a report on the bank s securitization activities to the U S Justice Department Across the Atlantic European stock markets were higher as shares in the financial and energy sectors led gains The EURO STOXX 50 gained 0 51 France s CAC 40 surged 0 83 Germany s DAX added 0 39 while Britain s FTSE 100 rose 0 40 During the Asian trading session Hong Kong s Hang Seng Index rallied 1 99 while Japan s Nikkei 225 Index advanced 1 22 Later Tuesday the U S was to release official data on new home sales
8/23/2011
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US STOCKS Futures point to higher open on payroll report
Employment jumps jobless rate falls to two year low Break above 1 330 on S P may trigger more buying NYSE Euronext gains on rival bid from Nasdaq ICE Futures up Dow 66 pts S P 8 5 pts Nasdaq 15 25 pts Updates with payroll data By Ryan Vlastelica NEW YORK April 1 Reuters U S stock index futures pointed to a higher open on Friday as employment notched a second straight month of solid gains while the unemployment rate fell to a two year low Non farm payrolls rose by 216 000 jobs last month more than expected and the largest increase since May the Labor Department said January and February employment figures were revised to show 7 000 more jobs than previously reported The unemployment rate fell to 8 8 percent from 8 9 percent in February The data is very consistent with the view that the recovery is gaining some momentum said Hugh Johnson chief investment officer of Hugh Johnson Advisors LLC in Albany New York It s hard to argue with the case that we have further to go in this bull market economic recovery cycle On the first day of the new quarter futures added to earlier gains on the jobs data which shows the U S economy continued to gain strength and support a stock market advance despite turmoil in the Middle East and North Africa and the crises in earthquake ravaged Japan Investors will watch to see if the S P 500 index can convincingly break through 1 330 after several unsuccessful attempts in the past month Technical momentum may kick in if it does lifting stocks further NYSE Euronext rallied in premarket trading after Nasdaq OMX Group Inc and IntercontinentalExchange Inc unveiled a bid to buy the rival exchanges operator topping an earlier offer from Deutsche Boerse AG NYSE surged 10 percent to 38 73 while ICE shares were down 1 7 percent to 121 50 and Nasdaq OMX was off 1 3 percent at 25 50 S P 500 futures rose 8 5 points and were above fair value a formula that evaluates pricing by taking into account interest rates dividends and time to expiration on the contract Dow Jones industrial average futures added 66 points and Nasdaq 100 futures rose 15 25 points Other data scheduled for Friday includes the Institute for Supply Management report for March manufacturing due at 10 a m 1400 GMT The release will follow upbeat Chinese factory data that eased concerns about monetary tightening The S P 500 ended the first quarter on Thursday with a gain of 5 4 percent The World Trade Organization said late Thursday that Boeing Co received at least 5 3 billion in illegal U S subsidies Goldman Sachs Group Inc borrowed five times from the U S Federal Reserve s discount window since the start of the financial crisis despite a senior executive s testimony that the bank used it only once U S stocks ended the first quarter with the barest of moves on Thursday Additional reporting by Chuck Mikolajczak Editing by Kenneth Barry
4/1/2011
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US STOCKS Futures flat before jobless claims retail data
Costco s sales beat forecasts shares rise Bed Bath Beyond soars after earnings outlook Futures Dow up 10 pts S P up 0 7 pt Nasdaq off 1 pt For up to the minute market news see STXNEWS US Updates prices adds comment byline By Rodrigo Campos NEW YORK April 7 Reuters U S stock index futures were little changed on Thursday before data on the labor market and same store sales which could offer clues about the outlook for U S consumer spending The S P 500 closed Wednesday above a key technical level and its ability to hold above 1 333 58 will be tested The level is double the cycle low hit in March 2009 and is near a recent 2 1 2 year high of about 1 344 which could bring technical resistance The Labor Department releases first time claims for jobless benefits for the week ended April 2 at 8 30 a m 1230 GMT Economists in a Reuters survey forecast a total of 385 000 new filings compared with 388 000 in the previous week Retailers shares will be in focus as major companies release same store sales data while a shopping center group will report on chain store sales for March versus a year ago Among the first sales numbers on Thursday Costco Wholesale Corp beat expectations with a 13 percent rise in March same store sales compared with a forecast for 7 4 percent Its shares gained 1 4 percent in premarket trade ID nLDE7360HJ The jobless claims numbers are extremely interesting said Kim Caughey Forrest senior equity research analyst at Fort Pitt Capital Group in Pittsburgh She said jobs and sales data can draw a picture about future spending Everyone is concerned about how consumers are reacting to the rising price of gasoline S P 500 futures rose 0 7 point and were slightly below fair value a formula that evaluates pricing by taking into account interest rates dividends and time to expiration of the contract Dow Jones industrial average futures rose 10 points and Nasdaq 100 futures dipped 1 point Average weekly volume has so far been the lowest of the year raising questions about stocks recent rebound Light volume is a little concerning I d like to see a little more conviction in buyers Forrest said But if anything it also shows a lack of people s willingness to sell Bed Bath and Beyond Inc shares jumped 10 percent in premarket trade a day after it forecast earnings growth for the current year that would beat Wall Street estimates following a holiday season that saw U S shoppers spend more on home goods For details see ID nN06160714 Goldman Sachs Group is seeking to buy the 55 percent of its Australian and New Zealand joint venture that it does not already own the company said on Thursday ID nL3E7F63F1 The European Central Bank announced it was raising its main refinancing rate by 25 basis points to 1 25 percent as expected ID nFLA7FE7M8 Portugal s financial sector can expect some relief after the caretaker government decided to seek financial aid following months of what many economists said was a refusal to acknowledge economic reality ID nLDE7352EI On Wednesday the Dow Jones industrial average rose 32 85 points or 0 27 percent to close at 12 426 75 The Standard Poor s 500 Index gained 2 91 points or 0 22 percent to 1 335 54 The Nasdaq Composite Index advanced 8 63 points or 0 31 percent to 2 799 82 Reporting by Rodrigo Campos Editing by Kenneth Barry
4/7/2011
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US STOCKS Futures dip on China inflation worries data eyed
Producer price index jobless claims data on tap China March inflation accelerates to 5 4 pct media Futures dip S P 7 pts Dow 49 pts Nasdaq 16 50 pts NEW YORK April 14 Reuters U S stock index futures fell on Thursday as investors awaited data to assess the impact of rising commodity prices amid growing concerns over Chinese inflation Risk appetite retreated on fears of monetary tightening in China after a media report suggested the country s inflation figures will be higher than expected in March Some caution was also expected before corporate results with the spotlight likely to be on the possible impact of rising raw material costs on margins and the effect of supply chain disruptions arising from the earthquake in Japan Google is scheduled to release results after markets close on Thursday with analysts expecting to see a 25 percent year on year increase in net revenue to 6 32 billion and earnings per share of 8 10 up from 6 76 a year earlier Investors will be closely eyeing the producer price index figures for March due at 8 30 a m 1230 GMT Year on year producer prices are forecast to rise to 6 2 percent from 5 6 percent Other data include weekly jobless claims numbers at 8 30 a m Economists in a Reuters survey expect jobless claims fell to 380 000 from 382 000 last week Commodities trader Glencore outlined its initial public offering of up to 12 billion including plans for a May debut that will boost its firepower for acquisitions and make paper millionaires of its partners U S regulators are probing whether some major banks colluded to manipulate a global benchmark interest rate before and during the financial crisis the Wall Street Journal reported citing people familiar with the situation In a frenzy to protect its interests at the start of the credit crisis Goldman Sachs Group Inc sold mortgage linked derivatives to clients at inflated prices and misrepresented the nature of the deals according to documents released by a Senate subcommittee In other company news Italian car maker Fiat wants to hike its stake in Chrysler to 46 percent by June as soon as the U S group manages to repay 7 billion of government debt an Italian daily said Suppliers to Apple Inc have begun production of white iPhones after a delay of almost 10 months pointing to a launch date of within a month two people familiar with the situation said on Thursday S P 500 futures fell 7 points and were below fair value a formula that evaluates pricing by taking into account interest rates dividends and time to expiration on the contract Dow Jones industrial average futures fell 49 points and Nasdaq 100 futures lost 16 50 points U S stocks finished mostly flat in a choppy session on Wednesday as investors bet on strong technology earnings even as JPMorgan Chase s numbers weighed on other market sectors Reporting by Angela Moon Editing by Kenneth Barry
4/14/2011
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US STOCKS Futures fall on inflation worries data in focus
Producer price index jobless claims data on tap China March inflation accelerates to 5 4 pct media Futures dip S P 6 2 pts Dow 48 pts Nasdaq 15 50 pts For up to the minute market news see STXNEWS US Adds byline quote By Angela Moon NEW YORK April 14 Reuters U S stock index futures fell on Thursday before U S data that could shed light on the impact of rising commodity prices and as concerns grew over Chinese inflation Risk appetite retreated on fears of a tighter money policy in China after a media report suggested the country s inflation figures will be higher than expected in March For details see ID nL3E7FE0EO In addition investors will be closely eyeing U S producer price index figures for March due at 8 30 a m 1230 GMT Producer prices are forecast to rise to 6 2 percent from 5 6 percent a year ago Investors were also cautious before corporate results because of the effect of supply chain disruptions arising from the earthquakes in Japan It s the cautious guidance from companies due to concerns about inflation and Japan that are going to weigh on investors said Peter Cardillo chief market economist at Avalon Partners in New York I see the market trading within the 3 4 percent range from the upper end to the lower end in this earnings season I don t see it as a catalyst to move the market much higher Google is scheduled to release results after markets close on Thursday with analysts expecting to see a 25 percent year on year increase in net revenue to 6 32 billion and earnings per share of 8 10 up from 6 76 a year earlier ID nN13279394 S P 500 futures fell 6 2 points and were below fair value a formula that evaluates pricing by taking into account interest rates dividends and time to expiration on the contract Dow Jones industrial average futures fell 48 points and Nasdaq 100 futures lost 15 50 points In a frenzy to protect itself at the start of the credit crisis Goldman Sachs Group Inc sold mortgage linked derivatives to clients at inflated prices and misrepresented the nature of the deals documents released by a Senate subcommittee said ID nN13302596 Goldman Sachs shares fell 1 2 percent to 158 20 in premarket trade Other U S government data includes weekly jobless claims at 8 30 a m Economists in a Reuters survey expect claims fell to 380 000 from 382 000 last week Commodities trader Glencore outlined its initial public offering of up to 12 billion including plans for a May debut that will boost its firepower for acquisitions and make paper millionaires of its partners ID nL3E7FE03M U S regulators are probing whether some major banks colluded to manipulate a global benchmark interest rate before and during the financial crisis the Wall Street Journal reported citing people familiar with the situation ID nL3E7FE0AK Italian car maker Fiat wants to hike its stake in Chrysler to 46 percent by June an Italian daily said ID nLDE73D05D Suppliers to Apple Inc have begun production of white iPhones after a delay of almost 10 months two people familiar with the situation said on Thursday ID nL3E7FE09A Reporting by Angela Moon Editing by Kenneth Barry
4/14/2011
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US STOCKS Market set to open lower after disappointing data
Core producer prices rise slightly faster than expected Jobless claims unexpectedly rise last week China March inflation accelerates to 5 4 pct media Futures down S P 8 4 pts Dow 52 pts Nasdaq 12 50 pts Updates with producer price jobless claims data updates futures By Angela Moon NEW YORK April 14 Reuters Wall Street stocks were set for a lower open on Thursday as worries about higher inflation and signs of job market weakness kept investors cautious The S P index futures added to losses after data showed an unexpected rise in weekly jobless benefits claims to back above the key 400 000 level Separately the government said U S core producer prices rose slightly faster than expected in March pointing to increased inflation pressures Risk appetite retreated on fears of a tighter money policy in China after a media report suggested inflation figures there will be higher than expected in March The initial focus today will be more on earnings and the worldwide growth and inflation issues but this number jobless claims could add some negative bias and create additional selling pressure said Brian Lazorishak portfolio manager at Chase Investment Counsel in Charlottesville Virginia Investors worried corporate earnings could be hurt by supply chain disruptions arising from the earthquakes in Japan It s the cautious guidance from companies due to concerns about inflation and Japan that are going to weigh on investors said Peter Cardillo chief market economist at Avalon Partners in New York I see the market trading within the 3 4 percent range from the upper end to the lower end in this earnings season I don t see it as a catalyst to move the market much higher Google is scheduled to release results after markets close on Thursday with analysts expecting to see a 25 percent year on year increase in net revenue to 6 32 billion and earnings per share of 8 10 up from 6 76 a year earlier S P 500 futures fell 8 4 points and were below fair value a formula that evaluates pricing by taking into account interest rates dividends and time to expiration on the contract Dow Jones industrial average futures fell 52 points and Nasdaq 100 futures lost 12 50 points In a frenzy to protect itself at the start of the credit crisis Goldman Sachs Group Inc sold mortgage linked derivatives to clients at inflated prices and misrepresented the nature of the deals documents released by a Senate subcommittee said Goldman Sachs shares fell 1 6 percent to 157 60 in premarket trade Commodities trader Glencore outlined its initial public offering of up to 12 billion including plans for a May debut that will boost its firepower for acquisitions and make paper millionaires of its partners Shares of Supervalu Inc the third biggest supermarket chain by sales rose 13 percent to 10 24 in solid volume in premarket trade after results U S regulators are probing whether major banks colluded to manipulate a global benchmark interest rate before and during the financial crisis the Wall Street Journal reported citing people familiar with the situation Suppliers to Apple Inc have begun production of white iPhones after a delay of almost 10 months two people familiar with the situation said on Thursday Reporting by Angela Moon additional reporting by Ryan Vlastelica Editing by Kenneth Barry
4/14/2011
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Nikkei crawls to 3 wk closing high banks JAL fall
Nikkei claws to highest close since Sept 25 JAL tumbles on growing concern about future Bank shares down on profit taking policy uncertainty By Elaine Lies TOKYO Oct 16 Reuters Japan s Nikkei stock average clawed up 0 2 percent on Friday to a three week closing high as gains in retailers and drug firms narrowly offset losses in banks and Japan Airlines which tumbled for a second day straight Cash strapped JAL fell over 11 percent taking its losses this week to some 26 percent with concerns about the size and content of a rescue package also contributing to pressure on banking shares Sources told Reuters earlier this week that JAL has asked its creditors for a total of 600 billion yen in financial aid as part of a restructuring plan including debt forgiveness and debt for equity swaps There s increasing concern about the future of the company and whether it s heading for a GM style bankruptcy or not said Mitsushige Akino chief fund manager at Ichiyoshi Investment Management Tech shares slid in afternoon trade on profit taking pushing the Nikkei briefly into negative territory though some in the market said the benchmark was showing surprising resilience I think expectations of good results for Japanese companies have enabled the Nikkei to do unexpectedly well this week considering all the things that it has faced including the yen s strength that we saw earlier this week said Tomomi Yamashita a fund manager at Shinkin Asset Management But of course this means that once results are out we could see selling on a lack of fresh incentives and also perhaps disappointment if hopes are not fulfilled Others attributed the market s strength to a sense that the gradual improvement in global share markets would inevitably buoy Tokyo which is not rising as fast as other markets The pace of economic recovery seems to be better than expected as shown by strong U S tech earnings and global stock markets are trending upwards said Nagayuki Yamagishi a strategist at Mitsubishi UFJ Securities But by late afternoon the market had largely run out of energy with investors reluctant to buy ahead of the weekend and amid concerns about whether Wall Street would hang onto the gains that took the Dow over 10 000 this week for the first time in a year The benchmark Nikkei edged up 18 91 points to 10 257 56 its highest close since Sept 25 The broader Topix which is less tech heavy fell 0 4 percent to 900 95 JAL WOES JAL was the biggest drag on the Nikkei 225 losing 11 4 percent to 101 yen Japan s transport minister said the draft plan for JAL s restructuring was progressing smoothly and again pledged government support In addition to worries about JAL banks also succumbed to profit taking after results from Goldman Sachs Group and Citigroup Inc failed to match the high standards set by JPMorgan Chase Co and worries about a loan moratorium proposed by Banking Minister Shizuka Kamei Fitch Ratings commented that concerns may emerge over the soundness of Japanese banking institutions if debt relief programmes are put in place noting that it was concerned about the ultimate impact on banks asset quality and profitability Top lender Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group lost 3 1 percent to 470 yen No 3 bank Sumitomo Mitsui Financial Group fell 1 9 percent to 3 190 yen and Mizuho Financial Group Japan s second largest bank lost 1 2 percent to 172 yen All were off earlier lows Tech shares slid on profit taking after gains last week with Tokyo Electron Ltd losing 3 3 percent to 5 610 yen and Advantest a maker of chip testing devices down 1 4 percent to 2 465 yen But a broad array of defensive shares such as retailers and drug firms gained ground with Fast Retailing operator of the casual clothing chain Uniqlo climbing 5 5 percent to 15 320 yen Sony Corp gained as well rising 1 9 percent to 2 650 yen with market players attributing its gain to a ratings hike by Citigroup Trade was thin with 2 billion shares changing hands on the Tokyo exchange s first section compared to last week s daily average of 2 1 billion Declining shares outnumbered advancing ones by 933 to 607 Reporting by Elaine Lies Editing by Joseph Radford
10/16/2009
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Obama aide big Wall Street bonuses offensive
Disconnect between Wall Street Main Street a focus White House urges firms to get behind regulatory reform Variety of steps on economy under consideration Obama to discuss deficit at length in State of the Union By Caren Bohan WASHINGTON Oct 18 Reuters A top White House aide lashed out on Sunday at Wall Street firms that are handing out huge bonuses while the rest of the economy struggles and small businesses cannot create jobs because of a lack of credit Highlighting a disconnect between Wall Street and Main Street that has caught the attention of the Obama administration Goldman Sachs Group Inc s was on a pace to hand out more than 20 billion in bonuses which could make this year a record Compensation is also soaring at several other big firms which are raking in higher trading revenues amid a recovery in the stock market that lifted the Dow Jones industrial average above 10 000 last week But the economy remains weak elsewhere and the U S unemployment rate now at 9 8 percent is widely forecast to climb above 10 percent The bonuses are offensive David Axelrod a senior adviser to President Barack Obama said on the ABC News program This Week The most offensive thing is we haven t seen the kind of increase in lending that we should Axelrod said There are a lot of small businesses credit worthy businesses around this country who still can t get the capital they need to grow which is important for our economy Axelrod and other U S officials emphasized on television talk shows that they were considering a variety of options to boost the economy and rekindle job growth But they also said they wanted to be mindful of the budget deficit WHITE HOUSE PRODS WALL STREET ON REFORM White House aides pushed Obama s proposals for a broad rewriting of financial regulations aimed at preventing a repeat of Wall Street s worst crisis since the Great Depression The Obama administration has become increasingly vocal about what it sees as efforts by the financial industry to water down or block the reforms Axelrod and White House chief of staff Rahm Emanuel said Wall Street which was saved from the brink of collapse by a 700 billion bailout from the U S government had a duty to get behind the financial reforms Emanuel told CNN s State of the Union that many firms were now enjoying normalcy but they re now back trying to fight consumer offices and the type of protections that will prevent another type of situation where the economy is taken over the cliff by the actions taken on Wall Street and the financial market Emanuel also said it was frustrating to the American people that financial firms are doling out big bonuses while incomes of other people are stagnating or falling A bill approved by the House of Representatives would impose new limits on executive pay but the Senate has not yet acted on the issue For firms that still owe the government money under the bailout program Treasury s pay czar Kenneth Feinberg has leeway to crack down on compensation packages But Axelrod said the administration is seeking to use moral suasion with some firms Those such as Goldman Sachs that have already paid the government back are not subject to the Treasury s oversight of compensation Obama has faced criticism over the financial bailout program and his 787 billion stimulus plan enacted earlier this year The financial bailout program was begun by the Bush administration in September 2008 and continued under Obama Republicans have labeled the stimulus package wasteful and say the high jobless rate is evidence it has not worked Obama administration officials say the stimulus plan helped save the economy from disaster They say they are still considering whether to propose additional steps to give the economy a jolt but they have been reluctant to use the label stimulus to describe the possible further measures Asked on NBC s Face the Nation if a second stimulus was under discussion White House adviser Valerie Jarrett said that Obama was willing to look at all possibilities But she said the original stimulus bill needed to be given time to work Axelrod said the administration was determined to prevent the economy from cascading backward into a recession But he also said Obama was paying close attention to the U S budget deficit which hit a record 1 4 trillion in the just ended 2009 fiscal year He said that Obama would address the issue of the deficit at some length in his State of the Union address to Congress in January Editing by Jackie Frank
10/18/2009
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Goldman Sachs says dark pools help investors
Says dark pools have benefitted trading in general Says increased competition reduced trading costs Oct 27 Reuters Anonymous trading venues known as dark pools are a technological evolution that have benefitted both institutional and retail trading by bringing down transaction costs Goldman Sachs Group Inc said in a memo to the U S Securities and Exchange Commission Last week the SEC voted unanimously for ways to make the dark pools more transparent such as revealing the electronic trading messages that are sent to a limited group of market participants In a report submitted to the SEC on Oct 22 Goldman said the investing community especially retail has benefitted from the evolving market structure and industry competition The Goldman report posted on the SEC website summarized a meeting held on Sept 24 between its executives and the commission staff to discuss issues involving market structure including short selling and dark pools In the report Goldman stated five common myths regarding dark pool trading and supplied arguments in an effort to dispel those myths Dark pools are trading platforms where buyers and sellers can anonymously match large blocks of stock keeping details of the deals and prices concealed to prevent distorting prices in the broader market Dark pools the largest of which are run by banks such as Goldman Sachs and Credit Suisse account for an estimated 10 to 15 percent of overall U S equity volume Goldman said in the report that increased competition from dark pools pushes all execution venues to compete for retail order flow in a superior manner While market structure evolution has not been without its challenges they have been accompanied by a secular decline in both implicit and explicit trading costs benefiting primarily retail investors Goldman said in the report Reporting by Sakthi Prasad in Bangalore Editing by Jon Loades Carter
10/27/2009
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Nomura logs quarterly profit on retail demand
TOKYO Oct 28 Reuters Nomura Holdings Inc Japan s largest brokerage reported a second straight quarterly profit on Wednesday thanks to robust sales of investment trusts and gains from trading commission Nomura earned a 28 3 billion yen 310 million net profit for July September compared with a 72 9 billion yen loss a year earlier Three analysts polled by Thomson Reuters I B E S had given an average profit estimate of a 6 2 billion yen profit Nomura which bought Lehman Brothers Asian European and Middle East operations last year benefited from demand for investment trusts from retail investors who sought higher returns from foreign shares Nomura s global peers including Goldman Sachs Group Inc and JPMorgan Chase Co have also benefited from strong trading revenue Nomura shares are down 12 percent so far this year underperforming Tokyo s brokerage sector subindex which lost 3 6 percent 1 92 09 Yen Reporting by Junko Fujita Editing by Muralikumar Anantharaman
10/28/2009
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UPDATE 3 Nomura tops fcasts with biggest profit in 9 quarters
July Sept net profit 27 7 bln yen vs 6 2 bln consensus Boosted by 1 6 bln trading gain investment trusts To pay 4 yen shr dividend first payout in 3 quarters Shares close up 0 3 pct before result down 12 pct in 2009 Recasts to lead on net profit that strips out contributions from companies in which it has minority stakes By Junko Fujita TOKYO Oct 28 Reuters Nomura Holdings Inc Japan s largest brokerage reported its biggest profit in nine quarters beating market expectations on strong sales of mutual funds and 1 6 billion in trading gains The solid results which prompted the broker to pay its first dividend in three quarters show that Nomura is beginning to profit from its purchase of the European and Asian operations of failed investment bank Lehman Brothers last year But Nomura s improving fortunes also mirrored strong earnings at rivals such as Goldman Sachs Group Inc and JPMorgan Chase Co which also bounced back with global financial markets and could prove fleeting some analysts said This time the acquisition of Lehman had a positive impact said Ehsan Syed director at Fitch Ratings in Tokyo But it is not clear how the acquisition will contribute to Nomura s future earnings as brokerage earnings are vulnerable to changes in the market environment and are difficult to forecast Nomura posted a 27 7 billion yen 303 million net profit for July September compared with a 72 9 billion yen loss a year earlier marking its largest quarterly profit since the April June quarter of 2007 The result beat the average estimate of 6 2 billion yen profit in a survey of three analysts by Thomson Reuters I B E S Nomura benefited from solid demand for mutual funds from retail investors encouraged by an uptick in equity markets and booked a 148 5 billion yen gain from its trading operations a sharp swing from a 21 billion yen loss a year earlier From this result we can see the unification of Lehman and Nomura has started to work Nomura Chief Financial Officer Masafumi Nakada told a news conference Nomura Chief Executive Kenichi Watanabe had said in a speech on Tuesday that the broker was now rebuilding its U S operation after it shrank the business there following heavy losses in the residential mortgage backed securities arena The U S expansion was part of the reason why Nomura increased its capital this month by selling about 4 7 billion shares Watanabe said Nomura is capitalising on the retreat of some Wall Street firms and boosting its fixed income operations in the United States It hired two senior bankers from Barclays and Citigroup Inc as co heads to cement the business in the Americas Prior to the announcement shares of Nomura rose 0 3 percent to 643 yen down 12 percent since the start of 2009 Tokyo s brokerage sector subindex fell 0 1 percent on Wednesday down 4 percent so far this year Nomura said it would pay a 4 yen per share dividend after forgoing a payout for the previous two quarters Editing by Nathan Layne and Jean Yoon
10/28/2009
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FOREX Dollar hits 14 mth lows rebounds on Goldman
Dollar index erases losses up 0 1 pct at 75 643 Goldman Sachs results help dollar reclaim some losses Dollar hit 14 month low vs forex basket Dovish U S FOMC minutes weigh on dollar By Catherine Bosley LONDON Oct 15 Reuters The dollar recovered from 14 month lows on Thursday as stocks fell after more U S bank earnings but the greenback remained pressured on expectations U S interest rates would remain low Goldman Sachs Group Inc posted better than expected quarterly results with third quarter earnings per share of 5 25 versus forecasts of 4 24 nN15288862 But European stocks pared gains as the results were weaker than some in the market had hoped Goldman has taken U S stock futures lower and at the moment provided a little of respite from the plethora of dollar selling interest said Jeremy Stretch currency strategist at Rabobank It s still the case that everything s about stocks and stocks expectations and risk appetite Goldman s failing to beat what were very very lofty expectations has taken us back somewhat in euro dollar in the short term U S stock index futures fell further after Citigroup Inc reported a quarterly shareholder loss but the results did not greatly affect the foreign exchange market The dollar index which tracks the performance of the greenback versus a basket of six other major currencies was up 0 12 percent at 75 643 after hitting a session high of 75 765 It had fallen to a 14 month low of 75 211 earlier EURO HITS 14 MONTH HIGH THEN SLIDES The euro hit a day s low after European Central Bank President Jean Claude Trichet repeated the euro was not created to be a global reserve currency The euro fell as low as 1 4844 according to Reuters data down 0 4 percent on the day and retreating from a 14 month high hit in earlier trade Sterling pared some gains but was still broadly higher on the day prompted by short covering after investors had boosted short sterling positions that helped push the pound to a five month low earlier this week traders said Bank of England policymaker Paul Fisher told the Financial Times he felt more confident the central bank s asset purchase programme was working ID nLE413216 But analysts said they expected further dollar weakness after the latest minutes from the U S Federal Reserve Open Market Committee showed that some policymakers called for increasing asset purchases ID nWEQ003473 There s obviously very low interest rates in the States and there s no sign they re going any time soon listening to the Fed and their minutes last night said Chris Turner head of foreign exchange strategy at ING in London Today s very modes correction from new lows is nothing serious for the dollar bear trend Simon Derrick of Bank of New York Mellon said reports of Asian central banks intervening to keep their currencies from appreciating had not lifted the dollar because the market anticipated some of the dollars would be converted into euros Hong Kong s central bank sold HK 1 5 billion 200 million to keep the Hong Kong dollar within its trading band ID nHKG105478 The greenback earlier fell to 14 month lows against the higher yielding Australian dollar and a 15 month trough versus the New Zealand and Canada dollars Reserve Bank of Australia chief Glenn Stevens said local interest rates would need to move towards a more normal setting as economic recovery took hold reinforcing the view rates would be hiked for a second consecutive month in November ID nSYD397384 Additional reporting by Tamawa Desai Editing by Mike Peacock
10/15/2009
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US STOCKS SNAPSHOT Wall St falls at open as financials weigh
NEW YORK Oct 15 Reuters U S stocks opened lower on Thursday after quarterly results from Goldman Sachs Group and Citigroup Inc underwhelmed investors after a strong showing from JPMorgan a day before The Dow Jones industrial average dropped 32 19 points or 0 32 percent to 9 983 67 The Standard Poor s 500 Index fell 5 07 points or 0 46 percent to 1 086 95 The Nasdaq Composite Index lost 11 07 points or 0 51 percent to 2 161 16
10/15/2009
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FOREX Dollar off 14 mth lows rebounds on U S data
Dollar index erases losses after hitting 14 month low Dovish U S Fed FOMC still minutes weigh on dollar U S data helps bolster dollar Comments from ECB s Trichet do not help euro Recasts updates prices adds byline By Nick Olivari NEW YORK Oct 15 Reuters The dollar rose against the yen and euro on Thursday after U S data bolstered expectations the economy is recovering raising optimism that U S interest rates will rise sooner rather than later Higher U S interest rates would increase the attractiveness of U S assets and heighten demand for the dollars to buy them European Central Bank President Jean Claude Trichet repeating comments that the euro was not created to be a global reserve currency added to the dollar s allure in the short term U S data on claims for jobless benefits was not that far from forecasts but it was at least moving in the right direction in terms of lower unemployment Nick Bennenbroek head of currency strategy at Wells Fargo in New York The dollar was last up 1 1 percent at 90 36 yen while the dollar index which measures the dollar against a basket of six currencies rose 0 1 percent to 75 625 The dollar index reached a session high of 75 765 after earlier falling to a 14 month low of 75 211 The U S Labor Department reported that initial claims for jobless benefits fell to 514 000 in the latest week Markets were expecting claims of 525 000 For more see ID nOAT002316 The government also released inflation data which showed that stripping out volatile energy and food prices the Labor Department s closely watched core measure of consumer inflation for September which excludes food and energy inched up 0 2 percent from August a touch above market expectations for a 0 1 percent gain ID nN14260181 But dollar trading was not without volatility Goldman Sachs Group Inc posted better than expected quarterly results but despite beating published forecasts they were not enough to beat the loftiest expectations and helped take away some investor appetite for risk ID nN15288862 TRICHET SPEAKS The euro hit the day s low after European Central Bank President Jean Claude Trichet repeated the euro was not created to be a global reserve currency The euro fell to 1 4844 according to Reuters data and was last down 0 3 percent on the day at 1 4873 retreating from a 14 month high hit in earlier trade Sterling pared some gains but was still broadly higher on the day prompted by short covering after investors boosted short sterling positions that helped push the pound to a five month low earlier this week traders said Sterling was last at 1 6233 up 1 6 percent Bank of England policymaker Paul Fisher told the Financial Times he felt more confident the central bank s asset purchase programme was working ID nLE413216 But analysts said they expected further dollar weakness after the latest minutes from the U S central bank s Federal Open Market Committee which showed that some policymakers called for increasing asset purchases ID nWEQ003473 Simon Derrick of Bank of New York Mellon said reports of Asian central banks intervening to keep their currencies from appreciating had not lifted the dollar because the market anticipated some of the dollars would be converted into euros Hong Kong s central bank sold HK 1 5 billion 200 million to keep the Hong Kong dollar within its trading band ID nHKG105478 The greenback earlier fell to 14 month lows against the higher yielding Australian dollar and a 15 month trough versus the New Zealand and Canada dollars Reserve Bank of Australia chief Glenn Stevens said local interest rates would need to move towards a more normal setting as economic recovery took hold reinforcing the view rates would be hiked for a second consecutive month in November ID nSYD397384 Additional reporting by Wanfeng Zhou in New York and Catherine Bosley in London Editing by Chizu Nomiyama
10/15/2009
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FOREX Dollar gains vs yen as U S data point to recovery
U S economic data mostly helps bolster dollar Dovish U S FOMC minutes still weigh on dollar Trichet does not help euro but single currency recovers Dollar index earlier touches 14 month low Recasts and updates prices adds details from the Philadelphia Federal Reserve Bank s latest economic report By Nick Olivari NEW YORK Oct 15 Reuters The dollar rose against the yen on Thursday after U S data bolstered expectations the economy is recovering raising optimism that U S interest rates will rise sooner rather than later Higher U S interest rates would make U S assets more attractive to investors and increase demand for the dollars to buy them The euro swung between gains and losses during the session buffeted by technical factors and comments from the European Central Bank U S data on claims for jobless benefits was not that far from forecasts but it was at least moving in the right direction in terms of lower unemployment said Nick Bennenbroek head of currency strategy at Wells Fargo in New York The dollar was last up 1 1 percent at 90 40 yen The euro was last up 0 1 percent at 1 4941 close to the 14 month high touched earlier in the session at 1 4967 according to Reuters data It s a thin market that s technically driven and Europe is closing up said Win Thin senior currency strategist at Brown Brothers Harriman in reference to the euro s recovery in the New York session The euro came back after failing to break below the 1 4840 level which was around Wednesday s low and the five day moving average Thin said The euro had hit the day s low after European Central Bank President Jean Claude Trichet repeated comments that the euro was not created to be a global reserve currency The U S Labor Department reported that initial claims for jobless benefits fell to 514 000 in the latest week Markets were expecting claims of 525 000 The government also released inflation data which showed the Labor Department s closely watched core Consumer Price Index for September which excludes food and energy inched up slightly more than expected Offsetting some of that positive sentiment however was a report from the Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia showing factory activity in the U S Mid Atlantic region grew less than expected in October GOLDMAN S EARNINGS Dollar trading was not without volatility irrespective of the reports with the dollar index earlier touching a 14 month low Goldman Sachs Group Inc posted better than expected quarterly earnings but despite beating published forecasts they were not enough to beat the loftiest expectations and helped take away some investor appetite for risk Sterling pared some gains but was still broadly higher on the day prompted by short covering after investors boosted short sterling positions that helped push the pound to a five month low earlier this week traders said Sterling was last at 1 6257 up 1 8 percent trading at its highest since late September Bank of England policy maker Paul Fisher told the Financial Times he felt more confident the central bank s asset purchase programme was working But analysts said they expected further dollar weakness a day after the release of the latest minutes from the U S central bank s Federal Open Market Committee which showed that some policy makers called for increasing asset purchases Simon Derrick of Bank of New York Mellon said reports of Asian central banks intervening to keep their currencies from appreciating had not lifted the dollar because the market anticipated some of the dollars would be converted into euros Hong Kong s central bank sold HK 1 5 billion 200 million to keep the Hong Kong dollar within its trading band Earlier the greenback fell to 14 month lows against the higher yielding Australian dollar and a 15 month trough versus the New Zealand and Canada dollars Reserve Bank of Australia chief Glenn Stevens said local interest rates would need to move toward a more normal setting as economic recovery took hold reinforcing the view that rates will be hiked for a second consecutive month in November Additional reporting by Wanfeng Zhou in New York and Catherine Bosley in London Reporting by Nick Olivari Editing by Jan Paschal
10/15/2009
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US STOCKS Dow S P end at 2009 highs with oil Google up late
Energy stocks rise after EIA inventory data Oil prices hit year s high above 77 a barrel Goldman Sachs Citigroup slip after results Google jumps after bell following results Dow up 0 5 pct S P up 0 4 pct Nasdaq up 0 1 pct For up to the minute market news click STXNEWS US Updates to close By Leah Schnurr NEW YORK Oct 15 Reuters The Dow industrials and the S P 500 climbed on Thursday to 2009 closing highs buoyed by energy stocks as oil prices jumped but financials retreated as investors panned results from Goldman Sachs and Citigroup The Nasdaq eked out a slim gain but shares of big cap tech companies including Apple and Google dragged Google lost 1 percent to close at 529 91 on Nasdaq in the regular session but after the bell the stock jumped 1 5 percent to 538 00 following results that beat Wall Street s expectations U S crude oil futures hit a one year high rising 2 40 or more than 3 percent to settle at 77 58 a barrel after data showed gasoline and distillate inventories fell sharply in the latest week Energy shares rose with Chevron Corp up 1 6 percent at 76 69 on the New York Stock Exchange While Goldman Sachs Group and Citigroup Inc s results exceeded forecasts they failed to meet the lofty standard set on Wednesday by JPMorgan Chase Co the first major bank to report earnings It appears the market is reacting to the energy inventory data the strength in crude and the idea that the economic recovery is firming said Nick Kalivas vice president of financial research and senior equity index analyst at MF Global in Chicago The Dow Jones industrial average gained 47 08 points or 0 47 percent to close at 10 062 94 a fresh 52 week high The Standard Poor s 500 Index rose 4 54 points or 0 42 percent to finish at 1 096 56 its highest close for the year The Nasdaq Composite Index added 1 06 points or 0 05 percent to end at 2 173 29 Goldman s earnings nearly quadrupled largely because of strong trading results Citigroup s third quarter loss was narrower than expected but the company booked 8 billion in credit losses For details see ID nN15288862 and ID nN15291217 Goldman s stock fell 1 9 percent to 188 63 and Citigroup shares shed 5 percent to 4 75 while an S P financial index lost 0 7 percent There s a lot of profit taking and rethinking of the financial sector Kalivas said I think the expectations for Goldman Sachs were extremely high and basically they couldn t get themselves much over the whisper numbers On the economic front data showed the Consumer Price Index prices edged up in September and the number of workers filing new claims for jobless benefits dropped to a nine month low last week ID nN15292883 A sharp increase in New York state factory activity was tempered by a report showing factory activity in the Mid Atlantic region grew less than expected Markets will continue to feel the push and pull of earnings season as investors react to individual corporate results Most money managers I know while being respectful of the upward momentum recognize there are significant long term problems and issues that need to be faced said Jim Awad managing director at Zephyr Management in New York I think they will be quick to pull the trigger if and when the momentum dissipates Editing by Jan Paschal
10/15/2009
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FOREX Dollar drops to 14 month low vs currency basket
Dollar index at 14 month low Canada dlr Aussie dlr hit 14 month highs Gold hits record highs oil up 1 pct Sterling down vs euro on weaker UK inflation data Recasts updates prices By Nick Olivari NEW YORK Oct 13 Reuters The U S dollar touched a 14 month low against a basket of currencies on Tuesday as investors refocused on the outlook for U S interest rates Expectations of a strengthening global recovery outside the United States added to rising demand for growth linked and commodity linked currencies like the Australian and Canadian dollars at the expense of greenback demand Higher rates would make U S assets more attractive and bolster demand for dollars The dollar is under pressure because interest rates here are the lowest in the Western world and will remain low for the foreseeable future said John McCarthy director of foreign exchange at ING Capital Markets in New York The U S Federal Reserve will release minutes of their September policy meeting on Wednesday and investors will closely scrutinize the text for clues on when the central bank will tighten the benchmark interest rate and reduce its stimulus program But for now with rates close to zero investors are focused on the fact that while the U S government pays lip service to a strong dollar policy there is little action beyond words The U S administration is quiet and says nothing about it so people feel they don t desire to make any type of external stand on the dollar McCarthy said The dollar index a measure of the greenback s value against six currencies was down 0 1 percent at 76 061 after hitting 75 738 its lowest since early August last year The euro rose to its highest against the dollar since late August 2008 as dollar selling gained momentum helping push it past option expiries at 1 4850 It last traded at 1 4802 up 0 2 percent from the prior close The dollar had gained especially against the yen after Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke said last Thursday the U S central bank stood ready to tighten monetary policy once economic recovery took hold But investors now consider that the time frame may be open ended The U S currency was last down 0 1 percent at 89 69 yen having earlier traded above 90 yen Fed Vice Chairman Donald Kohn and New York Fed President William Dudley are set to speak later in the day but investors don t expect any new statement on the economy or interest rates NO SAFE HAVEN Expectations for economic growth elsewhere in the world have also reduced demand for the dollar as a safe haven currency with record gold prices and higher oil prices indications of higher risk tolerance The dollar and commodities are often inversely correlated with gold and oil priced in dollars and seen as an alternative currency and a hard asset Gold prices hit record highs on Tuesday while oil gained 1 percent and rose for the fourth straight session The euro rose to a six and a half month high against the sterling after the release of unexpectedly soft UK inflation data even as sterling managed a 0 3 percent rise against the dollar to 1 5842 Expectations of continued earnings improvements also kept investors focused on so called riskier assets to the detriment of the yen and the dollar Risk perception remains an important topic in the absence of a cyclical trend out of the United States said Michael Klawitter currency strategist at Commerzbank in Frankfurt But I wouldn t expect any serious impact on the risk perception picture when liquidity remains very ample So in this environment commodity currencies should continue to outperform Big corporate names due to post earnings this week include JP Morgan Chase Co on Wednesday and Goldman Sachs Group Inc and International Business Machines Corp on Thursday
10/13/2009
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US STOCKS SNAPSHOT Futures turn negative after Goldman results
NEW YORK Oct 15 Reuters U S stock index futures turned negative on Thursday after Goldman Sachs Group reported its third quarter results S P 500 futures fell 2 9 points and were below fair value a formula that evaluates pricing by taking into account interest rates dividends and time to expiration on the contract Dow Jones industrial average futures fell 17 points and Nasdaq 100 futures lost 4 75 points
10/15/2009
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US STOCKS SNAPSHOT Futures extend losses after Citi results
NEW YORK Oct 15 Reuters U S stock index futures fell further on Thursday after Citigroup Inc reported quarterly earnings The index futures turned negative earlier in the morning after Goldman Sachs Group also announced its third quarter results S P 500 futures fell 5 5 points and were below fair value a formula that evaluates pricing by taking into account interest rates dividends and time to expiration on the contract Dow Jones industrial average futures fell 44 points and Nasdaq futures lost 9 75 points
10/15/2009
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US STOCKS Futures fall on Citigroup Goldman results
Goldman Sachs Citigroup report Futures point to lower open For up to the minute market news click STXNEWS US Updates with Goldman Citigroup results By Edward Krudy NEW YORK Oct 15 Reuters U S stock index futures fell on Thursday after quarterly results from Goldman Sachs Group and Citigroup Inc failed to live up to expectations some investors had for financial sector shares Goldman s results came a day after much stronger than expected numbers JPMorgan Chase Co drove stocks to new yearly highs and raised hopes that other banks would follow suit helping to underpin a 7 month rally in stocks Shares in Goldman Sachs fell 2 4 percent before the bell to 187 63 while Citigroup Inc which also reported quarterly results dropped 4 percent to 4 80 I think expectations have just gotten so high after JPMorgan and all the rhetoric from yesterday said Keith Davis financial analyst at Farr Miller Washington in Washington D C S P 500 futures fell 5 50 points and were below fair value a formula that evaluates pricing by taking into account interest rates dividends and time to expiration on the contract Dow Jones industrial average futures fell 37 points and Nasdaq futures lost 9 75 point Reporting by Edward Krudy Editing by Padraic Cassidy
10/15/2009
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UPDATE 1 NYSE Euronext to sell stake in Amex options unit
NYSE Euronext partners with seven other Wall St firms Says will remain largest shareholder of Amex options Deal could be completed by the end of 2009 Changes source to company adds detail Sept 9 Reuters NYSE Euronext said on Wednesday it plans to sell a significant stake in its NYSE Amex options unit to seven major Wall Street companies As part of the deal the company has agreed in principle on a framework with BofA Merrill Lynch Barclays PLC Citadel Securities Citigroup Inc Goldman Sachs Group Inc TD Ameritrade Holding Corp and UBS AG who will become partners in the Amex options unit This partnership will further align our business interests with those of our customers and makes NYSE Amex options an even more compelling trading venue within an increasingly competitive marketplace Duncan Niederauer CEO of NYSE Euronext said in a statement NYSE Euronext said it would continue to manage the day to day operations of the unit which would be operated under the supervision of a separate board and a chief executive officer NYSE Euronext said it would remain the largest shareholder in the entity It expects the transaction to be completed by the end of 2009 Shares of NYSE Euronext closed at 28 08 Tuesday on the New York Stock Exchange Reporting by Chakradhar Adusumilli and Ajay Kamalakaran in Bangalore Editing by Valerie Lee Will Waterman
9/9/2009
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FOREX Dollar gains vs yen for second straight session
Dollar edges higher vs yen euro recovers vs dollar Dollar holds around 90 yen as short positions trimmed Sterling slammed on report rates to stay low Adds details quote updates prices changes byline changes dateline from previous LONDON By Nick Olivari NEW YORK Oct 12 Reuters The dollar gained for the second straight session against the yen on Monday rising to a more than two week high with traders covering short positions as they debated the timing of a tightening in U S monetary policy though some investors remained cautious The U S currency shed early gains against the euro as factors such as large deficits and concern about its status as the pre eminent reserve currency weighed Data last week showed speculators held large dollar short positions The pound wallowed against both the euro and dollar after a a report said British interest rates would stay at rock bottom levels for some time There is still ongoing dollar weakness with a modicum of strength against the yen said Marc Chandler head of global strategy at Brown Brothers Harriman in New York That s largely technical with no trend change In early New York trade the dollar was 0 2 percent higher at 89 98 yen compared with late Friday s levels after rising to 90 46 yen the highest since Sept 25 The gains pushed the dollar further from the trough touched last week which was the lowest since January The euro rose 0 2 percent to 1 4765 recovering from early losses The single European currency also rose 0 5 percent against the yen at 132 85 yen Trading was described as light with Tokyo markets shut for a one day holiday and the U S Columbus Day holiday Sterling fell broadly losing 0 2 percent against the dollar 0 6 percent against the euro and 0 6 percent against the Swiss franc according to Reuters data after a report said British interest rates would stay at rock bottom levels for some time Sterling traded around a five month low against the dollar and a seven month low against the euro The Centre for Economics and Business Research CEBR said British interest rates would stay at 0 5 percent until 2011 and not rise to 2 percent until 2014 That doesn t come as a surprise to anybody Chandler said They are going to keep rates on hold for some time INTEREST RATES A surprise rate hike by Australia last week put renewed market focus on the direction of interest rates The dollar rebounded after U S Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke said last Thursday that policy could be tightened as a recovery takes hold St Louis Federal Reserve President James Bullard added to the debate on Sunday saying medium term inflation risks in the U S economy could be higher than thought Later this week traders will focus on U S corporate earnings for clues on the outlook for risk tolerance Results from JPMorgan Chase Co and Goldman Sachs Group Inc are slated Earnings should be broadly supportive for risk taking said Lee Hardman currency analyst at Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ
10/12/2009
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FOREX Dollar mostly lower ahead of U S bank earnings
Dollar swings between gains and losses vs yen Euro recovers to trade higher vs dollar Trading volatile on U S federal government holiday Sterling slammed on report rates to stay low Adds details quote updates prices By Nick Olivari NEW YORK Oct 12 Reuters The dollar was mostly lower on Monday as investors positioned for earnings from some of the biggest U S banks later this week on expectations that results will top forecasts and drive risk tolerance higher Though the relationship has weakened in recent months some investors are still selling the dollar against other currencies as they buy riskier assets Results from JPMorgan Chase Co and Goldman Sachs Group Inc are slated for later this week With the federal government closed for the U S Columbus Day holiday trading was light and volatile with many investors taking the day off though the pound wallowed against both the euro and dollar after a report said British interest rates would stay at rock bottom levels for some time Given the holiday we seeing some exaggerated moves here said Joe Manimbo a currency trader Travelex Global Business Payments in Washington D C It s a quiet start to the week given the holiday and the market is positioning for some of the financial earnings The Tokyo markets were also shut for a one day holiday The U S currency shed early gains against the euro as factors such as large deficits and concern about the dollar s status as the preeminent reserve currency weighed The euro rose 0 5 percent to 1 4801 The single European currency also rose 0 4 percent against the yen at 132 71 yen The dollar was 0 1 percent lower at 89 67 yen trading between a session peak of 90 46 yen and a low of 89 64 yen according to Reuters data There is still ongoing dollar weakness with a modicum of strength against the yen said Marc Chandler head of global strategy at Brown Brothers Harriman in New York That s largely technical with no trend change The dollar index which measures the dollar against a basket of six currencies fell 0 5 percent to 76 061 POUND FALLS Sterling fell broadly and traded around a five month low against the dollar and a seven month low against the euro after the Centre for Economics and Business Research said British interest rates would stay at 0 5 percent until 2011 and not rise to 2 percent until 2014 That doesn t come as a surprise to anybody Marc Chandler head of global strategy at Brown Brothers Harriman in New York They are going to keep rates on hold for some time Sterling lost 0 3 percent against the dollar 0 9 percent against the euro and 1 percent against the Swiss franc according to Reuters data A surprise rate hike by Australia last week has also put renewed market focus on the direction of interest rates though that theme was not as apparent on Monday The dollar rebounded on Friday after U S Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke said last Thursday that policy could be tightened as a recovery takes hold St Louis Federal Reserve President James Bullard added to the debate on Sunday saying medium term inflation risks in the U S economy could be higher than thought Editing by Leslie Adler
10/12/2009
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GLOBAL MARKETS Oil surges on weak dollar economic optimism
Wall Street gains on economic optimism weak dollar Dollar mostly lower ahead of U S bank earnings Oil jumps 2 percent on optimism colder U S weather Bunds lifted by UK gilt rally curve steepens Updates with U S markets activity changes dateline previous LONDON By Herbert Lash NEW YORK Oct 12 Reuters Oil and other commodity prices rose on Monday on a weak U S dollar and renewed optimism over the pace of economic recovery while global equities gained spurred higher by the stock of energy and materials companies Oil jumped more than 2 percent to touch a six week high aluminium rose to a near one month high and copper gained supported by a looming strike in Chile For details see ID nSP416736 ID nLC677696 Gold prices sought higher ground keeping last week s record high in sight as a weak dollar and the surge in oil prices attracted investors looking for a hedge against possibly higher inflation down the road ID nLC97376 The dollar was mostly lower as investors positioned for earnings from some of the biggest U S banks later this week on expectations that results will top forecasts and drive risk tolerance higher ID nN12134908 JPMorgan Chase Co and Goldman Sachs Group Inc are slated to release results this week RESF US The MSCI all country world index hit a new one year high gaining 0 6 percent on rising stock markets in Europe and the United States Asia Pacific shares outside of Japan fell slightly with Tokyo markets closed for a holiday With the U S government closed for the Columbus Day holiday trading was light The U S bond market was closed and most major markets were also closed in Latin America except for Peru and Mexico European shares rose on better than expected earnings from Dutch giant Philips Electronics which reinforced investors confidence in third quarter results ID nLC210070 The world s biggest lighting maker and Europe s biggest consumer electronics producer benefited from cost cutting and a drop in revenue that was less than feared ID nLC210070 The results of companies like Philips are important and other corporates are also reporting decent profits said Franz Wenzel a strategist at AXA Investment Managers in Paris The other main reasons for the stock market rally are still in place The macroeconomics are improving And importantly we still have ample liquidity The FTSEurofirst 300 of top European shares rose 0 7 percent to 1 005 37 points while The FTSE 100 index in London set a fresh one year high U S stocks advanced in a sign of renewed interest in initial public offerings Blackstone Group rose 7 9 percent on a report the private equity firm is planning to list up to eight of its portfolio companies a possible sign of healthier capital markets ID nN1295621 Shortly after 1 p m the Dow Jones industrial average was up 44 89 points or 0 46 percent at 9 909 83 The Standard Poor s 500 Index was up 7 09 points or 0 66 percent at 1 078 58 The Nasdaq Composite Index was up 8 08 points or 0 38 percent at 2 147 36 Euro zone government bonds rebounded in a rally spurred by their British counterparts on comments by ratings agency Moody s and a report that interest rates in Britain may stay at a record low until 2011 ID nLC438051 Bunds underperformed gilts with the 10 year bond yield spread narrowing to its tightest in four months after Prime Minister Gordon Brown gave his backing to the Bank of England s program of pumping money into the economy The dollar was down against a basket of major currencies with the U S Dollar Index down 0 41 percent at 76 121 The euro was up 0 42 percent at 1 4789 and against the yen the dollar was up 0 02 percent The pound wallowed against both the euro and dollar after a report said British interest rates would stay at rock bottom levels for some time Energy prices rose after colder temperatures were forecast for later in the week for much of the United States including the key U S Northeast heating oil region ID nDTN641 U S light sweet crude oil rose 1 52 to 73 29 a barrel Spot gold prices rose 8 20 to 1056 40 The MSCI index of Asia Pacific shares outside Japan dipped 0 3 percent Markets were closed in Japan for a holiday Reporting by Angela Moon Nick Olivari and Matthew Robinson in New York Emelia Sithole and Brian Gorman in London writing by Herbert Lash Editing by Diane Craft
10/12/2009
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FOREX Dollar mostly lower as U S bank earnings eyed
Euro recovers to trade higher vs dollar Investors brace for better than expected U S earnings Trading volatile on U S federal government holiday Sterling slammed on report rates to stay low Updates prices adds quote details changes byline By Steven C Johnson NEW YORK Oct 12 Reuters The dollar was mostly lower on Monday as investors shunned it for higher yielding currencies and assets on the belief that corporate quarterly earnings including from some top U S banks will exceed expectations Though the relationship has weakened lately some investors still sell the dollar against other currencies when optimism grows and buy assets such as stocks and commodities instead The price of U S crude oil rose 2 2 percent and Wall Street extended recent gains though volume was light and many traders took the day off with the U S government closed for Columbus Day and Canada out for Thanksgiving Tokyo was also shuttered for a one day holiday It s a quiet start to the week given the holiday and the market is positioning for some of the financial earnings said Joe Manimbo a currency trader at Travelex Global Business Payments in Washington Of particular interest will be results from JPMorgan Chase Co and Goldman Sachs Group Inc slated for later this week The euro rose 0 4 percent to 1 4787 and 0 5 percent to 132 88 yen while the dollar fell 0 6 percent to 1 0252 Swiss francs The dollar was little changed at 89 83 yen but sterling hit a five month low at 1 5729 after a report said UK interest rates would stay at rock bottom levels until 2011 and not hit 2 percent until 2014 The pound was last down 0 3 percent at 1 5788 The dollar got a boost on Friday and bond yields rose after Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke reiterated that the central bank will be ready to raise interest rates and withdraw money from the system once an economic recovery takes hold But those moves had run out of steam on Monday with the euro briefly moving back above 1 48 within striking distance of the 2009 high around 1 4842 As investors rethink the Bernanke comments they ponder what might cause an acceleration of interest rate increases from the Fed and realize that there is nothing to do so said Andrew Wilkinson senior analyst at Interactive Brokers Group in Greenwich Connecticut He said that means the euro should retest annual highs on its way to 1 50 a level not seen since August of 2008 The same appears to hold for the Canadian dollar which hit a fresh 14 month high against the greenback on Monday The U S dollar was last down 0 8 percent at C 1 0340 Some investors fear record U S deficits and the risk of inflation posed by super loose monetary and fiscal policy will undermine the dollar and push up long term interest rates That also worries foreign central banks who fear that their own economies will suffer if their currencies get too strong against the U S dollar and choke off exports St Louis Federal Reserve President James Bullard added to the debate on Sunday saying medium term inflation risks in the U S economy could be higher than thought Additional reporting by Nick Olivari Editing by Theodore d Afflisio
10/12/2009
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GLOBAL MARKETS Oil stocks gain on weak dollar optimism
Wall Street gains on economic optimism weak dollar Dollar mostly lower ahead of U S bank earnings Oil jumps 2 percent on optimism colder U S weather Trading is light due to holiday U S bond market closed Updates with close of U S markets By Herbert Lash NEW YORK Oct 12 Reuters Oil and other commodity prices rose on Monday on renewed optimism over the pace of economic recovery and a weak U S dollar which helped lift the benchmark S P 500 Index to its highest close in a year Oil jumped more than 2 percent to touch a six week high aluminum rose to a near one month high and copper gained supported by a looming strike in Chile For details see ID nSP416736 ID nLC677696 Gold briefly rose within striking distance of an all time high above 1 060 an ounce as the weak dollar increased the metal s appeal as a hedge against inflation and falling currencies ID nLC97376 The dollar was mostly lower as investors shunned it for higher yielding currencies and assets on the belief quarterly earnings including from some top U S banks will exceed expectations ID nN12147006 JPMorgan Chase Co and Goldman Sachs Group Inc are slated to release results this week RESF US Results that top forecasts will drive risk appetites higher The MSCI all country world index hit a new one year high gaining 0 5 percent on rising stock markets in Europe and the United States Asia Pacific shares outside of Japan fell slightly with Tokyo markets closed for a holiday With the U S government shut for the Columbus Day holiday trading was light The U S bond market was closed as were most major markets in Latin America except Mexico and Peru The S P 500 gained for a sixth straight session its best winning streak since a six day romp ending in June 2007 Optimism over the third quarter earnings season which begins in earnest on Tuesday has fueled the recent rally The S P 500 is up almost 60 percent from March s 12 year closing low But stocks pared gains as investors decided to lock in profits before the onslaught of corporate results It s a quiet start to the week given the holiday and the market is positioning for some of the financial earnings said Joe Manimbo a currency trader at Travelex Global Business Payments in Washington The Dow Jones industrial average closed up 20 86 points or 0 21 percent at 9 885 80 The Standard Poor s 500 Index added 4 70 points or 0 44 percent at 1 076 19 The Nasdaq Composite Index slipped 0 14 points or 0 01 percent at 2 139 14 European shares gained on better than expected earnings from Dutch giant Philips Electronics which reinforced investors confidence in third quarter results ID nLC210070 The world s biggest lighting maker and Europe s biggest consumer electronics producer benefited from cost cutting and a drop in revenue that was less than feared ID nLC210070 The results of companies like Philips are important and other corporates are also reporting decent profits said Franz Wenzel a strategist at AXA Investment Managers in Paris The other main reasons for the stock market rally are still in place The macroeconomics are improving And importantly we still have ample liquidity The FTSEurofirst 300 of top European shares rose 0 7 percent to 1 005 37 points while The FTSE 100 index in London set a fresh one year high Euro zone government bonds rebounded in a rally spurred by their British counterparts on comments by ratings agency Moody s and a report that interest rates in Britain may stay at a record low until 2011 ID nLC438051 Bunds underperformed gilts with the 10 year bond yield spread narrowing to its tightest in four months after Prime Minister Gordon Brown gave his backing to the Bank of England s program of pumping money into the economy The dollar was down against a basket of major currencies with the U S Dollar Index down 0 35 percent at 76 167 The euro was up 0 34 percent at 1 4777 and against the yen the dollar was up 0 09 percent at 89 85 The pound wallowed against both the euro and dollar on the report forecasting rock bottom interest rates for some time Energy prices rose after colder temperatures were forecast for later in the week for much of the United States including the key U S Northeast heating oil region ID nDTN641 U S crude rose 1 50 to settle at 73 27 a barrel the highest settlement since Aug 24 Brent crude traded up 1 36 to settle at 71 36 a barrel December gold futures settled up 8 90 at 1 057 50 an ounce in New York The MSCI index of Asia Pacific shares outside Japan dipped 0 2 percent Markets were closed in Japan for a holiday Reporting by Leah Schnurr Steven C Johnson Matthew Robinson in New York Emelia Sithole and Brian Gorman in London writing by Herbert Lash Editing by Andrew Hay
10/12/2009
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CORRECTED Goldman employees told no big purchases NY Post
Corrects to add dropped name Blankfein in paragraph 3 Aug 4 Reuters Goldman Sachs Group Inc Chief Executive Lloyd Blankfein told employees to avoid making high profile purchases the New York Post said citing sources Blankfein who first asked employees to avoid large purchases late last year has stepped up his campaign in recent weeks a source told the paper This is a sensitive time for us and Blankfein wants to make sure that we re not being seen living high on the hog the paper quoted an anonymous Goldman executive as saying Goldman has faced a torrent of unwanted publicity recently including an unflattering story in Rolling Stone magazine which accused the bank of having a key role in various market bubbles stretching back to the 1920s A Goldman spokeswoman declined to comment to the paper Goldman could not be immediately reached for comment by Reuters after regular U S business hours Last week New York Attorney General Andrew Cuomo in a report into compensation paid by banks said employee pay has become unmoored from the banks financial performance For related analysis please see Reporting by Ajay Kamalakaran in Bangalore
8/4/2009
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France pushes bankers on bonuses ahead of G20
By Anna Willard PARIS Aug 24 Reuters President Nicolas Sarkozy will push French bankers this week to do more to restrict bonuses so he can hold them up as a good example to other countries at meetings of the Group of 20 in September Sarkozy s summoning of top bankers to his office on Tuesday also aims to show voters he will not allow unlimited paychecks for those seen responsible for a financial crisis which led to recession and rising unemployment in France The bankers who are meeting Economy Minister Christine Lagarde on Monday are expected to promise to do more but are worried the French position puts them at a competitive disadvantage driving top talent away to foreign banks Sarkozy and Lagarde have been outspoken on the need to curb bonuses at the G20 and G7 and expressed dismay at record payouts at U S institutions such as Goldman Sachs Group INC Authorities on both sides of the Atlantic are stepping up moves to prevent the return to the bonus culture that led to excessive risk taking blamed for the financial crisis The issue will be high on the agenda at a meeting of G20 finance ministers in London on September 4 and 5 to prepare the leaders summit in Pittsburgh on Sept 24 25 GOOD CONDUCT French banks adopted a code of good conduct based on broad G20 guidelines in February in exchange for receiving billions of euros in liquidity support from the government aimed at ending huge guaranteed bonuses But the debate in France was rekindled earlier this month when it emerged that BNP Paribas had set aside 1 billion euros for possible bonuses after reporting a 6 6 percent rise in second quarter profits Bank of France Governor Christian Noyer who heads the banking regulator said the BNP provision was in line with the G20 rules which say pay schemes should properly reflect risks that an institution has taken But Sarkozy is facing political pressure for France to do more and make sure other countries do the same France is certainly the country which has done the most but we must go further Xavier Bertrand a top official in Sarkozy s UMP party told France Info radio on Monday Britain has threatened legislation if bankers do not change their ways ID nLF158735 France banned stock options in pay packages for companies receiving state support until the end of 2010 but has not yet threatened to regulate bonuses Sarkozy wants to make Paris a more attractive financial centre to draw market participants away from the City of London but bankers say the push on bonuses could drive people away The same rules have to be applied everywhere otherwise these activities will move will leave Paris and go elsewhere SocGen Chief Executive Frederic Oudea said on Aug 7 Sarkozy s meeting also aims to ensure the banks are passing on the money they were offered in state support by lending to small and medium sized companies He created two vehicles with a potential budget of 360 billion euros 511 4 billion to help improve liquidity in the banking sector during the financial crisis Despite the promises small businesses are still facing difficulties getting credit the CGPME small business union said in a statement For a factbox on remuneration in the financial sector please click on ID nLO173540 Additional reporting by Huw Jones Tamora Vidaillet Yann Le Guernigou
8/24/2009
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US STOCKS Wall St to open mixed as caution prevails
JPMorgan quarterly profit rises Weekly jobless claims at lowest level since January US Treasury Sec Geithner says markets functioning better Adds jobs data updates prices By Rodrigo Campos NEW YORK July 16 Reuters U S stock index futures pointed to a mixed open on Thursday as investors turned cautious following a jump in quarterly profit at JPMorgan Chase Co and a steep fall in jobless claims a day after Wall Street tallied its biggest three day gain since March JPMorgan s second quarter earnings topped Wall Street s estimates continuing a stream of reassuring news on bank earnings after Goldman Sachs Group posted similarly stronger results on Tuesday Government data showed the number of U S workers filing new claims for jobless benefits fell last week to their lowest level since January but the seasonally adjusted data was again distorted by an unusual pattern of automotive industry layoffs that amplified the drop S P 500 futures were 0 40 points lower and were below fair value a formula that evaluates pricing by taking into account interest rates dividends and time to expiration on the contract Dow Jones industrial average futures rose 20 points and Nasdaq 100 futures shed 4 25 points There s just a little bit of caution it s just the beginning of earnings season said Frank Lesh a futures analyst and broker at FuturePath Trading LLC in Chicago We ve got a lot more news to digest for the next couple of weeks U S Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner told reporters in Paris there is a very encouraging improvement in confidence in the overall stability of the financial system After meeting with French Economy Minister Christine Lagarde Geithner also said markets were functioning better which he said was a good sign for the economy But the upbeat tone was confronted by a possible bankruptcy looming for small business lender CIT Group Inc Talks between the government and CIT about a potential bailout collapsed on Wednesday a reminder that fallout from the financial crisis and the recession is far from over In Paris Geithner declined to comment directly on CIT Other data on tap for Thursday includes the Philadelphia Federal Reserve Bank s release of its July business activity survey at 10 a m 1400 GMT Economists in a Reuters survey forecast a reading of 5 0 versus 2 2 in June
7/16/2009
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FXOUTLOOK Dollar likely to fall in week ahead on good news
Dollar likely lower in week ahead on any good news Few reports to guide trading in the week ahead Fed s Bernanke gives semiannual testimony to Congress By Nick Olivari NEW YORK July 17 Reuters The U S dollar is likely to ease in the week ahead as investors perceive any good news on the U S economy as being positive for riskier assets globally prompting them to sell greenbacks to buy those assets While a strengthening U S economy should attract investors into U S assets in recent months it has actually sent investors searching for yield into securities elsewhere on the bet that a stronger U S economy will drive growth elsewhere Conversely when the U S economy falters investors have fled back into the relative safe haven of the dollar on the bet that the U S government will always have the means to back its currency We are still in the risk aversion risk tolerance trade said Joseph Trevisani chief market analyst at FX Solutions in Saddle River New Jersey I hate it it s a cliche but it is still true Profit news was mixed over the week with better than expected earnings this week from financial stalwarts Goldman Sachs Group Inc and JPMorgan Chase Co offset by news that General Electric profits fell by half and Bank of America posted a lower quarterly profit But despite day to day gyrations investors focused more on the good news with positive economic reports such as stronger than expected U S retail sales for June adding to higher risk tolerance this week ID nN13376897 a trend only expected to continue in the coming week For the week the dollar index the dollar against a basket of six currencies fell 1 percent its worst week since May 24 The euro rose 1 3 percent against the dollar its best week since May 24 The dollar rose 2 percent against the yen its best week since June 7 The main highlight of the week ahead will be Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke s semiannual monetary policy testimony to Congress Investors will be seeking clues on when the Federal Reserve will begin to wind back the extraordinary stimulus measures such as quantitative easing it undertook at the height of the U S financial crisis If that signal comes soon investors will perceive it as evidence that the U S economy could soon show positive growth Investors will be looking for a clear signal of when the Fed will pull these extraneous measures they put into the economy six or seven months ago said Greg Salvaggio vice president of trading at Tempus Consulting in Washington Bernanke will speak before the House Financial Services Committee on Tuesday followed by testimony before the Senate Banking Committee on Wednesday Though there is very little U S data next week to drive market moves anything could cause volatility in thin trading with Northern Hemisphere traders taking summer holidays at various times through to early September Monday sees the release of June leading indicators which are forecast to rise 0 5 percent according to a Reuters poll Perhaps the most exciting report for traders will be released on Thursday when the U S Department of Labor announces initial jobless claims for the week Investors will be looking for an unexpected drop from expectations as a further sign that the economy is recovering Conversely any jump in the number of claims will be seen as a sign that an economic recovery is not as close as investors hope A Reuters poll indicated a consensus forecast of 548 000 initial claims for the week ending July 18 Existing home sales for June will also be released on Thursday with economists forecasting an annualized rate of 4 8 million The final reading of the Reuters University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers for July will be released on Friday and is expected to be 65 0 compared with 70 8 previously Reporting by Nick Olivari Editing by Kenneth Barry
7/17/2009
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US STOCKS Wall St opens flat after Monday s run up
NEW YORK July 14 Reuters U S stocks opened little changed on Tuesday as investors paused following a strong run up in the previous session and after government data pointed to a slower than expected recovery in consumer spending in June Even though Goldman Sachs Group posted a solid quarterly profit investors kept the stock near break even at the open after strong gains a day earlier The Dow Jones industrial average was up 24 10 points or 0 29 percent at 8 355 78 The Standard Poor s 500 Index was up 3 58 points or 0 40 percent at 904 63 The Nasdaq Composite Index was up 4 35 points or 0 24 percent at 1 797 56
7/14/2009
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US STOCKS Wall St flat as earnings offset retail sales data
Goldman Sachs posts strong profit but shares off Corporate profits underpin the market June retail sales signal weak consumer demand Dow up 0 04 pct S P 500 up 0 2 pct Nasdaq up 0 2 pct Updates to mid afternoon changes byline By Leah Schnurr NEW YORK July 14 Reuters U S stocks were stuck in a narrow range on Tuesday as positive corporate results were tempered by concern that consumer demand remains weak Analysts said the day s news including a surge in profit from Goldman Sachs was already accounted for after optimism that banks earnings will be stronger than anticipated lifted the major U S stock indexes more than 2 percent on Monday Investors were also cautious with other major companies set to reveal their scorecards later this week including Bank of America and General Electric Intel is expected after the closing bell Data showed June retail sales rose more than forecast but a big part of that gain was due to rising gasoline prices Excluding autos and gas sales retail sales registered a fourth consecutive monthly decline A rebound in sales is considered vital for the U S economy to bounce back from recession as consumer spending accounts for roughly two thirds of the country s economic activity The consumer remains extremely weak and that s the biggest headwind we face in terms of the economy picking up steam said Michael Sheldon chief market strategist at RDM Financial in Westport Connecticut As a result investors face a large amount of uncertainty over the near term as to the next direction for the market The Dow Jones industrial average rose 3 32 points or 0 04 percent to 8 335 00 The Standard Poor s 500 Index added 1 64 points or 0 18 percent to 902 69 The Nasdaq Composite Index gained 3 88 points or 0 22 percent to 1 797 09 Goldman Sachs Group s surge in quarterly profit handily beat expectations but its stock was off 0 8 percent at 148 30 retreating from a 5 percent jump in the previous session Johnson Johnson s profit also surpassed forecasts and the Dow component rose 0 5 percent to 58 02 This earnings season is under particular scrutiny as investors look for signs of economic improvement Indeed comments from the chief executive of railroad company CSX Corp that the worst of the recession seems to be over helped bolster stocks The company which reported better than expected results on Monday after the closing bell saw its shares climb 6 7 percent to 34 72 The Dow Jones Transportation Average gained 1 2 percent But Dell Corp limited gains after the personal computer maker forecast lower gross margins in the quarter as demand has shifted toward cheaper computers such as netbooks Dell s shares slumped 7 7 percent to 12 02 Editing by Jan Paschal
7/14/2009
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US STOCKS Wall St advances as earnings offset retail data
Goldman Sachs posts strong profit shares edge up Corporate profits underpin the market June retail sales signal weak consumer demand Dow up 0 3 pct S P 500 up 0 5 pct Nasdaq up 0 4 pct Updates to close By Leah Schnurr NEW YORK July 14 Reuters U S stocks managed modest gains on Tuesday as better than expected corporate profits overshadowed concerns about weak consumer demand Analysts said the bulk of the day s news including a surge in profit from Goldman Sachs was already accounted for on Monday when major stock indexes rose by more than 2 percent in anticipation of strong bank results But the cross currents inherent in the midst of conflicting signals emerging from the earnings season kept the markets range bound Gains were tempered by lackluster retail sales data and comments from Dell that second quarter margins would be lower as demand has shifted toward cheaper computers such as netbooks This was offset by encouraging comments from railroad company CSX Corp s chief executive and results from Johnson Johnson that surpassed expectations The sellers had a chance to run with it but again we found sideline cash ready to come in said Scott Marcouiller senior equity market strategist at Wells Fargo Advisors in St Louis The bottom line is we think we re still going to be in this trading range for a little while longer The Dow Jones industrial average added 27 81 points or 0 33 percent to 8 359 49 The Standard Poor s 500 Index gained 4 79 points or 0 53 percent to 905 84 The Nasdaq Composite Index rose 6 52 points or 0 36 percent to 1 799 73 Data showed June retail sales increased 0 6 percent which was more than forecast but a big part of that gain was due to rising gasoline prices Excluding autos and gas sales retail sales registered a fourth consecutive monthly decline A rebound in sales is considered vital for the U S economy to bounce back from recession as consumer spending accounts for roughly two thirds of the country s economic activity Goldman Sachs Group s surge in quarterly profit handily beat expectations but its stock gained just 0 2 percent to 149 66 after Monday s jump of 5 percent Johnson Johnson s profit also surpassed forecasts and the Dow component rose 0 9 percent to 58 23 The current earnings season is under particular scrutiny as investors look for signs of economic improvement Indeed comments from the chief executive of CSX that the worst of the recession seems to be over helped bolster stocks CSX which reported better than expected results after Monday s closing bell saw its shares climb 7 percent to 34 80 on the New York Stock Exchange The Dow Jones Transportation Average gained 1 3 percent But personal computer maker Dell limited gains after its lower margin forecast pushing its stock down 8 1 percent to 11 97 on Nasdaq Editing by Jan Paschal
7/14/2009
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CANADA FX DEBT C touches 3 week high as equities rally
C finishes at C 1 1360 to the U S dollar Touches highest level since June 22 Bond prices lower across curve follow U S Treasuries Adds details quotes By Jennifer Kwan TORONTO July 14 Reuters Canada s dollar shot to its highest level against the U S currency in three weeks on Tuesday as strong earnings at Goldman Sachs encouraged stock markets and lured investors toward greater risk The Canadian dollar rose as high as C 1 1343 to the U S dollar or 88 16 U S cents its highest level since June 22 But it backed off that mark slightly to finish at C 1 1360 to the U S dollar or 88 03 U S cents up for a second straight session and comfortably higher than Monday s closing level of C 1 1518 to the U S dollar or 86 82 U S cents I think it just seems like an overall optimistic feeling of what s going on with Q2 earnings and the fact that equity markets are posting small gains said Jean Philippe Blais vice president foreign exchange products at BMO Capital Markets Quarterly earnings at Goldman Sachs Group Inc seen as a bellwether for the financial sector soared on trading results ID nN14289399 helping equities higher on Tuesday and spurring risk sentiment for the Canadian dollar Technical plays helped also Blais said Both yesterday and today in late morning we ran into stops where people were caught long dollar Canada so Canada seems to be doing well he said The currency also drew strength from a rise in prices for gold ID nN14559168 a mainstay of the Canadian mining industry Oil prices helped support the currency for most of the day before settling slightly lower on demand concerns ID nSYD465576 The greenback struggled against most major currencies on Tuesday as investors flocked to higher yielding assets FRX Housing data that showed sales of existing homes in Canada rose sharply in the second quarter from the first was another factor giving the Canadian dollar support ID nN14267126 BOND PRICES LOWER Canadian bond prices were lower across the curve as money moved out of safe haven assets and into stocks said Sheldon Dong fixed income analyst at TD Waterhouse Private Investment The risk markets are fairly healthy he said noting the housing data helped to improve risk appetite The Canadian market also trailed the bigger U S Treasury market where prices fell on profit taking and a rosier outlook for some financial companies ID nN14419075 The two year Canada bond was down 6 Canadian cents at C 100 07 to yield 1 214 percent while the 10 year bond retreated 85 Canadian cents to C 102 70 to yield 3 425 percent The 30 year bond fell C 1 45 to C 117 10 to yield 3 979 percent In the United States the 30 year Treasury yielded 4 3512 percent The Canadian 30 year bond was 37 basis points below the U S 30 year yield compared with about 34 basis points below on Monday Reporting by Jennifer Kwan editing by Peter Galloway
7/14/2009
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US STOCKS Wall St up as earnings offset retail data Intel soars
Goldman Sachs posts strong profit shares edge up Corporate profits underpin the market Intel jumps more than 7 pct after the bell June retail sales signal weak consumer demand Dow up 0 3 pct S P 500 up 0 5 pct Nasdaq up 0 4 pct Adds details on Intel after the bell and volume By Leah Schnurr NEW YORK July 14 Reuters U S stocks managed modest gains on Tuesday as better than expected corporate profits overshadowed concerns about weak consumer demand Positive surprises on the earnings front could boost markets again on Wednesday as chip maker Intel reported results after the bell that surpassed expectations driving stock index futures sharply higher Intel also gave a forecast for current quarter revenue that beat analysts estimates Its stock surged 7 4 percent to 18 08 in extended trade Analysts said the bulk of Tuesday s news during the regular session including a jump in profit from Goldman Sachs was already accounted for on Monday when major stock indexes climbed more than 2 percent in anticipation of strong bank results Competing positive and negative earnings reports tempered each other keeping the markets range bound Gains were muted by lackluster retail sales data and comments from Dell that second quarter margins would be lower as demand has shifted toward cheaper computers such as netbooks This was offset by encouraging comments from railroad company CSX Corp s chief executive and results from Johnson Johnson that surpassed expectations The sellers had a chance to run with it but again we found sideline cash ready to come in said Scott Marcouiller senior equity market strategist at Wells Fargo Advisors in St Louis The bottom line is we think we re still going to be in this trading range for a little while longer The Dow Jones industrial average added 27 81 points or 0 33 percent to 8 359 49 The Standard Poor s 500 Index gained 4 79 points or 0 53 percent to 905 84 The Nasdaq Composite Index rose 6 52 points or 0 36 percent to 1 799 73 Data showed June retail sales increased 0 6 percent which was more than forecast but a big part of that gain was due to rising gasoline prices Excluding autos and gas sales retail sales registered a fourth consecutive monthly decline A rebound in sales is considered vital for the U S economy to bounce back from recession as consumer spending accounts for roughly two thirds of the country s economic activity GOLDMAN GAINS BUT DELL DIVES Goldman Sachs Group s surge in quarterly profit handily beat expectations but its stock gained just 0 2 percent to 149 66 after Monday s jump of 5 percent Johnson Johnson s profit also surpassed forecasts and the Dow component rose 0 9 percent to 58 23 The current earnings season is under particular scrutiny as investors look for signs of economic improvement Indeed comments from the chief executive of CSX that the worst of the recession seems to be over helped bolster stocks CSX which reported better than expected results after Monday s closing bell saw its shares climb 7 percent to 34 80 on the New York Stock Exchange The Dow Jones Transportation Average gained 1 3 percent But personal computer maker Dell limited gains after its lower margin forecast pushing its stock down 8 1 percent to 11 97 on Nasdaq Volume was light on the New York Stock Exchange with only about 979 million shares changing hands sharply below last year s estimated daily average of 1 49 billion while on the Nasdaq about 1 91 billion shares traded below last year s daily average of 2 28 billion Advancing stocks outnumbered declining ones on the NYSE by a ratio of about 7 to 3 while on the Nasdaq about 15 stocks rose for every 11 that fell Editing by Jan Paschal
7/14/2009
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FOREX Dollar rebounds from 5 month low vs yen
Dollar rebounds from 5 mth low vs yen Sudden hope on U S corporate earnings boosts sentiment Market still doubtful about global economic health Recasts updates prices adds comment adds detail By Steven C Johnson NEW YORK July 13 Reuters The dollar edged up against the yen on Monday rebounding from a five month low after positive comments from a normally bearish bank analyst boosted hopes for the sector s earnings and lifted stocks The euro rose broadly after European Central Bank President Jean Claude Trichet sounded a bit more upbeat about euro zone growth for the rest of 2009 The moves reversed earlier gains for the yen and dollar which tend to rise when investors grow anxious and sell stocks commodities and other risky assets that are often financed with cheaply borrowed dollars and yen We ve had quite a turnaround here as people have received some reassurance on earnings though there are still hurdles ahead said Camilla Sutton senior currency strategist at Scotia Capital in Toronto The U S dollar hit a five month trough of 91 73 yen on electronic trading platform EBS before recovering to trade at 92 73 yen up about 0 2 percent from late Friday Wall Street s rise following an analyst upgrade of Goldman Sachs Group and positive comments about Banc of America Corp helped dull concern about the Japanese ruling party s loss in a Tokyo election Sunday which raised speculation the party may lose national elections in August The euro rose 0 4 percent to 129 50 yen and 0 3 percent to 1 3975 boosted partly by higher stocks Sterling fell 0 1 percent to 1 6180 but was above its 1 6034 session low while commodity linked high yield currencies such as the Australian dollar rebounded from an eight week low against the yen touched earlier In recent weeks disappointing U S employment and consumer sentiment data has soured the market mood some traders said If earnings do disappoint risk aversion could return Everybody is more cautious on the economy and on corporate earnings and there s a more pessimistic view for the third and fourth quarters said Hidetoshi Yanagihara senior currency trader at Mizuho Corporate Bank in New York He said attendant risk aversion should continue pushing the dollar toward 90 yen Goldman Sachs Group JPMorgan Chase Co and Citigroup Inc are all set to report earnings this week This week there is heavy focus on the U S earnings season and investors will want to see that any recovery for major companies is revenue based and not cost cutting based said James Hughes a CMC Markets analyst in London U S Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner said Monday that a global economic recovery still faces risks but added there was a good chance the U S and other leading economies would begin growing over the next two quarters Minutes from the last Federal Reserve policy meeting and a Bank of Japan meeting due for release later in the week will be closely watched
7/13/2009
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FOREX Dollar up from 5 month low versus yen
Dollar rebounds from 5 month low vs yen Hope on U S corporate earnings boosts sentiment stocks Market still doubtful about global economic health Adds comments details Updates prices changes byline By Vivianne Rodrigues NEW YORK July 13 Reuters The dollar edged up against the yen on Monday rebounding from a five month low and the euro rose broadly as hopes that U S corporate earnings may not be as weak as initially feared sparked gains on Wall Street The euro also gained after European Central Bank President Jean Claude Trichet sounded a bit more upbeat about euro zone growth for the rest of 2009 Stocks rose after a bank analyst upgraded Goldman Sachs sparking hopes for decent bank earnings this week ID nLD131970 and ID nN13172158 That reversed earlier gains for the yen and dollar which tend to rise when investors grow anxious and sell stocks commodities and other risky assets that are often financed with cheaply borrowed dollars and yen We ve had quite a turnaround here as people have received some reassurance on earnings though there are still hurdles ahead said Camilla Sutton senior currency strategist at Scotia Capital in Toronto The U S dollar hit a five month trough of 91 73 yen on electronic trading platform EBS before recovering to trade at 92 64 yen up about 0 1 percent from late Friday Wall Street s rise helped dull concern about the Japanese ruling party s loss in an election on Sunday which raised speculation the party may lose national elections in August ID T353403 But the upcoming elections still have the potential to lead to a period of uncertainty regarding the yen said Nick Bennenbroek head of currency strategy at Wells Fargo Bank in New York The Japanese yen is the most notable example of a G10 currency that has broken out of its recent trading range The euro rose 0 4 percent to 129 34 yen and 0 3 percent versus the dollar to 1 3966 boosted partly by higher stocks Meanwhile commodity linked high yield currencies such as the Australian dollar rebounded from an eight week low against the yen touched earlier Disappointing U S employment and consumer sentiment data in recent weeks has soured the market mood some traders said If earnings do disappoint risk aversion could return Everybody is more cautious on the economy and on corporate earnings and there s a more pessimistic view for the third and fourth quarters said Hidetoshi Yanagihara senior currency trader at Mizuho Corporate Bank in New York He said attendant risk aversion should continue pushing the dollar toward 90 yen Goldman Sachs Group JPMorgan Chase Co and Citigroup Inc are to report earnings this week Earnings kicked off this past week but the real action begins in earnest with bank earnings in the week ahead said Brian Dolan chief currency strategist at FOREX com in Bedminster New Jersey With banks at the epicenter of the financial crisis a return to profitability in this space will be needed before the all clear can be declared he added U S Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner said Monday that a global economic recovery still faces risks but added there was a good chance the U S and other leading economies would begin growing over the next two quarters ID nLAK000461 Minutes from the last Federal Reserve policy meeting and a Bank of Japan meeting due for release later in the week will be closely watched Additional reporting by Steven C Johnson in New York Editing by Dan Grebler
7/13/2009
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FOREX Dollar rises versus yen after touching 5 month low
Dollar rebounds from 5 month low vs yen Hope on U S corporate earnings boosts sentiment stocks Market still doubtful about global economic health Adds details Updates prices By Vivianne Rodrigues NEW YORK July 13 Reuters The dollar rose against the yen on Monday rebounding from a five month low as hopes that U S corporate earnings may not be as weak as initially feared sparked gains on Wall Street The euro also gained after European Central Bank President Jean Claude Trichet sounded a bit more upbeat about euro zone growth for the rest of 2009 Stocks rose after a bank analyst upgraded Goldman Sachs sparking hopes for decent bank earnings this week That reversed earlier gains for the yen and dollar which tend to rise when investors grow anxious and sell stocks commodities and other risky assets that are often financed with cheaply borrowed dollars and yen We ve had quite a turnaround here as people have received some reassurance on earnings though there are still hurdles ahead said Camilla Sutton senior currency strategist at Scotia Capital in Toronto The U S dollar hit a five month trough of 91 73 yen on electronic trading platform EBS before recovering to trade at 92 79 yen up about 0 3 percent from late Friday Wall Street s rise helped dull concern about the Japanese ruling party s loss in an election on Sunday which raised speculation the party may lose national elections in August But the upcoming elections still have the potential to lead to a period of uncertainty regarding the yen said Nick Bennenbroek head of currency strategy at Wells Fargo Bank in New York The Japanese yen is the most notable example of a G10 currency that has broken out of its recent trading range The euro rose 0 6 percent to 129 69 yen and 0 4 percent versus the dollar to 1 3982 boosted partly by higher stocks Meanwhile commodity linked high yield currencies such as the Australian dollar rebounded from an eight week low against the yen touched earlier Disappointing U S employment and consumer sentiment data in recent weeks has soured the market mood some traders said If earnings do disappoint risk aversion could return Everybody is more cautious on the economy and on corporate earnings and there s a more pessimistic view for the third and fourth quarters said Hidetoshi Yanagihara senior currency trader at Mizuho Corporate Bank in New York He said attendant risk aversion should continue pushing the dollar toward 90 yen Goldman Sachs Group JPMorgan Chase Co and Citigroup Inc are to report earnings this week Earnings kicked off this past week but the real action begins in earnest with bank earnings in the week ahead said Brian Dolan chief currency strategist at FOREX com in Bedminster New Jersey With banks at the epicenter of the financial crisis a return to profitability in this space will be needed before the all clear can be declared he added U S Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner said Monday that a global economic recovery still faces risks but added there was a good chance the U S and other leading economies would begin growing over the next two quarters Minutes from the last Federal Reserve policy meeting and a Bank of Japan meeting due for release later in the week will be closely watched
7/13/2009
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FOREX Dollar rises vs yen after touching 5 month low
Dollar rebounds from 5 month low vs yen Hope on U S corporate earnings boosts sentiment stocks Market still doubtful about global economic health Recasts throughout Updates prices By Vivianne Rodrigues NEW YORK July 13 Reuters The dollar rose against the yen on Monday rebounding from a five month low as positive comments from a bank analyst helped boost hopes that earnings of U S financial companies may not be as weak as initially feared and sparked a rally on Wall Street The euro also gained after European Central Bank President Jean Claude Trichet sounded a bit more upbeat about euro zone growth for the rest of 2009 Stocks rose after a bank analyst upgraded Goldman Sachs sparking hopes for decent bank earnings this week That reversed earlier gains for the yen and dollar which tend to rise when investors grow anxious and sell stocks commodities and other risky assets that are often financed with cheaply borrowed dollars and yen We ve had quite a turnaround here as people have received some reassurance on earnings though there are still hurdles ahead said Camilla Sutton senior currency strategist at Scotia Capital in Toronto The U S dollar hit a five month trough of 91 73 yen on electronic trading platform EBS before recovering to trade at 92 92 yen up about 0 4 percent from late Friday Wall Street s rise helped dull concern about the Japanese ruling party s loss in an election on Sunday which raised speculation the party may lose national elections in August But the upcoming elections still have the potential to lead to a period of uncertainty regarding the yen said Nick Bennenbroek head of currency strategy at Wells Fargo Bank in New York The Japanese yen is the most notable example of a G10 currency that has broken out of its recent trading range The euro rose 0 8 percent to 129 92 yen and 0 4 percent versus the dollar to 1 3982 boosted partly by higher stocks Meanwhile commodity linked high yield currencies such as the Australian dollar rebounded from an eight week low against the yen touched earlier Disappointing U S employment and consumer sentiment data in recent weeks has soured the market mood some traders said If earnings do disappoint risk aversion could return Everybody is more cautious on the economy and on corporate earnings and there s a more pessimistic view for the third and fourth quarters said Hidetoshi Yanagihara senior currency trader at Mizuho Corporate Bank in New York He said attendant risk aversion should continue pushing the dollar toward 90 yen Goldman Sachs Group JPMorgan Chase Co and Citigroup Inc are to report earnings this week Earnings kicked off this past week but the real action begins in earnest with bank earnings in the week ahead said Brian Dolan chief currency strategist at FOREX com in Bedminster New Jersey With banks at the epicenter of the financial crisis a return to profitability in this space will be needed before the all clear can be declared he added U S Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner said Monday that a global economic recovery still faces risks but added there was a good chance the U S and other leading economies would begin growing over the next two quarters Minutes from the last Federal Reserve policy meeting and a Bank of Japan meeting due for release later in the week will be closely watched
7/13/2009
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CANADA FX DEBT C strengthens on Bank of Canada surveys
C rises to finish at C 1 1518 to the U S dollar Bank of Canada surveys offer support North American stock market rises also boost C Bonds lower across curve Adds details quotes By Jennifer Kwan TORONTO July 13 Reuters Canada s dollar strengthened against the greenback on Monday helped by rallying equity markets and a pair of Bank of Canada surveys that showed signs of improved business sentiment Lending conditions in Canada continued to tighten in the second quarter according to the central bank surveys of businesses and senior loan officers but the number of respondents pointing to tighter conditions declined and signals of business conditions brightened ID nN13381629 The surveys seemed to reinforce other data suggesting the recession may have hit bottom and that companies may face fewer hurdles in getting financing in coming quarters In general given the positive aspects of those reports we have seen some interest to buy Canadian dollars said George Davis chief technical strategist at RBC Capital Markets Another factor helping the currency higher was a rally in Toronto s main stock index which bounced off a steep drop in early action and finished up 1 5 percent after a prominent U S banking analyst upgraded Goldman Sachs Group boosting financial shares in Canada as well as the United States ID nN13211783 There s a return of risk appetite said Sal Guatieri senior economist BMO Capital Markets Investors are buying equities and taking another look at some of the second tier currencies so that s helping the Canadian dollar The Canadian unit finished at C 1 1518 to the U S dollar or 86 82 U S cents up from C 1 1647 to the U S dollar or 85 86 U S cents at Friday s close The Canadian dollar may have risen further if not for a drop in prices oil a key Canadian export which settled below 60 a barrel on concerns over the state of the global economy ID nSYD73698 BONDS LOWER ACROSS THE CURVE Canadian bond prices were lower across the curve as money flowed out of safe haven investments mirroring the U S Treasury debt market where prices also dropped ID nN13582348 The bond markets are under pressure because of the renewed risk appetite for equities Guatieri said The two year Canada bond was down 4 Canadian cents at C 100 13 to yield 1 182 percent while the 10 year bond fell 33 Canadian cents to C 103 62 to yield 3 317 percent The 30 year bond dropped 75 Canadian cents to C 118 55 to yield 3 902 percent In the United States the 30 year Treasury yielded 4 2432 percent Canadian bonds mostly outperformed U S Treasuries across the curve The Canadian 30 year bond was 34 basis points below the U S 30 year yield compared with about 33 basis points below on Friday Reporting by Jennifer Kwan editing by Peter Galloway
7/13/2009
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GLOBAL MARKETS Stocks benefit from better mood on banks
Asian European share markets swing higher with Wall St Yen bonds ease as investors reconsider rush to safety Upbeat economic data from Singapore and Australia More glimmers of hope for UK economy but c bank wary Repeats to more subscribers By Kaori Kaneko and Aiko Hayashi TOKYO SYDNEY July 14 Reuters Asian stocks bounced on Tuesday as a rally in U S financial shares helped Japan break a long losing streak while also reversing some of the recent safe haven rush into the yen and sovereign bonds Upbeat news from Singapore also boosted investor confidence as economic growth in the trade hub climbed 20 4 percent annualised in the three months to June ending four quarters of contraction Analysts said other export dependent Asian economies were also expected to see improved second quarters but questioned whether that could be sustained amid still weak consumer demand in the region s major Western markets European bourses also looked like enjoying early gains with Eurostox 50 futures up 1 percent British retail sales rose in June and house prices fell at their slowest rate in two years two surveys showed on Tuesday in further signs that economy may be bottoming out after the worst downturn in decades But another report showed Germany is unlikely to see sizeable economic growth in the rest of 2009 Unease ahead of key data on U S retail sales and a slew of U S corporate earnings including banking giant Goldman Sachs on Tuesday was enough to limit gains in commodity prices and keep crude oil pinned near 60 a barrel Market sentiment has improved slightly compared to a few days ago but we still need to see the actual numbers of U S results said Mitsuru Sahara chief manager at Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Japan s Nikkei average ended 2 3 percent higher a welcome break from a string of recent losses MSCI s measure of stocks elsewhere in the Asia Pacific rose 2 8 percent The gains tracked Monday s 2 5 percent rally in the S P 500 and owed much to a single banking analyst In a change of mood influential Wall Street analyst Meredith Whitney upgraded Goldman Sachs Group Inc to a buy on Monday saying bank shares were in for at least a short term gain of 15 percent The S P Financial Index rose 6 5 percent as a result while Goldman rose 5 3 percent After a recent bearish run the market has been looking an opportunity to rebound and the analyst comments on the financial sector fit the bill said Yutaka Miura senior technical analyst at Mizuho Securities in Tokyo Also helping sentiment was a report from the Wall Street Journal that the U S government was in advanced talks to help embattled CIT Group one of the nation s major lenders to small and medium sized business Still no deal was certain the WSJ said and sources told Reuters the Federal Deposit Insurance Corp was opposed to granting CIT access to a government guarantee Australian shares ended up nearly 3 5 percent after a surprisingly strong survey of Australian business conditions The Aussie dollar got a lift to 0 7856 from the news which was seen as lessening the need for further cuts in interest rates The survey of over 400 firms from National Australia Bank showed a marked pick up in sales and profits along with a record improvement in employment intentions LESS SAFE The tentative pick up in stocks seemed to lessen the need for safe havens like government bonds and the Japanese yen which eased across the board Japanese bond futures slipped while U S 10 year Treasury yields ticked up to 3 38 percent from a two month low of 3 26 percent touched on Monday The dollar firmed to 93 28 yen after touching a five month low of 91 73 on Monday The euro firmed to 130 55 yen from a trough around 127 95 The single currency was steady on the dollar around 1 3995 in the middle of a range that has held for over a month Against a basket of major currencies the U S dollar was down 0 06 percent at 80 083 Investors are now awaiting data on U S retail sales and producer prices later on Tuesday Sales are seen rising 0 4 percent in June and by 0 5 percent excluding autos We expect most indicators should continue to show less negative to slightly positive growth reflecting the slow moving recovery underway said Merrill Lynch in a note to clients Writing by Wayne Cole Editing by Kim Coghill
7/13/2009
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TOPWRAP 4 Goldman earnings strong Geithner upbeat
Goldman Sachs reports strong earnings U S retail sales rise more than expected Force of global recession is receding Geithner Euro zone industrial production rises but only just For more on the global crisis click By Steve Eder and Krista Hughes NEW YORK MANNHEIM July 14 Reuters Strong Goldman Sachs profits and rising U S retail sales fanned optimism on Tuesday that global recession may be waning but Europe showed signs of only stuttering economic recovery at best Wall Street s largest surviving investment bank announced better than expected second quarter results while sales at U S retailers beat expectations with a 0 6 percent rise in June boosted by a big jump in auto sales Both appeared to back up U S Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner who said that a global assault on recession was making headway and acknowledged that Washington bore a special responsibility to help spur a recovery in the world economy Goldman Sachs Group Inc reported a 33 percent rise in earnings as a strong gain in trading was offset by a one time charge to repay government loans They re terrific numbers I think things are very fragile but they manage to make money in all environments which is what you re supposed to do said William Smith chief executive of Smith Asset Management in New York You re going to see absolutely enormous numbers coming out of the money centres including Citigroup he added Goldman the first major U S bank to report quarterly earnings in the current cycle saw its performance bolstered by improving markets and strong trading results But gains were tempered by a one off 426 million charge related to the repayment of 10 billion in loans from the U S Treasury s Troubled Asset Relief Program known as TARP FIZZLED OUT Stronger than expected first quarter results from financial companies sparked a rally in the sector which spread to the rest of the stock market World stocks as measured by MSCI were up 1 percent by 1319 GMT The latest U S retail sales figures were not all good Excluding both autos and gasoline sales were down 0 2 percent the fourth consecutive monthly decline Department stores and restaurants were among the laggards suggesting that consumers remained reluctant to resume discretionary spending despite signs the recession may be drawing to a close In Europe data on Tuesday showed that German investors have turned more pessimistic than expected a signal analysts say means the nation s economy won t start growing until next year at least The German economy could be among the first to escape the recession However it is if and not when added Carsten Brzeski an economist at ING Financial Markets Cautious optimism not enthusiasm is most suitable for the way forward Euro zone industrial production was also a disappointment growing only slightly in May after a bad April and remaining 17 percent lower than it was a year earlier Officials and investors alike are on tenterhooks waiting to see whether a tentative upturn in economic data in recent weeks means an eventual end to the worst downturn since the 1930s Many fear that it is merely a short lived blip sustained only by the trillions of dollars that governments around the world have poured into saving their banks and stimulating their economies borrowed money that will take years to repay NOTE OF OPTIMISM In Jeddah Geithner struck an optimistic note The force of the global recession is receding he said For the first time in several quarters the IMF and a range of private analysts are starting to revise up their forecasts for growth in the second half of this year and next As he did in London on Monday Geithner accepted the global economy faced severe problems but was reassuring so long as steady forceful and sustained support continues until private investment and spending lead a recovery Data released in Europe showed at best a weak recovery German analyst and investor sentiment fell in July for the first time since October 2008 a leading survey showed The Mannheim based ZEW economic think tank s monthly poll of economic sentiment fell to 39 5 from 44 8 in June Writing by David Stamp Editing by Keiron Henderson
7/13/2009
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US STOCKS Futures pare gains after Goldman Sachs results
NEW YORK July 14 Reuters U S stock index futures pared gains on Tuesday after Goldman Sachs Group posted its second quarter earnings Investors were also cautious ahead of the release of June retail sales S P 500 futures were 4 6 points higher and were above fair value a formula that evaluates pricing by taking into account interest rates dividends and time to expiration on the contract Dow Jones industrial average futures climbed 39 points and Nasdaq 100 futures added 2 50 points
7/14/2009
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US STOCKS Futures lose ground after June retail sales data
NEW YORK July 14 Reuters U S stock index futures briefly turned negative on Tuesday following a report that pointed to underlying weakness in consumer spending in June A separate government report showed June producer prices rose 1 8 percent month over month Stronger than expected results from Goldman Sachs Group had only a small impact on futures after stocks rallied on Monday in anticipation of strong earnings from the bank S P 500 futures were 2 2 points higher but were about even with fair value a formula that evaluates pricing by taking into account interest rates dividends and time to expiration on the contract Dow Jones industrial average futures climbed 26 points and Nasdaq 100 futures shed 1 50 points
7/14/2009
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Goldman Sachs fund to invest 250 mln in Geely WSJ
BEIJING Sept 20 Reuters A Goldman Sachs Group private equity fund is investing about 250 million in Chinese carmaker Geely Automobile a move that could free up capital for Geely s parent to bid on Ford s Volvo unit the Wall Street Journal reported citing an unidentified source Goldman Sachs Capital Partners purchase of Geely convertible bonds and warrants would give it an unspecified minority stake in the carmaker an investment that would be announced on Monday the newspaper reported citing a Geely executive Goldman Sachs and Geely officials on Sunday were not immediately available to comment on the report Geely said earlier this month that its parent was considering a bid for Volvo with a local government backed investment firm 1 6 83 yuan Reporting by Kirby Chien Editing by Dean Yates
5/14/2009
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US STOCKS Index futures point to higher open
NEW YORK June 9 Reuters U S stock index futures pointed to a slightly higher open on Tuesday as bank shares gained ahead of a report about the imminent repayment of government bailout funds Before the bell Goldman Sachs Group Inc rose 0 3 percent to 148 80 while JPMorgan Chase Co gained 0 9 percent to 35 70 The U S Treasury Department will allow 10 banks to pay back Troubled Asset Relief Program TARP funds Bloomberg reported citing people familiar with the matter Some investors have voiced concerns that banks may repay the money too soon diverting funds away from the economy The interest rate movements have left people a little bit confused from the investment side said Rick Meckler president of LibertyView Capital Management in Jersey City New Jersey S P 500 futures rose 1 10 points and were below fair value a formula that evaluates pricing by taking into account interest rates dividends and time to expiration on the contract Dow Jones Industrial Average futures rose 4 point while Nasdaq 100 futures were up 0 75 points Treasury bond prices recovered on Tuesday after a selloff the previous day but investors remained concerned that higher interest rates would pull dollars away from the stock market and slow an economic recovery by increasing borrowing costs for businesses and consumers The S P 500 has rallied 39 percent since hitting a 12 year closing low on March 9 leading analysts to speculate a correction was looming although recent dips have been short lived Apple Inc looked set to boost Nasdaq after the company cut the price of its entry level iPhone to 99 on Monday to increase the trendy device s mass market appeal as global competition heats up The stock was up 0 7 percent to 144 20 before the bell Texas Instruments Inc shares rose 5 2 percent after hours on Monday after the company raised its second quarter revenue and earnings targets The stock was up before the bell Tuesday but trading was light General Electric Co said its aviation unit the world s largest maker of jet engines expects orders to fall 50 percent this year as airlines slow plane orders On the data front the International Council of Shopping Centers will release U S chain store retail sales data at 7 45 a m EDT while April wholesale inventories data will be out at 10 a m Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner testifies at 10 30 a m EDT before a Senate Appropriations subcommittee on the Treasury Department s budget request U S stocks rebounded late Monday to end flat shrugging off lighter than expected sales from McDonald s Corp and lowered iPhone prices from Apple
6/9/2009
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US STOCKS Higher open seen boosted by techs energy
Texas Instruments forecast boosts tech shares Banks gain ahead of govt bailout payback Energy shares up as crude advances Futures up S P 500 by 3 50 pts Dow 22 Nasdaq 7 50 Updates to early morning By Edward Krudy NEW YORK June 9 Reuters U S stocks were set to open higher on Tuesday after Texas Instruments raised its quarterly outlook underpinning other technology stocks while rising oil prices boosted energy shares The U S Treasury Department plans to allow 10 banks to pay back Troubled Asset Relief Program TARP funds Bloomberg reported citing sources familiar with the matter By paying back the bailout money banks hope to extricate themselves from stringent government oversight including restrictions on executive pay The less government involvement in business the better business does said Tom Alexander head of Alexander Trading in Savannah Georgia Markets are very happy to see the government getting out of banks Before the bell Goldman Sachs Group Inc rose 0 6 percent to 149 31 while JPMorgan Chase Co gained 1 percent to 35 75 in anticipation of Tarp payback plans Shares of Texas Instruments Inc rose 6 4 percent to 21 05 after it raised second quarter revenue and earnings targets late Monday S P 500 futures rose 3 50 points and were below fair value a formula that evaluates pricing by taking into account interest rates dividends and time to expiration on the contract Dow Jones industrial average futures rose 22 point while Nasdaq 100 futures were up 7 50 points Shares in Exxon Mobil Corp added 0 5 percent to 73 52 as front month crude climbed nearly 2 percent Treasury bond prices recovered Tuesday after a selloff the previous day but investors remained concerned that higher interest rates could pull dollars away from the stock market and slow an economic recovery by increasing borrowing costs for businesses and consumers The interest rate movements have left people a little bit confused from the investment side said Rick Meckler president of LibertyView Capital Management in Jersey City New Jersey The S P 500 has rallied 39 percent since hitting a 12 year closing low on March 9 leading analysts to speculate a correction was looming although recent dips have been short lived
6/9/2009
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US STOCKS SNAPSHOT Futures add to losses as oil retreats
NEW YORK June 12 Reuters U S stock index futures extended losses on Friday signaling a lower Wall Street open as crude oil hovered near session lows and gold retreated amid a rise in the U S dollar Financials were set to be another drag after Banc of America Merrill Lynch slashed second quarter earnings estimates for Goldman Sachs Group Inc Morgan Stanley and JPMorgan Chase Co U S front month crude dropped 2 5 percent to 70 89 in electronic trade a day after hitting an intraday high above 73 a barrel New York gold gold futures fell to a 3 week low under 940 oz S P 500 futures fell 5 40 points and were below fair value a formula that evaluates pricing by taking into account interest rates dividends and time to expiration on the contract Dow Jones Industrial Average futures dropped 20 points while Nasdaq 100 futures were off 6 points
6/12/2009
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US STOCKS Retreating commodity prices set to hit Wall St
Crude oil futures fall nearly 2 percent Consumer confidence data on tap Futures off S P 500 3 7 pts Dow 20 pts Nasdaq 6 pts Updates prices adds stocks byline By Edward Krudy NEW YORK June 12 Reuters Wall Street was set to open lower on Friday as commodity prices fell and investors looked ahead to key consumer confidence data for insight into the prospects for the recession easing U S crude oil futures dropped nearly 2 percent helped by a stronger U S dollar after a three day rally lifted the price over 72 per barrel Gold hit a 3 week low as the dollar rose almost 1 percent against a basket of currencies Shares in natural resource companies headed lower with Freeport McMoRan Copper Gold Inc down 2 4 percent to 58 99 before the bell and Exxon Mobil Corp off 1 percent to 73 33 A rally this week in commodity prices helped underpin stock prices but investors said much higher prices could hurt an economic recovery by increasing costs for consumers and businesses There is no doubt that the rally has coincided with weakness in the dollar and a rise in commodity prices and today we re seeing a rally in the dollar and weakness in commodity prices said Peter Boockvar an equity strategist at Miller Tabak Co The rally started with a resurgence in the financial sector back in March then that baton was handed to the reflation trade over the last couple of months and that s taking a breather this morning S P 500 futures fell 3 70 points and were below fair value a formula that evaluates pricing by taking into account interest rates dividends and time to expiration on the contract Dow Jones Industrial Average futures dropped 20 points while Nasdaq 100 futures were off 6 points The Reuters University of Michigan index of consumer sentiment due at 9 55 a m EDT will be closely watched as consumers account for two thirds of economic activity Banc of America Merrill Lynch cut its earnings estimates for several big banks including Goldman Sachs Group Inc whose shares fell 0 7 percent to 144 20 Morgan Stanley down 0 8 percent to 29 26 and JPMorgan off 0 5 percent to 34 75 U S stocks racked up gains across a wide array of sectors on Thursday aided by rising commodity prices and jobless data that showed improving labor market conditions
6/12/2009
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FOREX Yen hits 5 month high vs dollar risk aversion up
Yen gains on receding risk appetite Yen hits 5 mth high vs US dollar 8 wk high vs Aussie Commodity based currencies also hit by oil price fall Japan upgrades economic view for 3rd straight month Updates prices adds comment changes dateline byline By Steven C Johnson NEW YORK July 13 Reuters The yen hit a five month high against the U S dollar on Monday as anxiety about U S corporate earnings added to fears that any economic recovery this year may prove slight An upgrade in Japan s growth forecast also helped the yen which was coming off its best week against the dollar since October though a poor showing by Japan s ruling party at Tokyo elections ahead of an August general poll added to uncertainty Lower oil prices lifted the dollar against commodity currencies such as the Australian dollar and U S Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner said that though a global economic recovery still faces significant risks there was a good chance the U S and other leading economies would begin growing over the next two quarters Activity was subdued as summer holidays thinned trading desks Analysts said traders were being cautious even as some of the biggest U S firms are expected to show they are recovering from the crisis All the big banks save Citi are seen having positive earnings in the second quarter but at the same time the market wants to sell risk this week said Lauren Rosborough senior currency strategist at Westpac in London Risk aversion prompts traders to buy the yen and dollar which are often used to finance trades in stocks commodities and higher yielding currencies such as the Australian dollar which hit an eight week low against the yen The U S dollar hit a five month low of 91 73 yen on electronic trading platform EBS before recovering some ground to 92 28 yen down 0 3 percent The Japanese ruling party s loss in a Tokyo assembly election on Sunday raised speculation that the party may lose national elections in August further dulling investor appetite for risk The euro fell 0 1 percent to 128 75 yen but rose 0 2 percent against the dollar to 1 3953 as European Central Bank President Jean Claude Trichet sounded a bit more upbeat about euro zone growth for the rest of 2009 Traders said euro options due to expire Monday were helping to limit euro gains IFR said options worth about 400 million euros were set to expire at 1 40 and 1 4005 Sterling fell 0 5 percent to 1 6112 Whether investor optimism and appetite for higher yielding currencies recovers this week will depend on U S earnings with Goldman Sachs Group JPMorgan Chase Co and Citigroup Inc all set to report This week there is heavy focus on the U S earnings season and investors will want to see that any recovery for major companies is revenue based and not cost cutting based said James Hughes a CMC Markets analyst in London Minutes from the last Federal Reserve policy meeting and a Bank of Japan meeting due for release later in the week will be closely watched
7/13/2009
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FOREX Yen trims losses on dark econ mood Goldman report
Yen trims losses to be near 5 week high vs dlr Report of Goldman Sachs losses revives risk aversion Aussie falls after RBA cuts rates by 100 basis points By Satomi Noguchi TOKYO Dec 2 Reuters The yen trimmed losses on Tuesday to trade near a five week high as stocks worldwide slid on a increasing economic gloom and after a report on possible net losses at Goldman Sachs Group revived risk aversion The yen had been under pressure earlier from domestic investors which traders attributed to a trimming of speculative bets against the dollar Investors covered their short positions accumulated since last week But they basically remain risk averse and there is a possibility that the yen will resume its rally if U S stocks continue to fall said Kwanga ja Kim deputy general manager at Shinsei Bank The dollar was nearly flat at 93 19 yen after rising to the day s high of 93 83 yen from a five week low of 92 87 yen on trading platform EBS Caution grew after the Wall Street Journal reported that Goldman Sachs known for having avoided much of the damage that has battered its Wall Street rivals is likely to report net losses of as much as 2 billion for its latest quarter Market players said that the yen was likely to continue to find support as risk appetite was low in the wake of recent data underscoring the weakness of economic fundamentals worldwide Manufacturing data in the United States fell in November to its weakest since the 1981 1982 recession The U S economy was also confirmed to have fallen into a recession nearly a year ago and Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke said the central bank is mulling extreme policy measures such as buying more government bonds to revive growth The Nikkei share average dropped 6 percent with stocks in Hong Kong and Taiwan also falling about 5 percent at one stage Moves in equities are seen as a barometer of investor risk appetite and stock falls can lead to the unwinding of carry trades in which investors sell low yielding currencies like the yen to invest in higher yielding currencies and assets The euro was little changed at 117 60 yen after rebounding as high as 118 53 yen from the day s low of 117 23 yen Against the dollar the euro rose 0 1 percent to 1 2620 The trend for stronger yen is intact as the economic downturn could be even deeper ahead into the New Year said a manager at a Japanese trust bank We see euro yen falling towards 110 yen at the end of this month and eventually to 100 yen the manager said The Australian dollar fell in volatile trade after the Australian central bank lowered interest rates by 100 basis points to 4 25 percent broadly in line with prior market expectations The Australian dollar was down 0 5 percent at 0 6369 It had rebounded above 0 64 briefly after the decision Market players have now shifted their focus to rate decisions from The Bank of England the European Central Bank and the Reserve Bank of New Zealand later this week The Bank of Japan held an emergency policy meeting and announced the central bank will accept wider range of corporate debt as collateral in money market operations to help ease a squeeze in credit markets The BOJ held interest rates steady as expected at the meeting which will be followed by news conference comments from Governor Masaaki Shirakawa due for release around 0700 GMT Additional reporting by Kaori Kaneko and Masayuki Kitano Editing by Edwina Gibbs
12/2/2008
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Goldman says to tender Sanyo stake to Panasonic
TOKYO Dec 19 Reuters Goldman Sachs Group Inc said on Friday it would tender its stake in Sanyo Electric Co to Panasonic Corp after Panasonic announced its offer to buy Sanyo shares for 131 yen each Given the rapidly changing environment we came to the conclusion to sell our stake for the benefit of all Sanyo stakeholders Goldman Sachs spokeswoman Miyako Takebe said Sanyo shares closed on Friday at 136 yen down 3 6 percent from Thursday Reporting by Yumiko Nishitani
12/19/2008